UNLV

1-2

Mountain West · Dan Mullen, year 2 (11-6) · Allegiant Stadium · 65,000 · 31,384 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#96 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #62 (+2.3) · FPI #87
The marketno line yetat Akron · our model 26% UNLV · a number, not a pick

LastL 6–44 at North Texas · Sat Sep 12 · Denver Harris 2 TFL, 7 tackles

Nextat Akron · Sat Sep 26 · time TBA · InfoCision Stadium · first meeting on record · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

UNLV · 2026 schedule & results1-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Aug 30#91#100-5MemphisL 21–27 1390-10-0
1Sep 6#91#59-2.5@Hawai'iW 21–6 1371-11-0
2Sep 12#89#123-3@North TexasL 6–44 1391-21-0
4Sep 26#101#62@Akron
5Oct 3California
6Oct 10North Dakota State
7Oct 17@Air Force
9Nov 1Northern Illinois
10Nov 8Wyoming
11Nov 15@New Mexico
12Nov 22@San José State
13Nov 29Nevada
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12@North TexasL 6–44301427:45-0.14835.6%74.5%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 6@Hawai'iW 21–6364027:55+0.15637.5%141.9%Season-high EPA/play
Aug 30MemphisL 21–27460035:09+0.09133.3%146.1%Most explosive
Season average (3 games)3751.3+0.03335.5%120.8%
Verdict Begins·Live

UNLV is the desert program that spent decades as a punchline and is now the best team in the Mountain West that can't win the Mountain West — three straight title-game losses to Boise State, all in the brightest lights in college football.

Title DroughtSince 1994 · 32 yrs

Rebels fans are tired of being treated as a novelty act — the casino-town team nobody took seriously. They'll tell you UNLV has been one of the best stories in the Group of Five for three years runnin…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 10-4 · last season

Game feel62shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 12 in the Mountain West
Heart rate5-2white-knucklein one-score games (7 of 14)2nd most one-score games of 12 in the Mountain West
Margin+6.1comfortableavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 12 in the Mountain West
Tempo66average paceoffensive plays / game6th fastest of 12 in the Mountain West
Big plays1.37highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)1st most explosive of 12 in the Mountain West
Home crowd31,589avg attendance4th biggest crowds of 12 in the Mountain West

✓ measured from 14 games · ranks are among Mountain West teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

UNLV has won one of its last five.

Cold. 5-5 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 5-5
He could have gotten better, a couple reads, maybe make them a little bit quicker. Overall, I think he played very well throughout the entire course of the game
Mullen · Unlvscarletandgraythe day before UNLV's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 26

vs Akron · away

PoorPoor

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#69 in field+75000
Mountain West title#2 in market+250

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

UNLV · the story right now 5 storylines developing

What UNLV's coordinator hires is really about

the open questiondo the new coordinators fit the roster?

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Dan Mullen begins at UNLV with a 10-4 record under Barry Odom, but the coordinator change and uneasy fan belief signal early challenges in reshaping the program's identity.

what happenedUNLV: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Jaylon Glover sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle✓ factnew

Troy Omeire is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.

our readdeveloping

market_swing2026-09-14✓ factnew

UNLV Mountain West championship odds lengthened — implied probability moved from 27.8% to 22.9% (-4.9pp) between Sep 13 and Sep 14, 2026 (tier C).

the contextwin total down 0.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction

our readbackground

portal2025-05-09~readnew

Jackson Arnold (QB) arrives at UNLV as the headline addition in a top-5 Mountain West portal class — Mullen's first full roster rebuild starts with zero returning QB production.

what happenedUNLV signed a top-25 transfer-portal class — 40 additions headlined by Anthony Colandrea (QB) from Virginia and Alex Orji (QB) from Michigan. ✓ fact
the contextthe No. 1 portal class in the Mountain West this cycle

our readfront page

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredUNLV's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downUNLV's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downUNLV's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · UNLV · 2026

UNLV's most likely season is 8-5 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base8-5A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · UNLV · Developing Confidence

UNLV: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

UNLV: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers4 bull takes
💬 fans: 27% volume · negative overall
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Dan Mullen begins at UNLV with a 10-4 record under Barry Odom, but the coordinator change and uneasy fan belief signal early challenges in reshaping the program's identity.
Source of record: UNLV: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers4 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“North Texas annihilates UNLV, 44-6, for Neal Brown’s first win”
Underdog Dynasty · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Jackson, White lead North Texas to commanding 44-6 win over UNLV. - ABC News”
Breaking News, Latest News and Videos · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“North Texas dominates UNLV 44-6 to earn Nate Brown's first win”
CBS Sports · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“‘Bad football’: 3 takeaways from UNLV’s lopsided loss at North T” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“‘Bad football’: 3 takeaways from UNLV’s lopsided loss at North Texas - Las Vegas Review-Journal”
news · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards27% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: negative overall · anger notable (65%).

This event was in 223 of 823 board posts (27%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Soo after my 3rd year in architecture at unlv, I’ve just now decided to change majors…. I am selling practically everything you will need for all 4 years of UNLV architecture class"
r/UNLV ~ fan take
"GG North Texas. Off to a badly needed bye week for UNLV. I still think we can contend for a MW title but we have a lot to clean up over the next 3 weeks before we take on NDSU. Sil"
r/CFB ~ fan take

Board health this week (71 posts): 11% positive · 51% neutral · 38% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Rival pulse

Hawai'i
Mixed
-3
Ninth Island Showdown
Nevada
Bearish
-22
Battle for the Fremont Cannon

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

UNLV is the Mountain West program whose 2024 11-3 + Mountain West championship game under Barry Odom + Allegiant Stadium NFL-stadium-shared identity define what Las-Vegas-football looks like.

Offense: PoorDefense: Poor
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired Dan Mullen
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - UNLV

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production15%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#56 nationally247 composite 696.0
Portal Additions16Primary repair: IOL
Portal Losses15Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#63Depth class
WRin 3 - Taz Reddicks3.70out 2 - Troy Omeire3.70Upgrade
current room: 192 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 3 - Cam Santee3.50out 2 - Justin Flowe5.00Even
current room: 231 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 1 - Kyron Chambers3.60out 3 - Andrew Powdrell3.50Starter Risk
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Cover Corner2025 profiledoesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play
Transferred in
IOLin 3 - Griffin Scroggs3.50out 0Need Filled
current room: 311 lbs avg (2025 roster)
QBin 1 - Jackson Arnold3.60out 2 - Anthony Colandrea3.70Downgrade
current room: 210 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Scramblerextends plays with his feet until something opens up
DLin 1 - Herb Gray3.60out 2 - Tunmise Adeleye3.60Downgrade
current room: 280 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (108 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · UNLV

3 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    UNLV Week 0 opener vs Memphis

    Week 0 road opener at a top-25 Memphis program is the earliest possible gut-check for Mullen's rebuild — CB depth at #63 nationally gets stress-tested before the Mountain West schedule even starts.

    Aug 24Reported
  2. News

    UNLV QB competition ongoing

    Mullen inherited a QB room with no clear answer and a fanbase expecting a winner — fall camp battle is the whole offseason story in one depth chart spot.

    Jul 17Reported
  3. News

    Mountain West title odds: +260 → +337 (▼4.9pp implied)

    Mountain west title odds dropped 4.9pp without an obvious public catalyst.

    Sep 14
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+1.7 net portal points
(raw ledger: +4.6 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
IOL
+10.2
need filled
CB
-6.9
starter risk
OT
+4.3
low confidence
TE
+3.6
low confidence
QB
-3.6
DL
-3.5
WR
+3.4
LS
-3.0
low confidence
LB
+1.8
P
-1.0
S
-0.7
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Jordan Njoku
LB · Culver City, CA
#554 national
Profiles like a typical incoming linebacker — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Linebacker archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Jesse Harden
WR · Riverview, FL
#665 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 18 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Aveon Williams
DL · Casa Grande, AZ
#966 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

28
CA · 11GA · 3NV · 3TX · 3FL · 2WA · 2AZ · 1MS · 1+2 more

CA leads the 2026 class with 11 commits. National footprint reaching 10 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

92 signees across 17 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA3IDMTNDMN1WIMINYMAORNV13WYSDIAILINOH3PANJCTCA29UT3CO2NEMO4KYWVVAMDDERIAZ6NMKS1ARTN1NCSCDCOK2LAMS2ALGA5AKHI2TX11FL4
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median UNLV player grew up 608 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

17th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%223–1,403 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi15%16 of 105 players
Farthest2,754 miBlesyng Alualu-Tuiolemotu · Kalihi, HI
Closest6 miJaylen Allen · Las Vegas, NV

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Allegiant Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 105 of 108 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns NV · 2026 roster

15% of the UNLV roster grew up in NV.

16 of 107 players, drawn from 19 states in all. That is the 116th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

CA · 31NV · 16TX · 16GA · 9FL · 8WA · 4AZ · 3OK · 3+11 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

107 players across 19 states. Biggest pull outside NV: CA (31).

MEVTNHWA4IDMTNDMNWIMINYMAOR1NV16WYSDIAIL1INOH2PANJ1CTCA31UT2CO2NEMO1KYWVVAMD1DERIAZ3NMKSARTNNCSCDCOK3LA2MS2ALGA9AKHI2TX16FL8
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Game Thread] Memphis @ UNLV (10:00 PM ET)
94 upvotes · Aug 2026

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 60% never transferred. F
See the class →
Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
12th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(62nd among FBS)
Market 50pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 2 books
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

The bounces haven't gone their way on their own fumbles: 50% recovered, vs. ~54% expected.

3 of 6 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Deflections without payoff: 6% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.

1 interceptions of 16 disrupted passes (15 deflected, 1 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Roughly even on flags: 21 penalties committed vs. 23 drawn on opponents.

198 penalty yards committed vs. 202 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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