New Mexico State routs Mercyhurst 51-14
Team pages: Mercyhurst · New Mexico State
New Mexico State routed Mercyhurst 51-14. Share this game
We had New Mexico State favored. It won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave New Mexico State a 76% chance, and the closing betting line (New Mexico State was a 29.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
New Mexico State · Q1 15:0083-yard TD passNew Mexico State · Q4 12:32New Mexico State 51-14 Mercyhurst
New Mexico State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Mercyhurst 14-51 New Mexico StateMercyhurst lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (New Mexico State -29.5), at 99% for New Mexico State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
New Mexico State scored on 7 of its 12 drives; Mercyhurst on 2 of its 13.
New Mexico State’s drives are teal, Mercyhurst’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
New Mexico State 51, Mercyhurst 14
New Mexico State covered −29.5 by 7.5. The total, 65, went over 52.5.
| Team totals | Mercyhurst | New Mexico State |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 237 | 530 |
| Passing | 16 of 31, 167 yds | 14 of 23, 295 yds |
| Rushing | 27 for 70 yds | 42 for 235 yds |
| First downs | 14 | 20 |
| Third down | 5 of 13 | 7 of 13 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Penalties | 6 for 54 yds | 9 for 72 yds |
| Time of possession | 30:46 | 29:14 |
Mercyhurst leaders
- Passing Alex Gevaudan 13 of 21, 147 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Jameir Gamble 12 for 59 yds; Byron Cardwell 7 for 10 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Evan Van Dyke 4 for 60 yds; Camden Lewis 5 for 43 yds, 1 TD
New Mexico State leaders
- Passing Trey Hedden 11 of 20, 253 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing James Jones 19 for 137 yds, 1 TD; Terrell Washington Jr. 7 for 43 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Tyler King 3 for 94 yds; Terrione Graves 1 for 83 yds, 1 TD
No rain through the game
90° at kickoff · no rain recorded
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 49 other games played at Aggie Memorial Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 76°, with about 7 in 10 games between 70° and 83°.
Game-day temperatures at Aggie Memorial Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Las Cruces International airport, 11 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Mercyhurst · 5-7
Rated 225th in our preseason ratings, 225th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 28-35 @ Central Connecticut #176 of 667
lost by 7 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 27-13 vs Robert Morris #242 of 667
won by 14 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 16-15 @ Saint Francis #258 of 667
won by 1 as a 10-point favorite
L 15-22 vs Stonehill #235 of 667
lost by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 0-37 vs Duquesne #141 of 667
lost by 37 as a 3-point underdog
W 19-7 @ Wagner #257 of 667
won by 12 as a 6-point favorite
W 22-13 vs Long Island University #214 of 667
won by 9 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 7-51 @ South Dakota State #86 of 667
lost by 44 as a 32.5-point underdog
L 0-17 @ Montana State #86 of 667
lost by 17 as a 29.5-point underdog
L 28-49 @ Sacramento State #118 of 667
lost by 21 as a 21.5-point underdog
W 48-14 vs New Haven #265 of 667
won by 34 as a 12.5-point favorite
L 15-24 @ Youngstown State #225 of 667
lost by 9 as a 24-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
New Mexico State · 4-8
Rated 150th in our preseason ratings, 150th now.
1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over UTEP as a 4.5-point underdog.
L 24-31 vs Middle Tennessee #177 of 667
lost by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 34-31 @ UTEP #184 of 667
won by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 9-42 @ TennesseeTop 25 #11 of 667
lost by 33 as a 41.5-point underdog
L 21-24 vs Kennesaw State #111 of 667
lost by 3 as an 11.5-point underdog
L 16-35 @ Western Kentucky #106 of 667
lost by 19 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 17-24 vs Missouri State #126 of 667
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 27-30 @ Liberty #119 of 667
lost by 3 as an 11.5-point underdog
W 37-10 vs Sam Houston #177 of 667
won by 27 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 20-38 @ New Mexico #100 of 667
lost by 18 as a 17.5-point underdog
L 14-49 @ Louisiana Tech #129 of 667
lost by 35 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 21-14 vs Tulsa #140 of 667
won by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 19-3 vs Bryant #207 of 667
won by 16 as a 19.5-point favorite
Week by week
New Mexico State
- Wk 1Lat Florida State17-34
Mercyhurst
- Wk 1Lat Youngstown State10-43
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on New Mexico State’s chances here.
New Mexico State favored by 29.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go
New Mexico State by 29.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 5 points toward New Mexico State.
The total rose 2 points.
Spread: −24.5 → −29.5 · Total: 50.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 3.1%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 85° at kickoff.
Mercyhurst at New Mexico State · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces
- 85°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 90weather score, Comfortable
- 2ndbest of the day's 6 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 6 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's six kickoff times. At Aggie Memorial Stadium that day, a 8 pm kickoff would have scored 94, against 90 at 7 pm.
- 11 am: 71, Rough
- 4 pm: 63, Rough
- 5 pm: 72, Rough
- 6 pm: 82, Mixed
- 7 pm: 90, Comfortable (this game)
- 8 pm: 94, Comfortable
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
New Mexico State is worth +7.2 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 94th percentile.
39% at home, 20% on the road against FBS opponents (13-20 home, 10-39 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.3 at home vs. away over 91 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,608 miles to get here.