cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Rocky Beers /Colorado State

Rocky Beers

TE · Colorado State · Sr · #81

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

388 REC YDS · 31 REC · 7 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Colorado State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Colorado State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Colorado State

Returning around him

  • 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (31 in / 38 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Colorado State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #92 · 2026 recruiting class #106

TE · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Rocky Beers

  • 4
  • #81
  • 6-5 | 245 lb
  • Littleton, CO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

81

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4492

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Air Force · TE

2023

Florida International · TE

2025

Colorado State · TE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1662023
3882025

+134%

Up 134% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey81
Measurements6-5 | 245 lb
HometownLittleton, CO
Primary teamColorado State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4492Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4795Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (388).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Rocky Beers

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Crimson Countdown: No. 81 Rocky Beers &nbsp;&nbsp; On3"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Rocky Beers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

7

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #36 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 93rd

Why it matters

#36 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 7 TDs on 31 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 7 (93th)

HIGH · n=31 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#258 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#311 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 7 vs Fresno State — 2 receiving_tds

Result W 49-21

The week the volume broke through — stacked 2 td vs Fresno State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
388Rec yards
31Receptions
7Rec TDs
Per game
43.1Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
560.4Rec yards
45Receptions
10Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 388): needs 78/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 388): needs 153/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 31): needs 7.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 31): needs 12.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 0.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 7): needs 0.8/game over remaining 4.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Rocky Beers already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4492 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 31 7 rec TD | #48/475 (90th pct)
Receiving yards 388 12.5 per catch | #39/475 (92nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 388 Total offensive yardage | #39/475 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
31 90th
YDS
388 92nd
YPR
12.5 79th
TD
7 100th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 4L 16-17vs UTSA4389.5116
Wk 5L 3-20vs Washington State11010.0010
Wk 6L 24-45@ San Diego State22010.0014
Wk 7W 49-21vs Fresno State3268.72202 TD catches
Wk 9L 0-28@ Wyoming13030.0030
Wk 11L 10-42vs UNLV46115.3148
Wk 12L 17-20@ New Mexico7679.6121
Wk 13L 21-49@ Boise State79413.4140Season-high 94 yds
Wk 14L 21-42vs Air Force24221.0138
Total3138814.2748
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Air Force10-3HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
2023Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Balanced
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Colorado State3138812.57--
2023Florida International181669.21--
2022Air Force----------
Career3 loaded seasons4955411.38--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.7% 13.4% pass-game share | #37/468 (92nd pct)
Return yards 14 0 return TD
Touchdowns 7 Across offense and returns | #2/475 (100th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 31 #48/475 90th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 388 #39/475 92nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 7 #2/475 100th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.5 #103/475 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 13.4% #37/468 92nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 48 #44/475 91st pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 8.6% #41/468 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.3% #46/468 90th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.0% #30/468 94th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 7.9% #12/468 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 7.7% #22/468 96th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 7.2% #21/468 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.835.412.91.0
Road4g4.252.815.80.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g3.026.08.72.0
Losses8g3.545.214.80.6

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.523.59.60.8
Weeks 8+5g4.258.817.90.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

81All-Conference
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (98th).

Rec TDs#2 / 175 · 98th pct
7rece
Rec yards#39 / 175 · 78th pct
388rece
Long catch#38 / 175 · 78th pct
48rece
Yards / catch#38 / 175 · 77th pct
12.5rece
Receptions#48 / 175 · 72nd pct
31rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Rocky BeersColorado StateTrey'Dez GreenLSU· 93% simTre Williams IIINorth Texas· 93% simBoden GroenKansas· 92% sim
Rec TDs
98
Beers
98
Green
89
III
89
Groen
Rec yards
78
Beers
83
Green
75
III
87
Groen
Long catch
78
Beers
67
Green
88
III
76
Groen
Yards / catch
77
Beers
84
Green
77
III
77
Groen
Receptions
72
Beers
77
Green
69
III
83
Groen

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jamal Turner’s 2022 season.

Jamal Turner

74%match

Toledo · 2022

#2

Anthony Torres

Toledo · 2024

73%
#3

Garrett Oakley

Kansas State · 2025

70%
#4

Cameron Latu

Alabama · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 38
69%
#5

Josh Whyle

Cincinnati · 2021

NFL Rd 5
66%

Matches Jamal on

Weight
Class year
EPA / play (adj)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Neal Johnson's senior season at Louisiana (2023).

Neal Johnson

75%match

Louisiana · 2023

#2

Dallas Payne

Florida International · 2025

69%
#3

Dan Dishman

UTSA · 2024

68%
#4

Rivaldo Fairweather

Auburn · 2023

67%
#5

Seydou Traore

Mississippi State · 2025

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 5
67%

Matches Neal on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Neal on

TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Norvell

Pass share

52.1%

393 pass / 362 run

Plays / game

62.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.1%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2023
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State

Played his entire career under Jay Norvell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLittleton, CO
Height6'5"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey81

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference Colorado State | Mountain West TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida International TE4 #4492 #4795 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Florida International TE4 #3736 #4442 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Air Force TE4 #2805 #2514 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Colorado State Mountain West TE 4 No. 81 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Littleton, CO
2024 Florida International Conference USA TE 4 No. 81 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Littleton, CO
2023 Florida International Conference USA TE 4 No. 81 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Littleton, CO
2022 Air Force Mountain West TE 4 No. 81 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Littleton, CO