Texas A&M football 2026: schedule, results, rankings

The rest of the season

4 of 4 games under 70%, the hardest: No. 10 Texas 38%

Win out 6% · expect 2.0 of 4 more wins

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%. Black tick: the betting line’s chance, shown where it differs from ours by 20 points or more.

Playoff chance went from 76% to 15%, peaking at 81% before a game

Our model, entering each game. The letter is the result of the game before it.

StandingTied for 14th in the SEC · 1-4 in conference play · All standings

LeadersPassing Marcel Reed 1,388 · Rushing KJ Edwards 360 · Receiving Isaiah Horton 314 All player stats

The nationAP #23 · Coaches #20down 14 from last week · week 4 poll

The model#26 CFB ZeitgeistPublic ratings: SP+ #34 (+9.7) · FPI #23

The marketSouth Carolina by 7Betting line at South Carolina · our model 55% Texas A&M

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 8

Follow Texas A&M:athletics siteXstudent paper

Texas A&M · 2026 schedule and results4-4Brutal slateAverage opponent win rate 57% · 4 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.Our rank entering each game: #6 to #25

Wk	Date	Our rank	Opp rank	Line	Opponent	Result	Record	Conf	Top performers
1	Sep 5	#6	#94	−38.5✓ +11.5	Missouri State	W 50-0 125	1-0	0-0	Pass Reed 233 · Rush Owens II 77 · Rec Horton 76
2	Sep 12	#6	#52	−15.5✓ +12.5	Arizona State	W 48-20 123	2-0	0-0	Pass Reed 163 · Rush Owens II 35 · Rec Bussey 58
3	Sep 19	#6	#95	−16.5✗ −26.5	Kentucky	L 21-31 138 Loud	2-1	0-1	Pass Reed 236 · Rush Reed 80 · Rec Craver 119
4	Sep 26	#8	#20	+8.5✗ −20.5	@LSU	L 6-35 126	2-2	0-2	Pass Reed 106 · Rush Owens II 62 · Rec Horton 43
5	Oct 3	#15	#128	−13.5✓ +13.5	Arkansas	W 34-7 115	3-2	1-2	Pass Reed 170 · Rush Edwards 66 · Rec Armstrong 54
6	Oct 10	#17	#28	+4.5✗ −16.5	@Missouri	L 6-27 134	3-3	1-3	Pass Reed 187 · Rush Edwards 20 · Rec Norman 55
7	Oct 17	#24	#223	−46.5✗ −5.5	The Citadel	W 41-0 122	4-3	1-3	Pass Reed 130 · Rush Edwards 116 · Rec Gregory 94
8	Oct 24	#25	#7	+13.5✓ +2.5	@Alabama	L 20-31 119	4-4	1-4	Pass Reed 163 · Rush Edwards 43 · Rec Craver 45
9	Bye week
10	Nov 7	#26	#25	+7	@South Carolina	3 pm ET · ESPN255% to win
11	Nov 14	#26	#22	−8.5	Tennessee	time TBA46% to win
12	Nov 21			+2.5	@Oklahoma	time TBA59% to win
13	Nov 27			+2.5	Texas	7:30 pm ET · ABC

How to read this table

Win chances are our model for Texas A&M, through 8 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Line is the closing point spread for Texas A&M: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼

Date	Opp	Result	Yds	TO	TOP	EPA/play	Success%	Big plays (IsoPPP)	Note
Oct 24	@Alabama	L 20-31	278	3	33:10	-0.044	36.5%	1.34	Most explosive
Oct 17	The Citadel	W 41-0	501	0	26:01	+0.455	57.6%	1.10	Season-high EPA/play
Oct 10	@Missouri	L 6-27	216	2	28:48	-0.163	29.5%	1.09
Oct 3	Arkansas	W 34-7	401	0	38:08	+0.194	40.8%	1.09
Sep 26	@LSU	L 6-35	197	2	29:41	-0.218	33.9%	0.97	Season-low EPA/play
Sep 19	Kentucky	L 21-31	423	2	30:25	-0.051	42.4%	1.16	Defense's roughest night
Sep 12	Arizona State	W 48-20	255	1	29:56	-0.004	37.1%	1.03	Best defensive stand
Sep 5	Missouri State	W 50-0	505	1	43:03	+0.351	58.4%	1.08	Best success rate
Season average (8 games)			347	1.4		+0.065	42.0%	1.11

Texas A&M's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses

What’s ahead

The forecast

Season line5.5 winsover -113

Offense poorMethodical, ball-controlDefense strong

Season expectations

Win total1 bookOver/under 5.5

CFP championship#11 in field+2,500

SEC title#7 in market+1,400

Sportsbook odds · Oct 19. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.

Projected playoff bracket: No. 7 seed

No. 7 Texas A&M
No. 10 LSU

No. 2 Notre Dame

First-round bye

Our simulation's projected field as of Nov 4, from 20,000 simulated seasons. Seeds move every week; this is not the committee's bracket.

Today’s games across college football

What fans said

L 20-31 at Alabama

Texas A&M fans

r/CFB

“Have an anemic offense all season. Marcel starts with back to back picks. Backup QB tries to put himself in. Marcel actually plays like a QB. Tied at half. Get…”

1w ago

r/CFB

“Well it was a fun 3 quarters while it lasted, but we are simply not good.”

1w ago

Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 7AP #23 South Carolinaat South Carolina · on the road

Sat Nov 14AP #16 Tennesseevs Tennessee · at home

Fri Nov 27Lone Star Showdownvs AP #10 Texas · at home

Recent form · last 10 games

Texas A&M has won two of its last five.

4-6 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 4-6

Just to see Aaron Gregory, TK Norman, KJ Edwards, Carsyn Baker, a lot of the young, talented players

Elko · The BattalionOct 21, 20263 days before Texas A&M's 2026 game against Alabama

Playoff chance, day by day

15% now · ▲ 3 points in the last week

Our simulation, 20,000 seasons a night, counted from the first full week of games.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

What a title game and a playoff run could add

Floor7-6A bowl game.

Base7-6The CFP first round.

Ceiling12-4A conference title and a national title.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 8 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.

The story

Program ledgerLatest: Fell out of the AP Top 25 (2026, week 5)

The program ledger

since 2025

2026 · Wk 5Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 4 · Lost 6-35 at LSUwas No. 23
2026 · Wk 4Fell to No. 23 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Lost 21-31 at home to Kentucky↓14 · from No. 9
2025 · Wk 15Fell to No. 7 in both the AP Top 25 and the CFP rankingsWeek 14 · Lost 17-27 at Texas↓4 · from No. 3
2025 · Wk 4Climbed to No. 10 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 41-40 at Notre Dame↑6 · from No. 16

Roster and recruiting

Roster73% of production back, talent #7

Roster reload: Texas A&M

2026 snapshot, Nov 4

Returning Production73%High continuity

Talent Composite#7 nationally247 composite 933.0

Portal Additions19Primary repair: IOL

Portal Losses21Primary pressure: CB

Draft Loss10Heavy NFL Draft loss (10), 1 with a next man up identified below

Recruiting Reload#10Top-10 recruiting class

DLin 3 - C.J. Mims3.80out 2 - Dealyn Evans4.00Upgrade

current room: 302 lbs avg (2025 roster)

Nose Anchorcontrols the point of attack and doesn't move

Transferred in

Sin 1 - Tawfiq Byard3.80out 3 - Bryce Anderson4.28Starter Risk

current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)

Box Safetyplays like an extra linebacker near the line

Third program

CBin 1 - Rickey Gibson III4.38out 3 - Jayvon Thomas3.60Starter Risk

current room: 185 lbs avg (2025 roster)

Hybrid Nickel2024 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot

TEin 2 - Richie Anderson3.60out 2 - Amari Niblack4.28Even

current room: 251 lbs avg (2025 roster)

Complete TE2025 profileshows up in the passing game from any alignment

WRin 1 - Isaiah Horton4.75out 3 - Izaiah Williams3.60Starter Risk

current room: 181 lbs avg (2025 roster)

Possession Receivermoves the chains on third down

Third program

EDGEin 2 - Anto Saka4.25out 2 - Solomon Williams3.70Even

current room: 253 lbs avg (2025 roster)

Versatile Endholds up snap after snap without a weakness to attack

Transferred in

Next man up

TE · departedNate BoerkircherRd 2, Pk 24

NowKiotti Armstrong4★ · FR

Next man up

Full roster (124 players)

UNKTJ Smith

CBAdonyss Currie, Brandon Arrington, Deyjhon Pettaway, Dezz Ricks, Jamar Beal-Goines, Jordan Shaw, Julian Humphrey, Loia Valade, Rickey Gibson III, Ryan Burtin, Vic Singleton

DBAdam Graham, Bravion Rogers, Bryce Anderson, Camren Hamiel, Justin Echols

DEBryce Perry-Wright, Jesse Chukwu, Kendall Jackson, Marco Jones, Nana Boadi-Owusu, Ryan Henderson, Sam M'Pemba, Samu Moala, T.J. Searcy, Tristian Givens

DLAnto Saka

DTAngelo McCullom, Brandon Davis-Swain, C.J. Mims, Chace Sims, DJ Hicks, DJ Sanders, Jermaine Kinsler, Landon Rink, Nathan Mabon

LBDaymion Sanford, Jeremiah Searcy, Jordan Lockhart, Kelvion Riggins, Kyle Garvis, Noah Mikhail, Qui Beck, Ray Coney, Storm Miller, Tamarion Watkins, Tank King, Tommy Colligan

LSBoomer Graham, Gray Evans, Shea Freibaum

OLAshton Funk, Avery Morcho, Blake Ivy, Coen Echols, Hunter McKinney, Isendre Ahfua, Joshua Moses, Lamont Rogers, Marcus Garcia, Mark Nabou Jr., Nelson McGuire, Robert Bourdon, Sam Roseborough, Trovon Baugh, Tyler Thomas, Tyree Adams, Wilkin Formby, Zaden Krempin

PAlex Abbott, Jared White, Tyler White, Waylon Peters

PKAsher Murray, Colton Chmelar, David Olano

QBBrady Hart, Eli Morcos, Helaman Casuga, Marcel Reed, Paxton Land

RBCarsyn Baker, DD Murray, Jamarion Morrow, KJ Edwards, Ramarian Tillman, Rueben Owens II, Tiger Riden Jr.

SChance Collins, Dalton Brooks, Layne Gerke, Marcus Ratcliffe, Myles Davis, Peyton Gay, Rashad Johnson Jr., Tawfiq Byard, Tylan Wilson

TECaleb Tafua, Carter Braugh, Evan Jacobson, KK Johnson, Kiotti Armstrong, Luke Braden, Micah Riley-Ducker, Richie Anderson

WRAaron Gregory, Ashton Bethel-Roman, Blake Buntyn, Chase Burton, Houston Thomas, Isaiah Horton, Jayden Warren, Jerome Myles, Jonah Wilson, Kade Stewart, Kelshaun Johnson, Madden Williams, Mario Craver, Mike Brown, TK Norman, Terry Bussey, Whitaker Williams, Will Hargett

Top commits

Top 1 commits

2027 class

★★★★☆

Jayce Johnson

QB · Valdosta, GA

#195 national

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting and portal buzz

2027 5* LB Kaden Henderson commits to Texas A&M

123 upvotes · Jun 2026

2027 4* WR Damani Warren commits to Texas A&M

21 upvotes · Jun 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

Fans and ratings

Fans vs. the lineWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.

Fan vs. market↑

47^th

Fan mood
(percentile among FBS)

5.5

Sportsbook win total
(28^th among FBS)

Fans 19pp more bullish than market implies

Win total consensus · 1 book

Rivals

Rival pulse

Texas

Mixed

-3

Lone Star Showdown

Face-off →

LSU

Mixed

-4

LSU-Texas A&M

Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data

FollowThe team's own sites, its reporters and its podcasts.

Follow Texas A&M

Athletics siteTexas A&M Athletics
Athletics siteTexas A&M football on the athletics site
On X@AGGIEFOOTBALL
Student paperThe Battalion football coverage

Each link was checked against two outside sites.

From the booth

A recent episode that covers this team

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site

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