Texas A&M

2-0AP #9

SEC · Mike Elko, year 3 (21-7) · Kyle Field · 102,733 · 107,652 avg in 2026

The nationAP #9 · Coaches #8up 1 from last week
The model#6 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #7 (+23.9) · FPI #8
The marketTexas A&M by 17vs Kentucky · our model 96% Texas A&M · a number, not a pick

LastW 48–20 vs Arizona State · Sat Sep 12 · Marco Jones 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 1 INT

Nextvs Kentucky · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 pm ET · Kyle Field · Texas A&M by 17 · series 2-1, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Texas A&M · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#6#94-38.5Missouri StateW 50–0 1251-00-0
2Sep 12#6#52-15.5Arizona StateW 48–20 1232-00-0
3Sep 19#6#96-17Kentucky
4Sep 26#6#22@LSU
5Oct 3Arkansas
6Oct 10@Missouri
7Oct 17The Citadel
8Oct 24@Alabama
10Nov 7@South Carolina
11Nov 14Tennessee
12Nov 21@Oklahoma
13Nov 28Texas
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Arizona StateW 48–20255129:56+0.10437.1%102.7%
Sep 5Missouri StateW 50–0505143:03+0.35158.4%107.6%
Season average (2 games)3801.0+0.22847.8%105.1%
Verdict Begins·Live

Texas A&M built the loudest, most ritual-heavy program in the sport and spent decades watching the wins not match the cathedral — until 2025, when an 11-0 start and the program's first-ever Playoff berth finally made the football worthy of the tradition.

AP Poll#9 AP

Fans heard the program written off as all pageantry and no payoff — the place with the best traditions and the most overrated football in America — for a generation. The 2025 Playoff berth was the ans…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–22-0, all at homeW 50–0 vs Missouri State · Sat Sep 5
Ahead
Sat Sep 26LSU-Texas A&Mat AP #7 LSU · on the road
Sat Oct 24AP #10 Alabamaat Alabama · on the road
Fri Nov 27Lone Star Showdownvs AP #1 Texas · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 11-2 · last season

Game feel55even gamescombined pts / game6th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate4-1some dramain one-score games (5 of 13)7th most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+12.8comfortableavg scoring margin4th best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo69average paceoffensive plays / game6th fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.24some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)10th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd105,904avg attendance1st biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Texas A&M has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 8-2 over the last 10, and won the last two.

Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 8-2
It makes it a lot easier for me when you have four or five targets, who, at any given moment, can make a small play into a big play
Reed · The Battalionthe day after Texas A&M's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Kentucky · at home

Season line8.5 winsover +120
StrongStrongGives up the big play

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 8.5
CFP championship#10 in field+2200
SEC title#7 in market+1200

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Texas A&M · the story right now 8 storylines developing

What Texas A&M's recruiting class is really about

the open questiondoes the recruiting haul translate on the field?

recruitingthis cycle~readnew

With Brandon Arrington (ATH, #34 nationally) joining, Mike Elko's eighth straight top-20 class faces the challenge of matching Texas' top-7 haul while maintaining 75% production returning in a program still.

what happenedTexas A&M signed a top-10 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contexteighth consecutive top-20 recruiting class

our readfront page

marketthis cycle~readnew

Mike Elko's third season at Texas A&M begins with a 11-2 record and #7 talent rank, yet fan belief remains uneasy as the program waits to fulfill its cathedral-sized promise.

what happenedTexas A&M: the betting market's belief swinging. ✓ fact

our readfront page

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Texas A&M enters 2026 rated No. 9 in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 11-2 record is the story Mike Elko has to answer in the SEC this year.

what happenedTexas A&M enters 2026 rated No. 9 in 2025 SP+ (+20.7). ✓ fact

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Jamarion Morrow sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Ashton Bethel-Roman is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

E.J. Smith: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

E.J. Smith: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Mario Craver is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredTexas A&M's climb into dynasty-caliber territory held for another season.
AnsweredTexas A&M's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downTexas A&M's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downTexas A&M's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Texas A&M · 2026

Texas A&M's most likely season is 12-3 — a conference title and a CFP semifinal. The floor is 8-5; the ceiling is 16-0.

Floor8-5A bowl game.
Base12-3A conference title and a CFP semifinal.
Ceiling16-0A conference title and a national title.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

Rival pulse

Texas
Uneasy
-13
Lone Star Showdown
Face-off →
LSU
Bullish
+21
LSU-Texas A&M

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Texas A&M is the program with the country's largest cathedral and the longest wait for what it was built for.

Offense: StrongDefense: StrongDefensive shape: Gives up the big play
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025 · Wk 15Fell to No. 7 in both the AP Top 25 and the CFP rankingsWeek 14 · Lost 17-27 at Texas4 · from No. 3
  • 2025 · Wk 4Climbed to No. 10 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 41-40 at Notre Dame6 · from No. 16
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Texas A&M

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production73%High continuity
Talent Composite#7 nationally247 composite 933.0
Portal Additions19Primary repair: IOL
Portal Losses21Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss10Heavy NFL Draft loss (10) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#10Top-10 recruiting class
DLin 3 - C.J. Mims3.80out 2 - Dealyn Evans4.00Upgrade
current room: 302 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Two-Gap Base2025 profilewins his gap play after play
Sin 1 - Tawfiq Byard3.80out 3 - Bryce Anderson4.28Starter Risk
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Box Safety2025 profileplays like an extra linebacker near the line
Transferred in
CBin 1 - Rickey Gibson III4.38out 3 - Jayvon Thomas3.60Starter Risk
current room: 185 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Hybrid Nickel2024 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
TEin 2 - Richie Anderson3.60out 2 - Amari Niblack4.28Even
current room: 251 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Complete TE2025 profileshows up in the passing game from any alignment
WRin 1 - Isaiah Horton4.75out 3 - Izaiah Williams3.60Starter Risk
current room: 181 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Jump-Ball Target2025 profileMoney-downwins the 50-50 ball at the goal line
Transferred in
EDGEin 2 - Anto Saka4.25out 2 - Solomon Williams3.70Even
current room: 253 lbs avg (2025 roster)
3-Tech Penetrator2025 profiledisrupts the pocket from the interior
Homegrown
Next man up
TE · departedNate BoerkircherRd 2, Pk 24
nowKiotti Armstrong4★ · FR
Next man up
Full roster (123 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Texas A&M

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Chase Bisontis on season-ending IR

    Ten drafted out the door, a top-10 class supposed to patch the holes — and now Bisontis is gone before a snap, which is the kind of depth math that turns an offseason narrative into a genuine problem.

    Aug 16Reported
  2. News

    Texas A&M releases new depth chart

    Ten players gone to the NFL and CB still looks thin on paper — Elko's first real depth chart is the receipts on whether a top-10 class actually filled the holes or just papered them.

  3. News

    Player plans to use eligibility ruling

    Ten drafted out the door and the CB room still has question marks — an eligibility ruling that keeps even one veteran in College Station is the kind of roster math Elko can't afford to ignore right now.

  4. News

    Eligibility ruling could return players

    Ten drafted out the door and a CB room already under pressure — if Elko gets even two of these eligibility rulings to break right, that's the difference between patching holes and actually competing in the SEC West this fall.

  5. News

    Bryson Warren eligibility update given

    Warren's eligibility getting sorted matters because Elko already burned a roster spot counting on him — with 10 players gone to the draft, every healthy body on the depth chart is load-bearing right now.

    Jun 26Reported
  6. Portal

    RB DD Murray transfer commits from Arkansas State

    Ronnie Crosby III's departure left a gap in the RB room that two portal adds hadn't fully addressed — Murray's Sun Belt production jumps a full tier, and Elko needed a back who can carry a load behind a line still absorbing 10 draft exits.

    May 7CFBD /player/portal
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-0.7 net portal points
(raw ledger: +10.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
IOL
+7.2
need filled
S
-7.0
starter risk
DL
+6.2
OT
+4.4
CB
-3.8
starter risk
QB
-3.6
low confidence
LB
+3.5
K
+2.5
RB
+2.4
TE
-1.2
LS
+1.0
low confidence
P
-1.0
low confidence
WR
-0.8
starter risk
EDGE
+0.5
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★★
Brandon Arrington
CB · San Diego, CA
#8 national
★★★★☆
KJ Edwards
RB · Carthage, TX
#50 national
★★★★☆
Bryce Perry-Wright
DL · Buford, GA
#66 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

27
TX · 9GA · 4CA · 3AZ · 2OH · 2FL · 1IA · 1LA · 1+4 more

TX leads the 2026 class with 9 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

89 signees across 19 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWIMINYMA1ORNVWYSDIA1IL1INOH2PA1NJ2CTCA7UT2CONEMOKYWVVAMDDERIAZ3NMKSARTN3NCSC1DCOK1LA1MS2AL1GA4AKHITX47FL8
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Texas A&M player grew up 186 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

18th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%84–900 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi30%36 of 121 players
Farthest1,814 miMark Nabou Jr. · Lynnwood, WA
Closest2 miHouston Thomas · College Station, TX

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Kyle Field. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 121 of 123 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns TX · 2026 roster

51% of the Texas A&M roster grew up in TX.

63 of 123 players, drawn from 24 states in all. That is the 28th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

TX · 63CA · 11FL · 7GA · 7AL · 4OH · 4TN · 4AZ · 2+16 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

123 players across 24 states. Biggest pull outside TX: CA (11).

MEVTNHWA2IDMTNDMNWIMI2NYMAOR1NV1WYSDIA1IL2INOH4PANJCTCA11UT1CONE1MO1KYWVVA1MD2DERIAZ2NMKSARTN4NC1SC1DCOKLA2MS1AL4GA7AKHI1TX63FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. Every listed player has a home state inside the 50 states or DC. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting & portal buzz

2027 5* LB Kaden Henderson commits to Texas A&M
123 upvotes · Jun 2026
2027 4* WR Damani Warren commits to Texas A&M
21 upvotes · Jun 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 1 drafted so far, 60% never transferred. A
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years

24th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
24th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
8.5
Vegas O/U wins
(82nd among FBS)
Market 58pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 1 book
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

68 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #4, Brian Fonseca (NJ Advance Media / Star-Ledger), to #12, Koki Riley (The (Baton Rouge) Advocate).

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 71% of the fumbles they've forced — running hot vs. the ~46% league rate.

5 of 7 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The penalty battle is a wash: 9 penalties committed vs. 17 drawn on opponents.

80 penalty yards committed vs. 103 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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