New Mexico routs Mercyhurst 70-7
Team pages: Mercyhurst · New Mexico
New Mexico routed Mercyhurst 70-7. Share this game
We had New Mexico favored. It won.
Next: Mercyhurst beat Glenville State 49-20, Sat Sep 19
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave New Mexico a 96% chance, and the closing betting line (New Mexico was a 42.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
New Mexico led by 42 at the half.
Mercyhurst · Q1 0:13
New Mexico 70-7 MercyhurstNew Mexico wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Mercyhurst 7-70 New MexicoMercyhurst lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (New Mexico -42.5), at 100% for New Mexico (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
New Mexico scored on 10 of its 17 drives; Mercyhurst on 1 of its 17.
New Mexico’s drives are teal, Mercyhurst’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
New Mexico 70, Mercyhurst 7
New Mexico covered −42.5 by 20.5. The total, 77, went over 54.5.
| Team totals | Mercyhurst | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 155 | 460 |
| Passing | 13 of 27, 137 yds | 7 of 18, 173 yds |
| Rushing | 28 for 18 yds | 52 for 287 yds |
| First downs | 10 | 23 |
| Third down | 2 of 13 | 5 of 13 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 6 | 0 |
| Penalties | 11 for 98 yds | 4 for 44 yds |
| Time of possession | 26:27 | 33:33 |
Mercyhurst leaders
- Passing Anthony Wolter 9 of 20, 111 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
- Rushing Ethen Knox 4 for 17 yds; Jameir Gamble 8 for 17 yds
- Receiving Jeremy Yancey 1 for 75 yds, 1 TD; Dylan Evans 5 for 37 yds
New Mexico leaders
- Passing Toa Faavae 3 of 9, 91 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Scottre Humphrey 15 for 110 yds, 2 TD; Kiefer Sibley 4 for 48 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Troy Omeire 2 for 70 yds, 1 TD; Cade Keith 2 for 63 yds, 1 TD
No rain and calm
89° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 7 mph from the west-northwest, gusts to 18
Warmer than every one of the 66 other games played at University Stadium (NM) since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 75°, with about 7 in 10 games between 68° and 83°.
September game-day temperatures at University Stadium (NM)
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Albuquerque International airport, 1.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
Mercyhurst · 0-2
Rated 225th in our preseason ratings, 227th now.
Two straight losses, each by 20 or more.
Last three games · 2025 season
New Mexico · 9-4
Rated 73rd in our preseason ratings, 72nd now.
2-1 in its last three, including a 6-point win over San Diego State as a 1.5-point underdog.
L 17-20 @ Minnesota #72 of 667
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 23-17 vs San Diego State #68 of 667
won by 6 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 20-3 @ Air Force #172 of 667
won by 17 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 20-17 vs Colorado State #179 of 667
won by 3 as a 15.5-point favorite
W 40-35 @ UNLV #114 of 667
won by 5 as a 4.5-point underdog
W 33-14 vs Utah State #137 of 667
won by 19 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 24-22 vs Nevada #174 of 667
won by 2 as a 14.5-point favorite
L 25-41 @ Boise StateTop 25 #49 of 667
lost by 16 as a 15.5-point underdog
L 28-35 @ San José State #104 of 667
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 38-20 vs New Mexico State #210 of 667
won by 18 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 35-10 @ UCLA #67 of 667
won by 25 as a 15.5-point underdog
W 32-22 vs Idaho State #212 of 667
won by 10 as a 17.5-point favorite
L 17-34 @ MichiganTop 25 #17 of 667
lost by 17 as a 34.5-point underdog
Week by week
New Mexico
- Wk 1Wvs Central Michigan38-7
Mercyhurst
- Wk 1Lat Youngstown State10-43
- Wk 1Lat New Mexico State14-51
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on New Mexico’s chances here.
New Mexico favored by 42.5 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go
New Mexico by 42.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 2 points toward New Mexico.
The total rose 3 points.
Spread: −40.5 → −42.5 · Total: 51.5 → 54.5
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 92° at kickoff.
Mercyhurst at New Mexico · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · University Stadium, Albuquerque
- 92°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 59weather score, Rough
- Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 5 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's five kickoff times. At University Stadium that day, a 8 pm kickoff would have scored 92, against 59 at 1:30 pm.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
- 1:30 pm: 59, Rough (this game)
- 4 pm: 60, Rough
- 5 pm: 67, Rough
- 7 pm: 88, Mixed
- 8 pm: 92, Comfortable
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
New Mexico is worth +2.5 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 21st percentile.
39% at home, 27% on the road against FBS opponents (16-25 home, 13-36 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.1 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
5,100 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 1,507 miles to get here.