UNLV routs Akron 38-10
UNLV routed Akron 38-10. Share this game
We had Akron favored. UNLV won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave UNLV a 31% chance, and the closing betting line (UNLV was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.
UNLV · Q4 7:19UNLV 38-10 Akron
UNLV wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Akron 10-38 UNLVAkron lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 11:58Gant 12-yd TD run, Akron goes ahead 7-0UNLV 70% → 57% (−13)
- 2Q1 8:11Arnold 40-yd TD pass to Thomas, ties it 7-7UNLV 64% → 76% (+12)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 11:58Gant 12-yd TD run, Akron goes ahead 7-0Akron 30% → 43% (+13)
- 2Q1 8:11Arnold 40-yd TD pass to Thomas, ties it 7-7Akron 36% → 24% (−12)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (UNLV -13.5), at 76% for UNLV (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
UNLV scored on 5 of its 10 drives; Akron on 2 of its 11.
UNLV’s drives are teal, Akron’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From Akron’s side
Akron’s best moment: Gant 12-yd TD run, Akron goes ahead 7-0 (Q1 11:58). It lifted Akron’s win chance by 13 points.
What it cost
UNLV’s chance to win the conference rose from 16% to 18%.
Win the conference
Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score
UNLV 38, Akron 10
UNLV covered −13.5 by 14.5. The total, 48, stayed under 52.5.
| Team totals | UNLV | Akron |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 493 | 301 |
| Passing | 17 of 29, 290 yds | 14 of 26, 194 yds |
| Rushing | 34 for 203 yds | 32 for 107 yds |
| First downs | 22 | 19 |
| Third down | 6 of 13 | 5 of 13 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| Penalties | 6 for 70 yds | 2 for 25 yds |
| Time of possession | 31:38 | 28:22 |
UNLV leaders
- Passing Jackson Arnold 17 of 29, 290 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Jai'Den Thomas 15 for 113 yds, 1 TD; Alex Orji 2 for 29 yds
- Receiving Tastean Reddicks 4 for 116 yds, 1 TD; Jai'Den Thomas 3 for 54 yds, 2 TD
Akron leaders
- Passing Brayden Roggow 14 of 25, 194 yds, 2 INT
- Rushing Jordan Gant 19 for 80 yds, 1 TD; Sean Patrick 8 for 48 yds
- Receiving Marcel Williams 6 for 83 yds; Kyan Mason 3 for 73 yds
No rain through the game
67° at kickoff · no rain recorded
Game-day temperatures at InfoCision Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Akron airport, 3.2 miles away, and Akron / Canton airport, 11 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
UNLV · 1-2
Rated 91st in our preseason ratings, 105th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Last three games
Akron · 1-2
Rated 58th in our preseason ratings, 67th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Week by week
Akron
- Wk 1Lat Wake Forest16-38
- Wk 2Wvs Robert Morris45-10
- Wk 3Lat Minnesota7-41
UNLV
- Wk 1Lvs Memphis21-27
- Wk 1Wat Hawai'i21-6
- Wk 2Lat North Texas6-44
Power rating by week
Akron is rated 3.9 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: Akron’s passing EPA against UNLV, 59 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Akron’s passing EPA against UNLV’s defense
Akron offense, 24th percentile · UNLV defense, 83rd
UNLV’s explosive plays against Akron’s defense
UNLV offense, 69th percentile · Akron defense, 14th
UNLV’s EPA/play against Akron’s defense
UNLV offense, 36th percentile · Akron defense, 10th
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Akron fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (28th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
- Model · 69%
- Line · 14%
- Akron fans · 28th
- UNLV fans · 22nd
UNLV favored by 13.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go
UNLV by 13.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 0.5 points toward Akron.
The total rose 3 points.
Spread: +14 → +13.5 · Total: 49.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Mild and dry. Feels like 68° at kickoff.
UNLV at Akron · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · InfoCision Stadium, Akron
- 68°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 100weather score, Ideal
At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed.
- noon: 100, Ideal (this game)
- 12:45 pm: 100, Ideal
- 2 pm: 100, Ideal
- 3:30 pm: 100, Ideal
- 4 pm: 100, Ideal
- 5 pm: 100, Ideal
- 6 pm: 100, Ideal
- 7 pm: 100, Ideal
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Akron is worth +3.4 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 34th percentile.
19% at home, 13% on the road against FBS opponents (7-30 home, 7-46 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.2 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 1,839 miles to get here.