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Programs / St. Francis (PA) / NEC / 2025 Season

NEC CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK

St. Francis (PA)

#238 entering 2026

Record0-11
Power+6.1pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume99th percentile season
Net Points-204
Program HistoryMatchup SimulatorCompare TeamsBack To Rankings
Rank #238

Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode

St. Francis (PA) fan conversation is quiet right now.

The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.

Re-opens with the 2026 season. Follow Power, Resume, and Program History year-round.

Cohort Signal

Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›

Fanbase Archetype

How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).

Fanbase Archetype

The Content Mid-Major

Primary: 68% confidence

Programs that win more than they should, given resources. The fanbase is proud but realistic. They know the ceiling. They celebrate the overachievements.

SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Punching above our weight”
MODIFIERS
· Entrenched
5-Season Migration
20252026
See the full taxonomy →

Performance Narrative

Season Rating Journey

One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.

Rating rose Rating fell Little movement Ring shows opponent level
Season rating journey A single line chart of the team's rating path by game, with hoverable markers showing the swing from each result.
Biggest rise +2.53

Week 1 · @ UL Monroe

Loss 0-29 · FBS
Swing #2 -1.65

Week 4 · vs Delaware State

Loss 10-39 · FCS
Swing #3 -0.84

Week 7 · @ Duquesne

Loss 7-52 · FCS

Betting Lens

Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.

ATS5-6-045.5% cover rate
Totals5 over / 6 under0 pushes
Wins vs Market-2.270 actual wins vs 2.27 expected
As Favorite0-0-00 favorite spots
As Underdog5-6-011 underdog spots
Provider MixESPN Bet11 lined games for St. Francis (PA)
Best Cover

Week 5 vs Bucknell

Cover by +11.50 against a closing line of +18.5.

Worst Burn

Week 7 vs Duquesne

No cover by -30.50. These are the losses bettors remember.

Biggest Total Miss

Week 12 vs Long Island University

Under versus 37.5 by -24.50 points.

Efficiency Dashboard

Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.

Offensive Efficiency
Offense 6th pct
Defense 19th pct

Adjusted values: -0.01 offense, +0.08 defense

Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Defensive Efficiency
Offense 62nd pct
Defense 73rd pct

Adjusted values: -0.02 offense, -0.09 defense

Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Explosiveness
Offense 20th pct
Defense 73rd pct

Adjusted values: +0.26 offense, -0.28 defense

Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Field Position
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Finishing Drives
Offense 0th pct
Defense 0th pct

Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense

Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Passing Edge
Offense 6th pct
Defense 67th pct

Adjusted values: -0.01 offense, -0.04 defense

Sample: 11 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.

Why The Model Has Them Here

A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.

Predictive Case

Power +6.1

Currently +6.1 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Defensive Efficiency currently grades around the 73rd percentile.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Resume Case

Resume 9

Body of work: best signal lost to UL Monroe 0-29. Closest call lost to Delaware State 10-39. 9th percentile season.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Recent Form

0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L12 L13)

Last four games: 0-4 over the last 4 (L10 L11 L12 L13). Power is 55 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Season Identity

2025 Season

Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 0-11. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.

Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.

Placement Context

This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.

Overall Board#238
Inside FCS#102 of 129
Inside NEC#8 of 9
Power+6.1pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume99th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborCharlotte

Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.

Overall Neighbor: Alabama A&MFCS Peer: GeorgetownConference Peer: StonehillCross-Level Compare: Charlotte

Historical Snapshot

Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.

Historical snapshot cards will appear after more seasons are processed for this program.

Program Arc

Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.

Program history will appear after more seasons are loaded.

Season Phase Split

How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.

Regular Season 0-11 in 11 games
Phase Record Games
Regular Season 0-11 11

Loaded History Signals

This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.

Loaded history cards will appear after more seasons are processed.

Impact Cards

A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.

Week 13 Regular Season

@ Stonehill

Nov 22, 2025 | FCS opponent | @ Stonehill 10-20

Result Loss
Pregame -9.60
Power -0.08
Resume +0.01
Postgame -9.68
Week 12 Regular Season

vs Long Island University

Nov 15, 2025 | FCS opponent | vs Long Island University 3-10

Result Loss
Pregame -9.70
Power +0.10
Resume +0.05
Postgame -9.60
Week 11 Regular Season

vs Mercyhurst

Nov 8, 2025 | FCS opponent | vs Mercyhurst 15-16

Result Loss
Pregame -9.92
Power +0.22
Resume +0.06
Postgame -9.70
Week 10 Regular Season

vs Wagner

Nov 1, 2025 | FCS opponent | vs Wagner 20-23

Result Loss
Pregame -10.26
Power +0.35
Resume +0.07
Postgame -9.92
Week 9 Regular Season

vs Robert Morris

Oct 25, 2025 | FCS opponent | vs Robert Morris 14-24

Result Loss
Pregame -9.75
Power -0.51
Resume +0.04
Postgame -10.26
Week 7 Regular Season

@ Duquesne

Oct 11, 2025 | FCS opponent | @ Duquesne 7-52

Result Loss
Pregame -9.21
Power -0.84
Resume -0.08
Postgame -10.05
Week 5 Regular Season

@ Bucknell

Sep 27, 2025 | FCS opponent | @ Bucknell 23-30

Result Loss
Pregame -8.97
Power -0.18
Resume +0.09
Postgame -9.14
Week 4 Regular Season

vs Delaware State

Sep 20, 2025 | FCS opponent | vs Delaware State 10-39

Result Loss
Pregame -7.31
Power -1.65
Resume -0.01
Postgame -8.97
Week 3 Regular Season

@ Central Connecticut

Sep 13, 2025 | FCS opponent | @ Central Connecticut 7-31

Result Loss
Pregame -6.81
Power -0.51
Resume +0.18
Postgame -7.31
Week 2 Regular Season

@ Buffalo

Sep 6, 2025 | FBS opponent | @ Buffalo 6-45

Result Loss
Pregame -6.17
Power -0.63
Resume -0.28
Postgame -6.81
Week 1 Regular Season

@ UL Monroe

Aug 28, 2025 | FBS opponent | @ UL Monroe 0-29

Result Loss
Pregame -8.70
Power +2.53
Resume +0.00
Postgame -6.17

2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement

Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.

Week Date Game Phase Result Close ATS Total Pregame Power Change Resume Change Postgame
1 Aug 28, 2025 @ UL Monroe FBS Regular Season L 0-29 +30.5 Cover 47.5 | Under -8.70 +2.53 +0.00 -6.17
2 Sep 6, 2025 @ Buffalo FBS Regular Season L 6-45 +37.5 No cover 48.5 | Over -6.17 -0.63 -0.28 -6.81
3 Sep 13, 2025 @ Central Connecticut FCS Regular Season L 7-31 +11.5 No cover 44.5 | Under -6.81 -0.51 +0.18 -7.31
4 Sep 20, 2025 vs Delaware State FCS Regular Season L 10-39 +7.5 No cover 47.5 | Over -7.31 -1.65 -0.01 -8.97
5 Sep 27, 2025 @ Bucknell FCS Regular Season L 23-30 +18.5 Cover 49.5 | Over -8.97 -0.18 +0.09 -9.14
7 Oct 11, 2025 @ Duquesne FCS Regular Season L 7-52 +14.5 No cover 48.5 | Over -9.21 -0.84 -0.08 -10.05
9 Oct 25, 2025 vs Robert Morris FCS Regular Season L 14-24 +2.5 No cover 39.5 | Under -9.75 -0.51 +0.04 -10.26
10 Nov 1, 2025 vs Wagner FCS Regular Season L 20-23 +6.5 Cover 37.5 | Over -10.26 +0.35 +0.07 -9.92
11 Nov 8, 2025 vs Mercyhurst FCS Regular Season L 15-16 +10.0 Cover 43.5 | Under -9.92 +0.22 +0.06 -9.70
12 Nov 15, 2025 vs Long Island University FCS Regular Season L 3-10 +14.0 Cover 37.5 | Under -9.70 +0.10 +0.05 -9.60
13 Nov 22, 2025 @ Stonehill FCS Regular Season L 10-20 +7.5 No cover 37.5 | Under -9.60 -0.08 +0.01 -9.68

Year-By-Year Results

The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.

Season Lens Record Final Rank End Power End Resume Games Points For Points Against Margin