Sun Belt Southern Miss

Head coach Blake Anderson · 2nd season · 3-6 at Southern Miss

Record3-52-2 Sun Belt · T-4th
Bowl3 wins to goto bowl eligibility
Nextvs James MadisonThu Nov 5 · 8 pm ET · ESPN2

The rest of the season

4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: Louisiana Tech 13%

Win out 2% · expect 1.7 of 4 more wins

Southern Miss's chance to win each game left, from our model: James Madison 46%, Louisiana Tech 13%, South Alabama 43%, Old Dominion 64%

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.

Conference title chance went from 13% to 4%, peaking at 32% before a game

13%32%W16%L6%L7%L3%L<1%L3%W4%W

Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.

StandingTied for 4th in the Sun Belt · 2-2 in conference play · All standings

LeadersPassing Landy Lyddy 1,326 · Rushing Steven Robinson 728 · Receiving Mario Sanders II 600 All player stats

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#100 CFB ZeitgeistPublic ratings: SP+ #126 (-16.0) · FPI #115
The marketJames Madison by 14.5Betting line vs James Madison · our model 46% Southern Miss

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9

Follow Southern Miss:athletics siteSun BeltInstagram

Schedule and results

Southern Miss · 2026 schedule and results3-5Balanced slateAverage opponent win rate 47% · 0 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.Our rank entering each game: #57 to #127
WkDateOur rankOpp rankLineOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
1Sep 5#57#167−20.5✓ +25.5Alcorn StateW 49-3 142Southern Miss won 49-3 vs Alcorn State. Chance to win started at 93%, low 88%, high better than 99%.1-00-0Pass Hampton 180 · Rush Robinson 123 · Rec Sanders II 94
2Sep 12#57#70+32.5✗ −2.5@AuburnL 8-43 142Southern Miss lost 8-43 at Auburn. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.1-10-0Pass Hampton 146 · Rush Robinson 51 · Rec Sanders II 58
3Sep 19#59#116+3.5✗ −24.5UConnL 20-48 149Southern Miss lost 20-48 vs UConn. Chance to win started at 47%, low under 1%, high 49%.1-20-0Pass Lyddy 194 · Rush Robinson 72 · Rec Sanders II 81
4Sep 26#77#74+17.5✓ +14.5@TulaneL 21-24 141Southern Miss lost 21-24 at Tulane. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 61%.1-30-0Pass Lyddy 243 · Rush Robinson 73 · Rec Dalton 75
5Bye week
6Oct 6#90#114+9.5✗ −11.5@TroyL 34-55 146Southern Miss lost 34-55 at Troy. Chance to win started at 22%, low under 1%, high 22%.1-40-1Pass Lyddy 316 · Rush Briggs 44 · Rec Saunders 138
7Oct 17#113#131+5.5✗ −4.5Arkansas StateL 13-23 135Southern Miss lost 13-23 vs Arkansas State. Chance to win started at 41%, low under 1%, high 41%.1-50-2Pass Lyddy 208 · Rush Robinson 84 · Rec Sanders II 88
8Oct 24#127#38+11.5✓ +15.5LouisianaW 35-31 162Southern Miss won 35-31 vs Louisiana. Chance to win started at 27%, low 9%, high 97%.2-51-2Pass Lyddy 164 · Rush Wilder 154 · Rec Sanders II 77
9Oct 31#127#207−3.5✓ +10.5@UL MonroeW 35-21 150Southern Miss won 35-21 at UL Monroe. Chance to win started at 49%, low 44%, high better than 99%.3-52-2Pass Lyddy 130 · Rush Robinson 151 · Rec Sanders II 31
10Nov 5#122#47+14.5James Madison8 pm ET · ESPN246% to win
11Nov 14#113#45@Louisiana Techtime TBA13% to win
12Nov 21South Alabamatime TBA43% to win
13Nov 28@Old Dominiontime TBA
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for Southern Miss, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Line is the closing point spread for Southern Miss: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 31@UL MonroeW 35-21379027:20+0.07233.3%1.43
Oct 24LouisianaW 35-31450125:43-0.04741.0%1.18One-score win
Oct 17Arkansas StateL 13-23289219:52-0.26331.1%1.32Season-low EPA/play
Oct 6@TroyL 34-55512320:38+0.17749.3%1.43Most explosive
Sep 26@TulaneL 21-24401029:18+0.23835.9%1.39One-score loss
Sep 19UConnL 20-48401225:56-0.16837.7%1.20Blowout loss
Sep 12@AuburnL 8-43221227:11-0.23335.0%0.85Blowout loss
Sep 5Alcorn StateW 49-3543131:21+0.40258.8%1.07Season-high EPA/play
Season average (8 games)4001.4+0.02240.3%1.23

Southern Miss's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses

What’s ahead

The forecast
Offense poorPass-first, spreadDefense soft

Season expectations

Sun Belt title#12 in market+11,112

Median odds across sportsbooks · Nov 4. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.

Today’s games across college football

What fans said

What fans said

W 35-31 vs Louisiana

Southern Miss fans
r/CFB
“We will never lose to Lafayette two times in a row at home.”
1w ago
r/CFB
“We used to play them almost every year”
1w ago

Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 14Rivalry in Dixieat Louisiana Tech · on the road

Recent form · last 10 games

Southern Miss has won two of its last five.

3-7 over the last 10, and won the last two.

Streak W2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 3-7

Playoff chance, day by day

<1% now

030%<1%High 17%, Sep 7Aug 31Nov 4

Our simulation, 20,000 seasons a night, counted from the first full week of games.

1 storyline developing

What Southern Miss’s coaching hire is really about

The open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?

Coachingthis cyclenew

Blake Anderson, who previously coached at Utah State, inherits a 7-6 roster with 90% production returning — Southern Miss hasn't won a conference title since 2010, and the stakes are clear.

What happenedBlake Anderson took over as Southern Miss's head coach, replacing Charles Huff.
The contextreplaces 4-year head coach Will Hall (14-30)

Statusdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedSouthern Miss moved on from that hire — a new coaching change began the following season. See who's next →
ReplacedSouthern Miss's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downSouthern Miss's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Written by our model from the storyline records. It can get facts wrong.

Range of outcomes · Southern Miss · 2026

Southern Miss’ most likely regular season is 5-7. 89% of outcomes land from 4-8 to 6-6.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

3 wins 10%; 4 wins 34%; 5 wins 39%; 6 wins 16%; 7 wins 2%
What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor5-7No postseason.
Base6-7A bowl game.
Ceiling8-5A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.

How fans reactedreal posts and moves · tap to open
Following now · Southern Miss · Coaching

New coverage keeps arriving on Blake Anderson at Southern Miss.

Blake Anderson took over as Southern Miss's head coach, replacing Charles Huff. It is replaces 4-year head coach Will Hall (14-30). The coverage has moved from the hire itself to what followed it. The coverage is thin so far, and the story is still developing.

upbeat so far, only a few posts doubt on the left, belief on the right · bigger dot, louder
Believers3 upbeat posts
Drama: simmeringFans: 1% volume
Developing2 new this week
3 days agoSouthern Miss football coach Blake Anderson reacts to win over UL Monroe · Hattiesburg American
6 days ago'Bring Your Own Juice': Blake Anderson Warns Southern Miss Against Letdown at ULM · Sports Illustrated
last weekAnderson Praises Win, Shifts Focus to ULM · sm2media.com
last weekFormer WR arrested for murder
last weekWin total still unmoved 10d after "RB Briggs out for season"
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Blake Anderson Head coach
“Southern Miss football coach Blake Anderson reacts to win over UL Monroe” — Hattiesburg American · 2026-11-01
Charles Huff Out
Blake Anderson Calls
“Blake Anderson Calls for Accountability After Southern Miss' Loss at Troy” — Yahoo Sports · 2026-10-15
Our read
Blake Anderson, who previously coached at Utah State, inherits a 7-6 roster with 90% production returning — Southern Miss hasn't won a conference title since 2010, and the stakes are clear.
Source of record: Blake Anderson took over as Southern Miss's head coach, replacing Charles Huff — replaces 4-year head coach Will Hall (14-30).
How fans are reacting · tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards thinThe Dominoes active
🎪The circusTop off-field item: “Blake Anderson Shares Fall Camp Takeaways and Has a Message…”.›

The off-field storyline drawing the most coverage right now. This section collects the drama around the program, kept apart from the analysis.

“Blake Anderson Shares Fall Camp Takeaways and Has a Message for Southern Miss Fans”
Sports Illustrated · Aug 25 · read ↗
📣Believers3 bullish/hire items making the case that it's working.›

The 'this hire changes everything' takes: new-era believers making the case early.

“Southern Miss coach Blake Anderson speaks to media after loss to Arkansas State”
Hattiesburg American · Oct 18 · read ↗
“Anderson Praises Win, Shifts Focus to ULM”
sm2media.com · Oct 27 · read ↗
“Southern Miss coach Blake Anderson's opening statement after 35-31 win over Louisiana”
Hattiesburg American · Oct 25 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent; the coverage runs one way.›

The 'show me the body of work' counter: resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

Nothing in our corpus yet.

💬The boards2 board mentions, too few to call a stance.›

Only 2 of 201 board posts mention it, below our floor for calling a community stance. The posts are shown for texture only.

Nothing in our corpus yet.

Board posters are a vocal, self-selected slice of the fanbase.

🔗The dominoes12 downstream moves tied to the hire.›

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Coach Oz Talks USM Offseason Moves, Including 'The Best' Eagles Freshman Recruiting Class He's Seen Yet”
Yahoo Sports · Oct 2 · read ↗
“4-star WR commit Deshawn Hall visits for Southern Miss game: 'I'm Auburn 100%'”
On3 · Sep 13 · read ↗

More in this tab

This week and this season

Worth watchingGames average 58 combined points, shootouts

What it is like to watch them2026 · 3-5

Game feel58shootoutscombined pts / game4th highest-scoring of 14 in the Sun Belt
Heart rate1-1rarely closein one-score games (2 of 8)12th most one-score games of 14 in the Sun Belt
Margin-4.1outgunnedavg scoring margin11th best margin of 14 in the Sun Belt
Tempo70uptempooffensive plays / game2nd fastest of 14 in the Sun Belt
Big plays1.23some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)8th most explosive of 14 in the Sun Belt
Home crowd23,775avg attendance5th biggest crowds of 14 in the Sun Belt

Measured from 8 games · ranks are among Sun Belt teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

Southern Miss is where Brett Favre learned to throw it — a Hattiesburg program that once strung together 21 straight winning seasons and now fights to remember it's a place that wins.

Title DroughtSince 2011 · 15 yrs

Eagle fans are tired of being filed under forgotten — the program that developed an NFL Hall of Famer and won for two straight decades, now treated like it never mattered. They'll tell you Southern…

Read the full program story ↓
Game-day weatherKickoff-time weather at home, and the forecast in game week.

Southern Miss · Game-day weather

Typical at M. M. Roberts Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 96, noon Saturdays 81

  • noon: 81, Mixed
  • 3:30 pm: 84, Mixed
  • 7:30 pm: 96, Comfortable

Typical weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read it.

At kickoff, regular-season Saturdays, 2018 to 2025: 113 at noon, 113 at 3:30 pm, 114 at 7:30 pm. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Southern Miss is the Sun Belt program whose 1988-2010 consecutive-winning-seasons streak + Brett Favre 1987-1990 + The Rock M.M. Roberts Stadium define what historic-Mississippi-football looks like.

Offense: PoorRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Soft
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.

The story

Read the Southern Miss story →
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Charles Huff departs7-5
  • 2025Hired Blake Anderson
  • 2025Hired Charles Huff

Roster and recruiting

Roster90% of production back, talent #94

Roster reload: Southern Miss

2026 snapshot, Nov 4
Returning Production90%High continuity
Talent Composite#94 nationally247 composite 602.6
Portal Additions38Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses28Primary pressure: DL
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#108Depth class
Sin 7 - Jordan Pride3.50out 5 - Zach Ruffin4.28Need Filled
current room: 192 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 6 - Jonah Martinez3.60out 3 - Guylijah Theodule3.60Need Filled
current room: 184 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 4 - Xavier McIver3.50out 5 - Mason Clinton3.60Downgrade
current room: 289 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Nose Anchor2021 profilecontrols the point of attack and doesn't move
EDGEin 4 - Will Smith3.60out 5 - Garrick Ponder3.80Downgrade
Two-Gap Basewins the gap play after play
Transferred in
WRin 4 - Kaden Saunders4.28out 3 - Tychaun Chapman3.60Upgrade
current room: 187 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receivermoves the chains on third down
Former four-star
IOLin 3 - Christian Young3.50out 1 - Carlos Slayden3.30Need Filled
current room: 305 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (165 players)
UNKA'mari Wilson, Baron Taylor, JR Stegall, Josh Johnson, Landon Sylvie, Nasim Cairo
CBBrendan Toles, Champ Lewis, Guylijah Theodule, Ishmael Ibraheem, Jonah Martinez, Josh Moten, Jyaire Brown, Malakai Murphy, Sammy Anderson
DBCannon McClain, Hiroshi Carr, Javarion Barnett, Johnnie Evans, Kelby Hampton, Kobi Albert, Kolby Peavy, Michael Robinson III, Trevor Winton
DLAri Slocum, Cameron Mackey, Chris Hayes, Chris Stokes, Darrell Gross, David Griffin, Eric Thomas Jr., Isaiah Gibson Sr., JJ Hawkins, Jackson Klein, Jameer Lewis, Jeramie Posey, KJ Washington, Kam'ron Hoyte, Kameron Cyprien, Kei'shaun Mashburn, Kyle Davis, Mason Clinton, Najae Hallenbeck, Quinzavious Warren, Ramon Pernas, Talik Parkman, Travis Bendolph, Will Smith, Xavier McIver, Zachariah Keith
DTBrodarius Lewis, Jeffery Rush
IOLBraden Cain
LBAndrew Martin, Avery Sledge, BJ Mitchell, Caleb Triplett, Garrick Ponder, Joseph Harper, Malachi Henderson, Marrio Williams Jr., Mathis Haygood, Melvin Spriggs, Peyton Anderson, Ricky Harding, Tyler Lassiter, Wesley Edison, Zion Edwards
LSAndrew Tate, Colin Kapilovic, Fred Nicholson, Luke Beard
OLAaryn Parks, Aloali'i Maui, Blake Bustard, Brayden Warner, Broderick Roman, Camden Myers, Carlos Slayden, Casey Jean-Baptiste, Chase Malamala, Christian Anderson, Christian Young, Cooper Frazier, Dante Devine, Grant Kitchens, Greg Nunnery, Hayden Breal, Jahmir Davis, Jez Janvier, Joe Rounds, Kendrick Watkins, Larry Edwards, Liam Cassidy, Luke Rogers, RJ Whitehead, Toby Mealer, Will Burgess, Zerian Hudson
PDusty Zimmer, Jack Murley, Logan Gregory
PKCreighton Wilbanks, Kaden Morgan, Reed Harradine
QBBraylon Braxton, Ethan Hampton, Hugh Price, Jacobe Robinson, John White, Kyle McCormick, Landry Lyddy, Maddox McCrory
RBBrandon Hood, Jamarice Wilder, Jaylen Foster, Jeffery Pittman, John Ford, Josiah Basten, Matt Jones, Robert Briggs, Robert Henderson, Steven Robinson, Tyrese Weeks
SAidan Horne, Cameron Knox, Chauncey Davis Jr., Dominick Hill, Jordan Pride, Josh Battle, Laquan Robinson, MaLik Caswell, Shaddai Carter
TEBroderick Peters, Caston Brown, Connor Gooding, Drew Bilderback, Javery Mayberry, Jeremiah Beck Jr., Kadinn Morris, Kyirin Heath
WRA.J. Little, Bralon Brown, Cace Reed, Carl Chester, Charles Montgomery, Davis Dalton, Dillon Rowley, Eelijah Singleton, Elijah Metcalf, Elijah Zamora, Grant Page, Israel Leamon, Jaylen Himes, Jeremiah Dillon, Kaden Saunders, King David Aboya, MJ Johnson, Mario Sanders II, Micah Davis, Mike Duran, Nehemiah Taylor, Preston Kilgore, Trey Horne, Zavian Hales
Top commits

Top 1 commits

2027 class
★★★☆☆
Caiden Wade
QB · Kosciusko, MS
#1523 national
Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] WKU Defeats Southern Miss 27-16
277 upvotes · Dec 2025
[Game Thread] New Orleans Bowl: Southern Miss vs. WKU (5:30 PM ET)
51 upvotes · Dec 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

Fans and ratings

Mood vs. historyFan mood is higher than 74% of FBS programs
↑

Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program

74th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. the lineWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market↑
74th
Fan mood
(percentile among FBS)
3.5
Sportsbook win total
(2nd among FBS)
Fans 72pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 3 books
RivalsRival pulse: Louisiana Tech hopeful

Rival pulse

Louisiana Tech
Hopeful
+17
Rivalry in Dixie

Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data

More

FollowThe team's own sites, its reporters and its podcasts.

Follow Southern Miss

Each link was checked against two outside sites.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site