Oklahoma at Michigan
Fan take
Oklahoma fans
Michigan fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Oklahoma · 10-3
Picked #15 in the preseason · now #30 — worse than expected.
2-1 in its last three, 2 over ranked or top-40 competition.
L 24–34 vs AlabamaTop 25 #9 of 668
lost by 10 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 17–13 vs LSUTop 25 #39 of 668
won by 4 as a 11.5-point favorite
W 17–6 vs MissouriTop 25 #23 of 668
won by 11 as a 4.5-point favorite
W 23–21 @ AlabamaTop 25 #8 of 668
won by 2 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 33–27 @ TennesseeTop 25 #14 of 668
won by 6 as a 3-point underdog
L 26–34 vs Ole MissTop 25 #15 of 668
lost by 8 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 26–7 @ South CarolinaTop 25 #42 of 668
won by 19 as a 4-point favorite
L 6–23 @ TexasTop 25 #8 of 668
lost by 17 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 44–0 vs Kent State #244 of 668
won by 44 as a 46.5-point favorite
W 24–17 vs AuburnTop 25 #36 of 668
won by 7 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 42–3 @ Temple #75 of 668
won by 39 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 24–13 vs MichiganTop 25 #11 of 668
won by 11 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 35–3 vs Illinois State #113 of 668
won by 32 as a 38.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Michigan · 9-4
Picked #19 in the preseason · now #9 — about right.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 27–41 @ TexasTop 25 #12 of 668
lost by 14 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 9–27 vs Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 668
lost by 18 as a 9.5-point underdog
W 45–20 @ Maryland #109 of 668
won by 25 as a 14-point favorite
W 24–22 @ Northwestern #63 of 668
won by 2 as a 10-point favorite
W 21–16 vs Purdue #120 of 668
won by 5 as a 21-point favorite
W 31–20 @ Michigan State #92 of 668
won by 11 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 24–7 vs WashingtonTop 25 #28 of 668
won by 17 as a 4-point favorite
L 13–31 @ USCTop 25 #14 of 668
lost by 18 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 24–10 vs Wisconsin #62 of 668
won by 14 as a 17-point favorite
W 30–27 @ NebraskaTop 25 #31 of 668
won by 3 as a 1-point underdog
W 63–3 vs Central Michigan #107 of 668
won by 60 as a 27.5-point favorite
L 13–24 @ OklahomaTop 25 #18 of 668
lost by 11 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 34–17 vs New Mexico #91 of 668
won by 17 as a 34.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Make the CFP field
Win the conference
Win it all
CFP odds as of September 13, 2026
The series
Oklahoma leads the series 2-1
3 meetings since 1975 · Michigan won the last meeting
- 2026Michigan 17–10
- 2025Oklahoma 24–13
- 1975 · neutral siteOklahoma 14–6
Best players
Oklahoma
- Owen Heinecke (LB) · 17 tackles
- Rocky Beers (TE) · 137 receiving yards
- Taylor Wein (DL) · 11 tackles
Michigan
- Troy Bowles (LB) · 21 tackles
- Nathaniel Staehling (LB) · 16 tackles
- Chris Bracy (S) · 15 tackles
The line, and the room
Oklahoma fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (37th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
- Model · 48%
- Market · 33%
- Michigan fans · 5th
- Oklahoma fans · 37th
Home +5.5 · O/U 43.5
Conditions
77°F · 8 mph wind · Heavy Rain
Michigan is worth +4.2 points (±4.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 52nd percentile.
87% at home, 69% on the road against FBS opponents (48–7 home, 25–11 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.6 at home vs. away over 73 games — inside the ±7.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 883 miles to get here.
Oklahoma 10 – Michigan 17
Missed — picked Oklahoma, Michigan won.
Recent games
Michigan
- Wk 1Wvs Western Michigan13-12
Oklahoma
- Wk 1Wvs UTEP51-0
Trajectory
Michigan upset the pregame pick, beating Oklahoma 17-10.