cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Sone Aupiu /New Mexico State

Sone Aupiu

LB · New Mexico State · Jr · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

68 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · New Mexico State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126

LB · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Sone Aupiu

  • 3
  • #14
  • 6-1 | 225 lb
  • Long Beach, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

72

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 83rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15371

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
New Mexico State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey14
Measurements6-1 | 225 lb
HometownLong Beach, CA
Primary teamNew Mexico State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15371Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15507Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Sone Aupiu

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Sone Aupiu

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
68Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
80Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
1.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 68): needs 6/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 68): needs 16/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Sone Aupiu is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on New Mexico State's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15371 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 5.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 68 34 solo | #293/4942 (94th pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
68 94th
SOLO
34 92nd
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
4 84th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 19-3vs Bryant532.01.00
Wk 2W 21-14vs Tulsa750.00.01
Wk 3L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech830.00.00
Wk 6W 37-10vs Sam Houston111.00.00
Wk 8L 27-30@ Liberty310.50.00
Wk 9L 17-24vs Missouri State731.00.02
Wk 10L 16-35@ Western Kentucky1060.00.010
Wk 11L 21-24vs Kennesaw State520.00.00
Wk 12L 9-42@ Tennessee410.00.00
Wk 13W 34-31@ UTEP740.50.00
Wk 14L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee1150.50.01Season-high 11 tackles
Total68345.51.014
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State68345.51.041--
2023New Mexico State47326.52.0------
Career2 loaded seasons1156612.03.041--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 4 Coverage disruption | #340/2184 (84th pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 68 #293/4942 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 4 #340/2184 84th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 34 #386/4584 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 23.0 #169/578 71st pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 23 #285/578 51st pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g6.00.80.20.7
Road5g6.40.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g5.00.90.20.2
Losses7g6.90.30.00.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g5.20.80.20.2
Weeks 8+7g6.70.40.00.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

72Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (90th). Strength: solo tackles (86th).

Tackles#293 / 2975 · 90th pct
68defe
Solo tackles#386 / 2975 · 87th pct
34defe
Passes defended#340 / 2975 · 86th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Sone AupiuNew Mexico StateBryce BoettcherOregon· 93% simAndon ThomasArmy· 91% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 90% sim
Tackles
90
Aupiu
100
Boettcher
99
Thomas
98
Fields
Solo tackles
87
Aupiu
99
Boettcher
100
Thomas
96
Fields
Passes defended
86
Aupiu
91
Boettcher
91
Thomas
67
Fields
Tackles for loss
83
Aupiu
83
Boettcher
73
Thomas
87
Fields
QB hurries
82
Aupiu
92
Boettcher
82
Thomas
95
Fields
Sacks
63
Aupiu
63
Boettcher
51
Thomas
63
Fields
Interceptions
31
Aupiu
31
Boettcher
31
Fields

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jeremiah Gemmel’s 2021 season.

Jeremiah Gemmel

85%match

North Carolina · 2021

#2

Tatum Bethune

Florida State · 2023

NFL Rd 7
85%
#3

Tarique Barnes

Illinois · 2021

83%
#4

JD Bertrand

Notre Dame · 2023

NFL Rd 5
82%
#5

Ferrod Gardner

Louisiana · 2021

82%

Matches Jeremiah on

Sack rate
Weight
Tackle volume

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Xe'Ree Alexander's junior season at Washington (2025).

Xe'Ree Alexander

88%match

Washington · 2025

#2

Shemar James

Florida · 2024

NFL Rd 5
88%
#3

Johnathan Hall

Utah · 2025

87%
#4

Timmy Hinspeter

Massachusetts · 2025

86%
#5

Kip Lewis

Oklahoma · 2024

84%

Matches Xe'Ree on

TFL rate
Weight
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Sanchez

Pass share

57.4%

472 pass / 350 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.7%

359 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jerry Kill
New Mexico State
2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jerry Kill → Tony Sanchez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLong Beach, CA
Height6'1"
Weight225 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico State LB3 #15371 #15507 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 New Mexico State LB3 #10642 #10860 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 New Mexico State LB3 #11495 #11334 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico State Conference USA LB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Long Beach, CA
2024 New Mexico State Conference USA LB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Long Beach, CA
2023 New Mexico State Conference USA LB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Long Beach, CA
2022 New Mexico State FBS Independents LB 3 No. 14 | 6-1 | 225 lb | Long Beach, CA