Memphis

2-1

American Athletic · Charles Huff, year 1 (2-1) · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · 58,325 · 45,632 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#91 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #64 (+2.1) · FPI #69
The marketno line yetvs UT Martin · our model 85% Memphis · a number, not a pick

LastL 20–38 at Boise State · Sat Sep 12 · Hunter Tipton 229 rec yds, 1 TD

Nextvs UT Martin · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · series 2-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Memphis · 2026 schedule & results2-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Aug 30#100#91+5@UNLVW 27–21 1391-00-0
1Sep 5#100#160-10.5Arkansas StateW 42–24 1222-00-0
2Sep 12#97#29+9.5@Boise StateL 20–38 1272-10-0
3Sep 19#91#167UT Martin
5Oct 3@Charlotte
6Oct 10UAB
7Oct 16@Tulane
8Oct 22East Carolina
9Oct 31Army
11Nov 13@South Florida
12Nov 21@Navy
13Nov 27Temple
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12@Boise StateL 20–38519120:04+0.06832.1%221.4%Season-low EPA/play
Sep 5Arkansas StateW 42–24523229:27+0.49149.2%149.1%Season-high EPA/play
Aug 30@UNLVW 27–21418124:51+0.28847.5%108.8%Best defensive stand
Season average (3 games)4871.3+0.28242.9%159.7%
Verdict Begins·Live

Memphis builds 10-win teams and watches them get raided — for the players, for the coach, for the conference invite that never comes — and the chip is that the city keeps producing winners the powers keep treating as a parts bin.

Title DroughtSince 2019 · 7 yrs

The fanbase watches every realignment shuffle leave Memphis on the outside while it out-wins programs that got the call — the sense that the city beats people who'll never have to share a conference w…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 8-5 · last season

Game feel56even gamescombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 14 in the American Athletic
Heart rate2-3white-knucklein one-score games (5 of 13)3rd most one-score games of 14 in the American Athletic
Margin+9.3comfortableavg scoring margin4th best margin of 14 in the American Athletic
Tempo68average paceoffensive plays / game8th fastest of 13 in the American Athletic
Big plays1.31some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)5th most explosive of 14 in the American Athletic
Home crowd30,097avg attendance4th biggest crowds of 14 in the American Athletic

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among American Athletic teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Memphis has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6
We’re seeing a bigger flood of TCU money on the spread. And then TCU moneyline on the parlays
Feazel · FOX Sports4 days before Memphis's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs UT Martin · at home

Season line8.5 winsover -105
EliteRun-heavy, ground-controlExplosive, big-play

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 8.5▲1 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#53 in field+70000
AAC title#3 in market+400

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Memphis · the story right now 10 storylines developing

What Memphis's program standing is really about

the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?

dynastythis cycle~readnew

Memphis has slipped from elite-tier consistency — the first time below the top-14% tier since 2024 raises questions about sustaining an 8-5 standard with #59 talent.

what happenedMemphis has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 34% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 27%. ✓ fact
the contexta 25-11 record over the last three regular seasons

our readfront page

market_swing2026-09-10✓ factnew

Memphis win total rose from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier B).

the contextwin total up 1.0 from 7.5 to 8.5

our readdeveloping

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Ryan Silverfield enters his sixth season with an 8-5 record, but a coordinator change and uneasy fan sentiment signal unmet expectations for a program aiming to build on its recent upward trajectory.

what happenedMemphis: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Cortez Braham is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

portal2026-02-03~readnew

Ryan Silverfield's third straight top-10 portal class arrives with just 2% QB production returning and zero continuity at quarterback — an extreme rebuild for a program that went 8-5 last year.

what happenedMemphis signed a top-20 transfer-portal class — 51 additions headlined by Marcus Stokes (QB) from West Florida and Air Noland (QB) from South Carolina. ✓ fact
the contextthe third-largest transfer-portal haul in FBS this cycle (51 additions)

our readfront page

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Charles Huff's first season at Memphis follows an 8-5 record, with a coordinator change reshaping units as the program seeks to build on its upward trajectory.

what happenedMemphis: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Brady Kluse is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Frank Peasant sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.

our readbackground

portal2025-08-01~readnew

Brendon Lewis (QB) headlines Memphis' top-2 portal class as Ryan Silverfield rebuilds 98% of a roster that reached an 11-2 ceiling last season.

what happenedMemphis signed a top-41 transfer-portal class — 36 additions headlined by Brendon Lewis (QB) from Nevada and Chauncey Logan Jr. (CB) from James Madison. ✓ fact
the contextthe No. 1 portal class in the American Athletic this cycle

our readdeveloping

coachingthis cycle✓ factnew

Charles Huff took over as Memphis's head coach, replacing Ryan Silverfield.

the contextreplaces 6-year head coach Ryan Silverfield (50-24)

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedMemphis's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
AnsweredMemphis's fall from dynasty-caliber territory held — it stayed out.
Died downMemphis's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Memphis · 2026

Memphis' most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Memphis · Program power Confidence

The arrow is pointing down for Memphis — the numbers back it.

Memphis has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 34% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 27%. It is a 25-11 record over the last three regular seasons. A measured structural decline the model registered before the coverage caught up. Quiet trending down is its own signal.

Developing2 new this week
3 days agoHunter Tipton: 9 rec · 229 yds · 1 TD at Boise State
5 days agoWin total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)
last weekJaylin Carter: 19 car · 183 yds · 4 TD vs Arkansas State
Jun 26DL Chris Stokes dismissed from team — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Memphis has slipped from elite-tier consistency — the first time below the top-14% tier since 2024 raises questions about sustaining an 8-5 standard with #59 talent.
Source of record: Memphis has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 34% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 27% — a 25-11 record over the last three regular seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissent
🎪The circus“Cortez Braham lawsuit dismissed, NCAA cannot punish Memphis with” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Cortez Braham lawsuit dismissed, NCAA cannot punish Memphis with 'rule of restitution'”
The Commercial Appeal · 2026-09-10 · read ↗
📣Believers0 bullish/momentum items -- the case it's working.

The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.

“Memphis receives no votes in coaches’ or AP poll:”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Takeaways from Memphis’ 18-point loss to Boise State”
roundtable.io · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Memphis Football Predictions Update”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'wait and see' counter -- power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

Following now · Memphis · Developing Confidence

Memphis: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Memphis: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Developing2 new this week
3 days agoHunter Tipton: 9 rec · 229 yds · 1 TD at Boise State
5 days agoWin total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)
last weekJaylin Carter: 19 car · 183 yds · 4 TD vs Arkansas State
Jun 26DL Chris Stokes dismissed from team — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Ryan Silverfield enters his sixth season with an 8-5 record, but a coordinator change and uneasy fan sentiment signal unmet expectations for a program aiming to build on its recent upward trajectory.
Source of record: Memphis: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Cortez Braham lawsuit dismissed, NCAA cannot punish Memphis with” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Cortez Braham lawsuit dismissed, NCAA cannot punish Memphis with 'rule of restitution'”
The Commercial Appeal · 2026-09-10 · read ↗
📣Believers0 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Memphis receives no votes in coaches’ or AP poll:”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Takeaways from Memphis’ 18-point loss to Boise State”
roundtable.io · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Memphis Football Predictions Update”
On3 CFB · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards10% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (74%).

This event was in 40 of 383 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"It was a great game until suddenly my power went out and someone knocked on the door and the oven timer beeped and my cat was on fire so I couldn't watch the end. I assume Memphis"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Hi! Im the admin of Broncofans.net and a couple years ago I had a blast in Memphis, even though you beat us. I met so many cool Memphis fans, You guys were fabulous hosts! Here is"
r/MemphisTigers ~ fan take

Board health this week (128 posts): 25% positive · 48% neutral · 27% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Rival pulse

Ole Miss
Bullish
+40
Memphis-Ole Miss

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Memphis is the American Athletic program whose Mike Norvell era produced multiple top-25 finishes and whose 2024 11-2 ceiling under Ryan Silverfield kept the trajectory upward.

Offense: EliteRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlTempo: Explosive, big-play
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026Hired Charles Huff
  • 2025 · Wk 12Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 11 · Lost 32-38 at home to Tulanewas No. 22
  • 2025 · Wk 10Entered the AP Top 25Week 9 · Won 34-31 at home over South Floridaat No. 25
  • 2025 · Wk 9Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 8 · Lost 24-31 at UABwas No. 22
  • 2025 · Wk 7Entered the AP Top 25Week 6 · Won 45-7 at home over Tulsaat No. 23
  • 2025Reggie Howard departs (interim)0-1
  • 2025Ryan Silverfield departs50-24
  • 2025Hired Reggie Howard (interim)
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Memphis

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production6%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#67 nationally247 composite 670.3
Portal Additions51Primary repair: DL
Portal Losses47Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss1NFL Draft departures (1)
Recruiting Reload#72Depth class
DLin 9 - Eric Thomas3.60out 5 - Joshua White3.49Need Filled
current room: 269 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 6 - Zach Ruffin4.28out 7 - Ian Williams3.60Even
Coverage 'Backercarries tight ends down the field in coverage
IOLin 3 - Skyler Grant3.50out 8 - Yakiri Walker3.60Starter Risk
current room: 297 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 6 - Jabari Ishmael3.60out 4 - Le'Kell McGowan3.50Need Filled
Two-Gap Base2025 profilewins his gap play after play
Third program
WRin 6 - Alante Brown4.28out 2 - Jamari Hawkins3.60Need Filled
current room: 190 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receiver2022 profilemoves the chains on third down
LBin 3 - Christian Thatcher3.50out 5 - Crews Law3.60Starter Risk
current room: 217 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (108 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Memphis

5 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    DL Chris Stokes dismissed from team

    Silverfield cuts Stokes loose after a handgun arrest on campus — roster already thin up front, and now the DL room takes a hit right before Jackson's commitment window closes.

    Jun 26Reported
  2. News

    Hunter Tipton: 9 rec · 229 yds · 1 TD at Boise State

    Top 0.1% receiving yards game since 2021. at Boise State (FBS) L 20-38.

    Sep 12
  3. News

    Win total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)

    The 7.5 to 8.5 move confirmed what was already public — the market repriced after the news landed.

    Sep 10
  4. News

    Jaylin Carter: 19 car · 183 yds · 4 TD vs Arkansas State

    Top 1% rushing TDs game since 2021. vs Arkansas State (FBS) W 42-24.

    Sep 5
  5. News

    American Conference announces revenue sharing

    Revenue sharing hits the American and Memphis — sitting at #72 nationally in class rank with IOL depth still a real concern — now has a financial argument it couldn't make two years ago when portal recruiting was pure hustle over dollars.

    Jul 27Official
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+1.7 net portal points
(raw ledger: +19.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
IOL
-17.6
starter risk
WR
+14.8
need filled
DL
+14.2
need filled
OT
+10.1
need filled
TE
-7.5
starter risk
LB
-6.8
starter risk
EDGE
+6.2
need filled
QB
+3.5
S
-2.5
CB
+2.5
P
+2.3
K
+1.0
RB
-1.0
LS
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Elijah Fernandez
LB · Franklin, TN
#634 national
Profiles like a typical incoming linebacker — 13 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Linebacker archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Eric Perry
ATH · Southaven, MS
#884 national
★★★☆☆
Jaylin Taylor
WR · Oxford, AL
#1211 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 19 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

23
GA · 8AL · 3FL · 3TN · 3MS · 2IL · 1KS · 1MO · 1+1 more

GA leads the 2026 class with 8 commits. National footprint reaching 9 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

95 signees across 17 states, 2023-2026. GA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NYMAORNVWYSDIA1IL2INOHPANJCTCA1UTCONEMO1KYWVVAMD1DERIAZNMKS3ARTN13NC1SC1DCOK1LA3MS13AL8GA22AKHITX12FL11
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Memphis player grew up 346 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

54th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%217–627 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi11%11 of 103 players
Farthest1,868 miMichael Montgomery · Seattle, WA
Closest5 miDallan Hayden · Memphis, TN

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 103 of 108 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns TN · 2026 roster

17% of the Memphis roster grew up in TN.

18 of 106 players, drawn from 23 states in all. That is the 112th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

TN · 18FL · 17GA · 17AL · 10MS · 8TX · 6VA · 4LA · 3+15 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

106 players across 23 states. Biggest pull outside TN: FL (17).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWI1MI2NY1MAORNV1WYSDIAIL1INOH1PANJ3CTCA1UTCO1NEMO2KY1WVVA4MD3DERIAZ1NMKSARTN18NC3SCDCOKLA3MS8AL10GA17AKHITX6FL17
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 2 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Navy Defeats Memphis 28-17
1,095 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Postgame Thread] UAB Defeats Memphis 31-24
817 upvotes · Oct 2025
[Postgame Thread] Memphis Defeats USF 34-31
621 upvotes · Oct 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 21% never transferred. F
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

84th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
84th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
8.5
Vegas O/U wins
(82nd among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 1 book
TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Cashing in more than most: 36% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.

4 interceptions of 11 disrupted passes (7 deflected, 4 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The flags have favored them: 22 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 16 committed, 30 yards to the good.

169 penalty yards committed vs. 199 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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