Oklahoma

1-1AP #24

SEC · Brent Venables, year 5 (33-21) · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · 86,112

The nationAP #24 · Coaches #21down 13 from last week
The model#16 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #10 (+21.7) · FPI #12
The marketOklahoma by 23.5vs New Mexico · our model 82% Oklahoma · a number, not a pick

LastL 10–17 at Michigan · Sat Sep 12 · Owen Heinecke 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 10 tackles

Nextvs New Mexico · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 pm ET · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Oklahoma by 23.5 · series 2-0, won the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Oklahoma · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#17#212-40.5UTEPW 51–0 1141-00-0
2Sep 12#19#18-5.5@MichiganL 10–17 1201-10-0
3Sep 19#15#74-23.5New Mexico
4Sep 26#16#3@Georgia
6Oct 10Texas (N)
7Oct 17Kentucky
8Oct 24@Mississippi State
9Oct 31South Carolina
10Nov 7@Florida
11Nov 14Ole Miss
12Nov 21Texas A&M
13Nov 28@Missouri
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12@MichiganL 10–17289226:43+0.00335.9%101.0%
Sep 5UTEPW 51–0401130:32+0.38755.0%119.4%
Season average (2 games)3451.5+0.19545.5%110.2%
Verdict Begins·Live

The Sooners are the seven-title program that crossed leagues and made the Playoff in year three of the SEC — then watched a 17-0 lead and the doubt they came to bury both slip away in one half against Alabama.

AP Top 25#24 AP

Ever since the leagues changed, the take has been that the Sooners showed up late and out of their depth; the fanbase points to a Playoff berth in year three and says the doubters got the answer, then…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 10-3 · last season

Game feel42rock fightscombined pts / game16th highest-scoring of 16 in the SEC
Heart rate4-1some dramain one-score games (5 of 13)6th most one-score games of 16 in the SEC
Margin+10.8competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 16 in the SEC
Tempo66average paceoffensive plays / game10th fastest of 16 in the SEC
Big plays1.28some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)8th most explosive of 16 in the SEC
Home crowd83,534avg attendance9th biggest crowds of 16 in the SEC

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among SEC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Oklahoma has won three of its last five.

Mixed. 6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 6-4
I feel like we just got to come out and dominate and be aggressive like we were in the first drive on every single play
Underwood · FOX Sports2 days after Oklahoma's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs New Mexico · at home

Season line7.5 winsover -144
PoorEliteGives up the big play

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 7.5▲1 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#13 in field+2800
SEC title#5 in market+950

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Oklahoma · the story right now 7 storylines developing

What Oklahoma's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Oklahoma jumped 19 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 10-3 record is the story Brent Venables has to answer in Big 12 this year.

what happenedOklahoma enters 2026 rated No. 14 in 2025 SP+ (+18.3), up 19 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Brent Venables begins his fifth season with a 10-3 record, but the crown program's uneasy fanbase questions if the SEC move can sustain elite-tier consistency.

what happenedOklahoma: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readfront page

governance shockthis cycle✓ factnew

Oklahoma: an outside ruling reshaping the program's season.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Jaren Kanak is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

market_swing2026-08-23~readnew

Brent Venables' fifth season opens with a 10-3 record and a 1.0 win total jump, but the program's uneasy fan belief and #14 talent rank signal unmet expectations in a new league.

what happenedOklahoma win total rose from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1 wins) between Aug 22 and Aug 23, 2026 (tier B). ✓ fact
the contextwin total up 1.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction

our readdeveloping

dynastythis cycle~readnew

Oklahoma has slipped from elite-tier consistency — the first time below the top-14% tier since 2024, and the market projects 7.5 wins, raising questions about whether Venables' system can reset.

what happenedOklahoma has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 15% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 14%. ✓ fact
the contexta 26-10 record over the last three regular seasons

our readdeveloping

recruiting2025 cycle~readnew

Michael Fasusi (#5 OT nationally) headlines Oklahoma's eighth straight top-20 class as Brent Venables navigates 7 NFL exits and a Texas rivalry that just signed No. 1.

what happenedOklahoma signed a top-17 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contexteighth consecutive top-20 recruiting class

our readfront page

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedOklahoma's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downOklahoma's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
AnsweredOklahoma's climb into dynasty-caliber territory held for another season.
AnsweredOklahoma climbed back into dynasty-caliber territory the following season.

Outcome band · Oklahoma · 2026

Oklahoma's most likely season is 10-3 — a bowl game. The floor is 7-6; the ceiling is 12-2.

Floor7-6A bowl game, 3 fewer wins.
Base10-3A bowl game.
Ceiling12-2A conference title and a CFP quarterfinal.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Oklahoma · Season outlook Confidence

Oklahoma climbed into the top 25. Now the schedule has to agree.

Oklahoma enters 2026 rated No. 14 in 2025 SP+ (+18.3), up 19 spots from 2024. A top-25 rating means the tape backed the ranking over three seasons. Now the schedule tests whether it still does. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.

the room is genuinely split where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics3 doubt takes
Believers4 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 50% volume
Developing4 new this week
2 days agoSEC title odds: +950 → +1800 (▼4.3pp implied)
3 days agoOklahoma TE commit suspended after ejection — Reported
4 days agoOU Board to consider athletics contract changes — Reported
5 days agoWin total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)
last weekLivingstone cleared to play — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Oklahoma jumped 19 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its 10-3 record is the story Brent Venables has to answer in Big 12 this year.
Source of record: Oklahoma enters 2026 rated No. 14 in 2025 SP+ (+18.3), up 19 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“Oklahoma football panic meter: Can Sooners still make CFP push d” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Oklahoma football panic meter: Can Sooners still make CFP push despite ugly Michigan loss?”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
📣Believers4 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Oklahoma Gaining Momentum With Elite Class of 2028 Safety Prospect”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“SportsMonday: Win over Oklahoma shows for now, Michigan will be all right”
The Michigan Daily · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Michigan moves up one spot in ESPN’s SP+ rankings after win over Oklahoma”
Maize n Brew · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Week 2 truths: Ohio State's big game problem; Oregon, Oklahoma s” — the real counter.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

“Week 2 truths: Ohio State's big game problem; Oregon, Oklahoma still haven't fixed things”
Espn CFB · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“What Brent Venables Said After Oklahoma's Disappointing Defeat at Michigan”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards50% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 3148 of 6304 board posts (50%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Why has our O line been in shambles for years? Is it strength and conditioning, Bedenbaugh, unbelievably bad luck Arbuckle should know better than anyone that Mateer can be slow to"
r/sooners ~ fan take
"OSU's floor is the 2nd best team in Oklahoma OSU's ceiling is the 2nd best team in the country."
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Oklahoma · Market Confidence

The market bumped Oklahoma up a win. Win totals move for reasons; the books don't give interviews.

Oklahoma win total rose from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1 wins) between Aug 22 and Aug 23, 2026 (tier B). It is win total up 1.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction. The market moved; the fan base is split on what it means. Oddsmakers react to information, not sentiment — but that doesn't mean they're right. The room is divided — bulls and bears both have game-specific cases.

the room is genuinely split where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics3 doubt takes
Believers4 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 4% volume
Developing4 new this week
2 days agoSEC title odds: +950 → +1800 (▼4.3pp implied)
3 days agoOklahoma TE commit suspended after ejection — Reported
4 days agoOU Board to consider athletics contract changes — Reported
5 days agoWin total: 7.5 → 8.5 (▲1)
last weekLivingstone cleared to play — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Brent Venables' fifth season opens with a 10-3 record and a 1.0 win total jump, but the program's uneasy fan belief and #14 talent rank signal unmet expectations in a new league.
Source of record: Oklahoma win total rose from 7.5 to 8.5 (+1 wins) between Aug 22 and Aug 23, 2026 (tier B) — win total up 1.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Oklahoma football panic meter: Can Sooners still make CFP push d” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Oklahoma football panic meter: Can Sooners still make CFP push despite ugly Michigan loss?”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
📣Believers4 bullish/market items -- the case it's working.

The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.

“Oklahoma Gaining Momentum With Elite Class of 2028 Safety Prospect”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“SportsMonday: Win over Oklahoma shows for now, Michigan will be all right”
The Michigan Daily · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Michigan moves up one spot in ESPN’s SP+ rankings after win over Oklahoma”
Maize n Brew · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Week 2 truths: Ohio State's big game problem; Oregon, Oklahoma s” — the real counter.

The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.

“Week 2 truths: Ohio State's big game problem; Oregon, Oklahoma still haven't fixed things”
Espn CFB · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“What Brent Venables Said After Oklahoma's Disappointing Defeat at Michigan”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards4% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 263 of 6304 board posts (4%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"OSU's floor is the 2nd best team in Oklahoma OSU's ceiling is the 2nd best team in the country."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Oklahoma football has been a powerhouse, but for over a year now, we've watched our offense struggle under Ben Arbuckle's play-calling. It's not about being fair to him—it's about"
r/sooners ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2023 season2022 season2021 seasonW 51-3 vs Temple (Wk 1)W 16-12 vs Houston (Wk 2)W 34-19 vs Tulane (Wk 3)L 15-25 vs Tennessee (Wk 4)W 27-21 vs Auburn (Wk 5)L 3-34 vs Texas (Wk 7)L 9-35 vs South Carolina (Wk 8)L 14-26 vs Ole Miss (Wk 9)W 59-14 vs Maine (Wk 10)L 23-30 vs Missouri (Wk 11)W 24-3 vs Alabama (Wk 13)L 17-37 vs LSU (Wk 14)L 20-21 vs Navy (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2022 season2021 seasonW 73-0 vs Arkansas State (Wk 1)W 28-11 vs SMU (Wk 2)W 66-17 vs Tulsa (Wk 3)W 20-6 vs Cincinnati (Wk 4)W 50-20 vs Iowa State (Wk 5)W 34-30 vs Texas (Wk 6)W 31-29 vs UCF (Wk 8)L 33-38 vs Kansas (Wk 9)L 24-27 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 10)W 59-20 vs West Virginia (Wk 11)W 31-24 vs BYU (Wk 12)W 69-45 vs TCU (Wk 13)L 24-38 vs Arizona (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2021 seasonW 45-13 vs UTEP (Wk 1)W 33-3 vs Kent State (Wk 2)W 49-14 vs Nebraska (Wk 3)L 34-41 vs Kansas State (Wk 4)L 24-55 vs TCU (Wk 5)L 0-49 vs Texas (Wk 6)W 52-42 vs Kansas (Wk 7)W 27-13 vs Iowa State (Wk 9)L 35-38 vs Baylor (Wk 10)L 20-23 vs West Virginia (Wk 11)W 28-13 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 12)L 48-51 vs Texas Tech (Wk 13)L 32-35 vs Florida State (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2024 season2023 season2022 seasonW 40-35 vs Tulane (Wk 1)W 76-0 vs Western Carolina (Wk 2)W 23-16 vs Nebraska (Wk 3)W 16-13 vs West Virginia (Wk 4)W 37-31 vs Kansas State (Wk 5)W 55-48 vs Texas (Wk 6)W 52-31 vs TCU (Wk 7)W 35-23 vs Kansas (Wk 8)W 52-21 vs Texas Tech (Wk 9)L 14-27 vs Baylor (Wk 11)W 28-21 vs Iowa State (Wk 12)L 33-37 vs Oklahoma State (Wk 13)W 47-32 vs Oregon (Wk 18)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWire: Seven starters drafted and Nwaiwu's leadership vacancy on the O-line still an open question — a…Wire: Seven starters gone to the NFL and the WR room still needs playmakers — Sparrow's athleticism…Wire: Oklahoma didn't hire a GM to manage the roster they have — they hired one to chase the roster they…Story arc: OU moves football season opener to Friday night of Labor Day weekend, cancels…Story arc: OU general manager Jim Nagy gets contract extensionWk 39Wk 4488th39th
2024 season · 6W-7L2023 season · 10W-3L2022 season · 6W-7L2021 season · 11W-2L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire eventStory arc

Rival pulse

Texas
Uneasy
-13
Red River Rivalry
Face-off →
Oklahoma State
Mixed
-2
Bedlam

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Oklahoma is a crown program crossing leagues and still carrying the crown.

Offense: PoorDefense: EliteDefensive shape: Gives up the big play
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026 · Wk 3Fell to No. 24 in the AP Top 25Week 2 · Lost 10-17 at Michigan13 · from No. 11
  • 2025 · Wk 11Climbed to No. 11 in the AP Top 25Week 10 · Won 33-27 at Tennessee7 · from No. 18
  • 2025 · Wk 10Fell to No. 18 in the AP Top 25Week 9 · Lost 26-34 at home to Ole Miss5 · from No. 13
  • 2025 · Wk 8Fell to No. 14 in the AP Top 25Week 7 · Lost 6-23 to Texas at a neutral site8 · from No. 6
  • 2025 · Wk 5Climbed to No. 7 in the AP Top 25Week 4 · Won 24-17 at home over Auburn4 · from No. 11
  • 2025 · Wk 3Climbed to No. 13 in the AP Top 25Week 2 · Won 24-13 at home over Michigan5 · from No. 18
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Oklahoma

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production63%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#17 nationally247 composite 851.1
Portal Additions16Primary repair: TE
Portal Losses29Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss7Heavy NFL Draft loss (7) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#15Top-25 recruiting class
WRin 3 - Trell Harris4.38out 7 - JaVonnie Gibson3.90Starter Risk
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Slot Technician2025 profileBoom-or-bustwins underneath on volume and route precision his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
our read Two-star recruit — top-quartile production against his own recruiting profile
OTin 3 - E'Marion Harris4.38out 5 - Jake Taylor3.60Starter Risk
TEin 3 - Jack Van Dorselaer4.00out 2 - Carson Kent3.70Upgrade
current room: 238 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 2 - Dakoda Fields3.70out 3 - Gentry Williams3.70Downgrade
current room: 194 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sin 0out 3 - Kendel Dolby3.60Starter Risk
LBin 1 - Cole Sullivan3.70out 2 - Sammy Omosigho4.12Downgrade
current room: 233 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Sideline-to-Sideline2025 profileranges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles
Next man up
TE · departedJaren Kanak4★ · Rd 7, Pk 9
nowTrynae Washington4★ · FR
Next man up
Full roster (111 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Oklahoma

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Court grants Fely restraining order

    Fely wins his restraining order — the legal calendar is now on Oklahoma's roster calendar, and Venables has to manage this cloud while the WR room is still sorting itself out after seven drafted.

  2. Recruiting

    Oklahoma TE commit suspended after ejection

    A TE commit getting suspended before he ever sets foot in Norman is the last thing Venables needs with 7 draft picks already out the door and the roster still thin at skill.

    Sep 12Reported
  3. News

    Livingstone cleared to play

    Seven drafted and the WR room still thin — Livingstone getting cleared keeps Venables from having to paper over a real depth problem with freshmen in a debut SEC season.

  4. News

    Roger Denny named OU AD

    Denny steps into a seat that carries real weight — OU's climb toward SEC power-program status lives or dies on the AD-to-coach partnership, and Venables needs a full buy-in from above right now.

  5. News

    Oklahoma releases first depth chart

    Seven drafted, WR room still under the microscope — Elijah Thomas earning co-starter nod at fall camp is the kind of internal answer Venables needs before the SEC schedule hits.

    Aug 31Reported
  6. News

    Eligibility ruling impacts Oklahoma players

    The five-for-five ruling buys Venables a critical bridge year — seven starters drafted and a WR room under pressure means every extra snap of eligibility is real depth, not just paperwork.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-9.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: -46.8 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
WR
-13.0
starter risk
S
-10.7
starter risk
OT
-6.7
starter risk
LB
-4.4
TE
+4.0
RB
-3.9
CB
-3.8
QB
-3.6
low confidence
DL
-3.4
EDGE
-1.4
IOL
+0.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Jake Kreul
EDGE · Bradenton, FL
#73 national
★★★★☆
Jonathan Hatton Jr.
RB · Cibolo, TX
#82 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical running back — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Bowe Bentley
QB · Celina, TX
#89 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical quarterback — 12 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

25
TX · 6FL · 5CA · 3AZ · 2IN · 2AL · 1AR · 1CO · 1+4 more

TX leads the 2026 class with 6 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

100 signees across 25 states, 2023-2026. TX leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA2IDMTNDMN1WIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAILIN3OH3PANJ1CTCA6UT2CO3NE1MO3KYWVVAMD1DE1RIAZ3NMKS2AR3TN1NC2SCDCOK18LA1MS1AL1GA1AKHITX25FL14
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Oklahoma player grew up 366 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

51st-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%143–782 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi16%17 of 107 players
Farthest1,514 miHeath Ozaeta · Snoqualmie, WA
Closest10 miLiam Evans · Moore, OK

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK). Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 107 of 111 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns OK · 2026 roster

20% of the Oklahoma roster grew up in OK.

22 of 109 players, drawn from 26 states in all. That is the 102nd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

TX · 33OK · 22FL · 7CA · 5CO · 4TN · 4AR · 3AZ · 3+18 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

109 players across 26 states. Biggest pull outside OK: TX (33).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMN1WIMINYMAORNVWYSDIAIL1IN3OH1PA1NJCTCA5UT2CO4NE1MO2KYWVVA1MDDE1RIAZ3NMKS3AR3TN4NC3SC1DC1OK22LA2MSAL1GA2AKHITX33FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 2 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting & portal buzz

2028 4* QB Trey Tagliaferri commits to Oklahoma
73 upvotes · Jul 2026
2027 4* WR Bode Sparrow commits to Oklahoma
50 upvotes · Jun 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 38% never transferred. C
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence lower than any point since 2021

22nd percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
22nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(62nd among FBS)
Market 40pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 2 books
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

52 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #14, Bob Asmussen (Champaign News-Gazette), to #25, Scott Hamilton (WNKT). 16 voters left them off the ballot entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

12 penalties committed, 15 drawn on opponents — a near-even trade all season.

106 penalty yards committed vs. 125 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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