cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Josh Moten /Southern Miss

Josh Moten

CB · Southern Miss · Sr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

61 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Cornerback · Southern Miss

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +9 net (37 in / 28 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Southern Miss · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #83 · 2026 recruiting class #105

CB · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT

Josh Moten

  • 4
  • #1
  • 6-0 | 185 lb
  • Waldorf, MD

CFB Zeitgeist Score

61

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9495

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Texas A&M · CB

2023

Marshall · CB

2024

Marshall · CB

2025

Southern Miss · CB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#364 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class4
Jersey1
Measurements6-0 | 185 lb
HometownWaldorf, MD
Primary teamSouthern Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 364 recruit
Composite rating 0.8951 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin National Christian Academy Fort Washington, MD, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.8951 No. 364 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Southern Miss 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 25, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Marshall -> Southern Miss 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate
2023 Texas A&M -> -- 4-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9495Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10148Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to —

Composite

0.8951

#364 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Josh Moten

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Josh Moten

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
61Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
61Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Josh Moten is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Southern Miss's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 5 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9495 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 364 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 61 38 solo | #387/4942 (92nd pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
61 92nd
SOLO
38 94th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
10 99th
INT
5 99th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 17-34vs Mississippi State1250.00.02Season-high 12 tackles
Wk 2W 38-20vs Jackson State640.00.00
Wk 3W 38-22vs App State620.00.01
Wk 4L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech410.00.03
Wk 5W 42-25vs Jacksonville State220.00.010
Wk 7W 38-35@ Georgia Southern330.00.010
Wk 8W 22-10@ Louisiana220.00.00
Wk 9W 49-21vs UL Monroe320.00.00
Wk 11W 27-21@ Arkansas State640.00.031
Wk 12L 14-41vs Texas State320.00.00
Wk 13L 35-42@ South Alabama861.00.00
Wk 14L 18-28vs Troy320.00.02
BowlL 16-27vs Western Kentucky330.00.01
Total61381.00.0510
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas A&M5-7HC: Jimbo Fisher · Balanced
2023Marshall6-7HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Southern Miss61381.00.0105--
2024Marshall38210.00.055--
2023Marshall30161.00.061--
2022Texas A&M110.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons130762.00.02111--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 5 0 pick-six TD | #6/869 (99th pct)
Pass breakups 10 Coverage disruption | #20/2184 (99th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 61 #387/4942 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 5 #6/869 99th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 10 #20/2184 99th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 38 #271/4584 94th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 25 #260/578 55th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 5.0 #432/578 25th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g4.80.00.00.8
Road5g4.60.20.00.8

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g4.00.00.00.3
Losses6g5.50.20.01.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g5.10.00.01.0
Weeks 8+6g4.20.20.00.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

61Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (99th). Strength: interceptions (98th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#20 / 2975 · 99th pct
10defe
Interceptions#6 / 817 · 98th pct
5inte
Solo tackles#271 / 2975 · 90th pct
38defe
Tackles#387 / 2975 · 87th pct
61defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Josh MotenSouthern MissTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 87% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 83% simDevin LafayetteTroy· 79% sim
Passes defended
99
Moten
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
91
Lafayette
Interceptions
98
Moten
95
Johnson
75
Lafayette
Solo tackles
90
Moten
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
98
Lafayette
Tackles
87
Moten
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
99
Lafayette
Tackles for loss
28
Moten
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
56
Lafayette
Sacks
24
Moten
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
63
Lafayette
QB hurries
22
Moten
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
22
Lafayette

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Ball Hawk

Reads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalen Mcclendon’s 2025 season.

Jalen Mcclendon

78%match

Bowling Green · 2025

All-MAC
#2

Evan Johnson

BYU · 2025

79%
#3

Joshua Pickett

Duke · 2022

75%
#4

Chris Mills

Texas State · 2022

75%
#5

Tyon Davis

Tulsa · 2021

74%

Matches Jalen on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to EJ Jackson's senior season at App State (2023).

EJ Jackson

86%match

App State · 2023

#2

Fentrell Cypress

Florida State · 2023

All-ACC
85%
#3

Kempton Shine

Eastern Michigan · 2023

84%
#4

Damaje Yancey

Troy · 2024

84%
#5

Latrell McCutchin

Houston · 2025

83%

Matches EJ on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Huff

Pass share

49.9%

454 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2023
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2024
Reed Stringer
Southern Miss
era →
2025
Charles Huff
Southern Miss
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Will Hall, Reed Stringer, and Charles Huff. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWaldorf, MD
Height6'0"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionCB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Southern Miss | Sun Belt DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Marshall CB4 #9495 #10148 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Marshall CB4 #10652 #10915 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Texas A&M CB4 #10765 #10647 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Texas A&M CB4 #7372 #7145 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Southern Miss Sun Belt CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Waldorf, MD
2024 Marshall Sun Belt CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Waldorf, MD
2023 Marshall Sun Belt CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Waldorf, MD
2022 Texas A&M SEC CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Waldorf, MD
2021 Texas A&M SEC CB 4 No. 1 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Waldorf, MD