CFB Zeitgeist Score
57
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 96th percentile.
Tychaun Chapman
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
444 REC YDS · 24 REC · 3 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Memphis
2025Southern Miss
2026Memphis
WR · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT
Tychaun Chapman
- 3
- #2
- 6-0 | 180 lb
- Virginia Beach, VA
Heisman Heat
#1299
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+229%
Up 229% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9233 | No. 194 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Southern Miss -> Memphis | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Marshall -> Southern Miss | 4-star | Immediate |
| 2024 | North Carolina -> Marshall | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to North Carolina
Composite
0.9233
#194 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Tychaun Chapman
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Tychaun Chapman
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
18.5
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #14 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 98th
Why it matters
#14 of 531 All FBS WRs at 18.5 yards per reception (24 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 18.5 (98th)
MODERATE · n=24 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#265 / 531
- Receiving TDs#222 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 vs App State — 112 ypr
Result W 38-22
The week the volume broke through — put up 112 yds vs App State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
444Rec yards
24Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
40.4Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
524.7Rec yards
28Receptions
4Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 444): needs 128/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 444): needs 278/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 24): needs 18/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 24): needs 28/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Tychaun Chapman's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Southern Miss, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
24 68th
YDS
444 77th
YPR
18.5 91st
TD
3 82nd
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
12 53rd
YPC
12.0 92nd
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 38-20vs Jackson State | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-22vs App State | 4 | 112 | 28.0 | 0 | 41 | Season-high 112 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 5 | W 42-25vs Jacksonville State | 1 | 43 | 43.0 | 0 | 43 | |
| Wk 7 | W 38-35@ Georgia Southern | 4 | 52 | 13.0 | 1 | 50 | |
| Wk 8 | W 22-10@ Louisiana | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 9 | W 49-21vs UL Monroe | 3 | 83 | 27.7 | 1 | 40 | |
| Wk 11 | W 27-21@ Arkansas State | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | 0 | 35 | |
| Wk 12 | L 14-41vs Texas State | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 14 | L 18-28vs Troy | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Bowl | L 16-27vs Western Kentucky | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | 1 | 35 | |
| Total | 24 | 444 | 17.4 | 3 | 50 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023North Carolina8-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | 24 | 444 | 18.5 | 3 | -- |
| 2024 | Marshall | 17 | 146 | 8.6 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | North Carolina | 7 | 135 | 19.3 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 48 | 725 | 15.1 | 5 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | 1 | 12 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Marshall | 8 | 46 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | North Carolina | 1 | 7 | 83 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 10 | 65 | 83 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 24 | #358/1110 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 444 | #260/1107 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 18.5 | #98/1106 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.1% | #602/1137 | 47th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 12 | #144/346 | 59th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 12 | #187/397 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 12.0 | #31/393 | 92nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 50 | #277/1105 | 75th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.8% | #478/1137 | 58th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.6% | #516/1137 | 55th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.5% | #575/1137 | 50th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 4.3% | #566/1137 | 50th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.1% | #692/1137 | 39th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.0% | #683/1137 | 40th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.3% | #332/1137 | 71st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 2.3 | 48.9 | 19.9 | 0.3 |
| Road4g | 2.0 | 25.5 | 11.7 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.3 | 48.0 | 21.6 | 0.3 |
| Losses4g | 2.0 | 27.0 | 11.2 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.3 | 44.8 | 18.8 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 2.0 | 35.0 | 15.4 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
57Solid starter
Elite: yards / catch (96th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Tychaun ChapmanSouthern MissHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 71% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 68% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 68% sim
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Long catch
Rec yards
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kam Brown’s 2022 season.
Kam Brown
81%match
#2
Keandre Lambert
81%
#3
Roman Wilson
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 20
79%
#4
Eddie Lewis
79%
#5
Jeff Foreman
78%
Matches Kam on
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Class year
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Will Vereen’s path through South Carolina State.
Will Vereen
100%match
#2
Beau Kelly
99%
#3
Tre Nixon
NFL Rd 7
99%
#4
Jalin Hyatt
BiletnikoffConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
97%
#5
Jalen Coker
92%
Matches Will on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Vandrevious Jacobs's junior season at South Carolina (2025).
Vandrevious Jacobs
76%match
#2
Ontaria Wilson
75%
#3
Max Patterson
75%
#4
Chris Hilton Jr.
74%
#5
RJ Garcia II
70%
Matches Vandrevious on
EPA / play (adj)
Recruiting rating
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Vandrevious on
Class year (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Charles Huff
Pass share
49.9%
454 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
70.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.3%
315 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
3 coaches2023
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2024era →
Reed Stringer
Southern Miss
2025era →
Charles Huff
Southern Miss
Played under 3 different head coaches: Will Hall, Reed Stringer, and Charles Huff. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownVirginia Beach, VA
Height6'0"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSouthern Miss
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Marshall | WR3 | #1299 | #1924 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | North Carolina | WR3 | #1152 | #1105 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | North Carolina | WR3 | #3210 | #2970 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | WR | 3 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 180 lb | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 2024 | Marshall | Sun Belt | WR | 3 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 180 lb | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 2023 | North Carolina | ACC | WR | 3 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 180 lb | Virginia Beach, VA |
| 2022 | North Carolina | ACC | WR | 3 | No. 2 | 6-0 | 180 lb | Virginia Beach, VA |