Purdue

1-1

Big Ten · Barry Odom, year 2 (3-11) · Ross-Ade Stadium · 57,282 · 50,363 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#106 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #68 (+1.2) · FPI #70
The marketUCLA by 14.5at UCLA · our model 16% Purdue · a number, not a pick

LastL 36–38 vs Wake Forest · Sat Sep 12 · Fame Ijeboi 114 rush yds, 3 TD, 42 rec yds

Nextat UCLA · Sat Sep 19 · 11 pm ET · Rose Bowl · UCLA by 14.5 · series 0-3-2, lost the last 2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Purdue · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 4#119#219-35.5Indiana StateW 44–19 1201-00-0
2Sep 12#118#79+2.5Wake ForestL 36–38 1501-10-0
3Sep 20#118#50+14.5@UCLA
4Sep 26#120#2Notre Dame
5Oct 3@Illinois
6Oct 10Minnesota
7Oct 17Washington
9Oct 31@Penn State
10Nov 7Maryland
11Nov 14@Iowa
12Nov 21Wisconsin
13Nov 28@Indiana
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Wake ForestL 36–38455032:12+0.29350.0%109.0%
Sep 4Indiana StateW 44–19523037:22+0.37250.0%117.7%
Season average (2 games)4890.0+0.33250.0%113.3%
Verdict Begins·Live

Purdue is the Cradle of Quarterbacks — the West Lafayette program that put Brees, Griese, and Dawson in the NFL — now digging out of back-to-back two-win seasons with Barry Odom hired to rebuild it from the studs.

Title DroughtSince 2000 · 26 yrs

Indiana spent a century as the easy in-state laughingstock — until the Hoosiers surged and Purdue cratered, and the Old Oaken Bucket started living on the wrong side of West Lafayette. The fanbase wan…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 2-10 · last season

Game feel51even gamescombined pts / game11th highest-scoring of 18 in the Big Ten
Heart rate0-3some dramain one-score games (3 of 12)12th most one-score games of 18 in the Big Ten
Margin-13.1outgunnedavg scoring margin17th best margin of 18 in the Big Ten
Tempo65average paceoffensive plays / game5th fastest of 18 in the Big Ten
Big plays1.23some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)6th most explosive of 18 in the Big Ten
Home crowd56,581avg attendance12th biggest crowds of 18 in the Big Ten

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big Ten teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Purdue has won one of its last five.

Cold. 1-9 over the last 10, and lost the last one.

Streak L1Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 1-9
The forecast

Next Sep 20

vs UCLA · away

Season line3.0 winsover -115
PoorPass-first, spreadPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total2 booksO/U 3▼1 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#80 in field+100000
Big Ten title#18 in market+30000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Purdue · the story right now 12 storylines developing

What Purdue's coordinator hires is really about

the open questiondo the new coordinators fit the roster?

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Barry Odom inherits a 2-10 losing record at Purdue, a program historically known for developing NFL quarterbacks but now sitting in the bottom 25% of FBS power ratings.

what happenedPurdue: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

market_swing2026-09-10~readnew

Barry Odom's second season at Purdue begins with a 2-10 losing record and a win total down to 2.5, raising questions about whether the Cradle of Quarterbacks can reverse its slide.

what happenedPurdue win total fell from 3.5 to 2.5 (-1 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier B). ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 1.0 from 3.5 to 2.5

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Antonio Harris sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.

our readdeveloping

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Michael Jackson III is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Nitro Tuggle sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.

our readdeveloping

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Barry Odom's second season at Purdue begins with a 2-10 losing record to overcome, though the program's quarterback legacy and coordinator reshaping offer a foundation to rebuild.

what happenedPurdue: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

EJ Horton Jr.: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Michael Jackson III is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Michael Jackson III does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score.

our readbackground

portal2025-05-14~readnew

Tyrell Green and Miles Mitchell headline Barry Odom's 51-player portal class — the second-largest in FBS this cycle — as Purdue attempts to rebuild from a 2-10 season.

what happenedPurdue signed a top-16 transfer-portal class — 51 additions headlined by Malachi Singleton (QB) from Arkansas and Ryan Browne (QB) from North Carolina. ✓ fact
the contextthe second-largest transfer-portal haul in FBS this cycle (51 additions)

our readfront page

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Purdue leaped 31 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and 2-10 record is the story Barry Odom has to answer in Big Ten this year.

what happenedPurdue enters 2026 rated No. 90 in 2025 SP+ (-6.1), up 31 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

identitythis cycle~readnew

Barry Odom inherits a 2-10 losing record at Purdue, a program historically known for developing NFL quarterbacks but now ranked in the bottom 25% of FBS by power rating.

what happenedPurdue: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredPurdue's head-coaching hire held for another season.
ReplacedPurdue's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downPurdue's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Purdue · 2026

Purdue's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Purdue · Developing Confidence

Purdue: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Purdue: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Developing1 new this week
5 days agoWin total: 3.5 → 2.5 (▼1)
Aug 7Kevin Kane returns as Purdue DC — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Barry Odom inherits a 2-10 losing record at Purdue, a program historically known for developing NFL quarterbacks but now sitting in the bottom 25% of FBS power ratings.
Source of record: Purdue: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Boilers inches from Power 4 win”
Purdue Exponent · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“Purdue 36 Wake Forest 38: Post Game Media Review”
Beat writer · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Boiler Alert! Big Ten Falls Flat & Purdue Falls in Double Overtime”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Purdue football showed best of defense, but bad will continue to” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“Purdue football showed best of defense, but bad will continue to outweigh good”
Journal & Courier · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards12% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 220 of 1801 board posts (12%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"As a Purdue fan I completely disagree. I would like to see a 32 team playoff so other teams and fans get to experience a playoff game. Shorten the regular season and hold the 5 wee"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Ik “more important” games overshadowed our game but man I am absolutely devastated by the Purdue game. We had them by the balls in 2OT. 0-21 against power 4 teams in the last 3 yea"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Purdue · Market Confidence

Vegas shaved a win off Purdue's total. One-win adjustments don't happen without a reason — the question is which one.

Purdue win total fell from 3.5 to 2.5 (-1 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier B). It is win total down 1.0 from 3.5 to 2.5. The market moved; the fan base is split on what it means. Oddsmakers react to information, not sentiment — but that doesn't mean they're right. The room is divided — bulls and bears both have game-specific cases.

Developing1 new this week
5 days agoWin total: 3.5 → 2.5 (▼1)
Aug 7Kevin Kane returns as Purdue DC — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Barry Odom's second season at Purdue begins with a 2-10 losing record and a win total down to 2.5, raising questions about whether the Cradle of Quarterbacks can reverse its slide.
Source of record: Purdue win total fell from 3.5 to 2.5 (-1 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier B) — win total down 1.0 from 3.5 to 2.5.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers1 bullish/market items -- the case it's working.

The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.

“Boilers inches from Power 4 win”
Purdue Exponent · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“Purdue 36 Wake Forest 38: Post Game Media Review”
Beat writer · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Boiler Alert! Big Ten Falls Flat & Purdue Falls in Double Overtime”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Purdue football showed best of defense, but bad will continue to” — the real counter.

The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.

“Purdue football showed best of defense, but bad will continue to outweigh good”
Journal & Courier · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards12% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 220 of 1801 board posts (12%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"As a Purdue fan I completely disagree. I would like to see a 32 team playoff so other teams and fans get to experience a playoff game. Shorten the regular season and hold the 5 wee"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Ik “more important” games overshadowed our game but man I am absolutely devastated by the Purdue game. We had them by the balls in 2OT. 0-21 against power 4 teams in the last 3 yea"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Indiana
Uneasy
-8
Old Oaken Bucket

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Purdue is the Big Ten 'Cradle of Quarterbacks' — 14 NFL starting QBs developed, Drew Brees' 2000 8-1 + Rose Bowl run, and the 2022 9-4 + Big Ten title game under Jeff Brohm.

Offense: PoorRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Poor
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired Barry Odom
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Purdue

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production48%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#55 nationally247 composite 698.3
Portal Additions29Primary repair: EDGE
Portal Losses24Primary pressure: LB
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#55Development class
LBin 3 - Jojo Hayden3.70out 5 - Alex Sanford Jr.3.60Starter Risk
current room: 229 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Linebacker2025 profileis steady in every phase without a signature trait
Sin 4 - Jaden Mangham3.70out 3 - D'mon Marable3.49Upgrade
Hybrid Nickel2025 profilemoves between deep coverage and the slot
Transferred in
IOLin 3 - Boaz Stanley3.80out 4 - Tyrell Green3.60Even
current room: 320 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 4 - Asaad Waseem3.60out 2 - Arhmad Branch3.80Need Filled
current room: 192 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receivermoves the chains on third down
DLin 3 - Curt Neal3.60out 3 - Jamarrion Harkless3.70Even
current room: 299 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Two-Gap Base2025 profilewins his gap play after play
Transferred in
RBin 3 - Jerrick Gibson3.80out 2 - Jaron Thomas3.50Even
current room: 208 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Back2024 profiledoes a little of everything without one standout trait
Full roster (120 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Purdue

3 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Kevin Kane returns as Purdue DC

    Odom keeps his defensive architect in house — Kane returning as DC is the structural anchor for a unit that jumped 31 SP+ spots and still has linebacker pressure left to solve.

  2. News

    Win total: 3.5 → 2.5 (▼1)

    The 3.5 to 2.5 move confirmed what was already public — the market repriced after the news landed.

    Sep 10
  3. News

    Purdue tries to end 10-game losing streak

    Barry Odom's first real test isn't X's and O's — it's snapping a 10-game skid with a #55 class and a linebacker room still finding itself under a new coordinator.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-0.4 net portal points
(raw ledger: +28.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
EDGE
+11.0
need filled
WR
+6.8
need filled
S
+6.6
RB
+4.0
OT
+3.7
CB
+3.6
QB
-3.5
low confidence
LS
-2.0
low confidence
LB
-2.0
starter risk
P
+1.0
low confidence
IOL
-0.9
DL
-0.1
TE
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Josiah Hope
DL · Radcliff, KY
#487 national
Profiles like a typical incoming interior lineman — 12 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Two-Gap Base archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Jett Goldsberry
ATH · Lincoln City, IN
#665 national
★★★☆☆
Izaiah Wright
RB · Rockwood, MI
#731 national
Profiles like a typical incoming running back — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

25
IL · 4IN · 4FL · 2GA · 2MI · 2OH · 2AL · 1CA · 1+7 more

IL leads the 2026 class with 4 commits. National footprint reaching 15 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

89 signees across 21 states, 2023-2026. IN leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWIMI4NY2MAORNV1WYSDIAIL9IN19OH10PA3NJCTCA3UTCO1NEMO4KY3WV1VA1MDDERIAZNMKSAR2TN6NCSCDCOK2LAMS3AL2GA2AKHITX4FL7
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Purdue player grew up 412 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

37th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%158–675 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi18%20 of 110 players
Farthest1,890 miAndrew Adkison · Mountain View, CA
Closest48 miJoey Tanona · Zionsville, IN

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Ross-Ade Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 110 of 120 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns IN · 2026 roster

21% of the Purdue roster grew up in IN.

25 of 117 players, drawn from 28 states in all. That is the 96th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

IN · 25GA · 10FL · 9IL · 8MO · 7CA · 6OH · 6MI · 5+20 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

117 players across 28 states. Biggest pull outside IN: GA (10).

MEVTNHWA1IDMTNDMNWIMI5NY1MAORNV1WYSDIAIL8IN25OH6PA5NJ1CTCA6UT2CO1NEMO7KY1WVVA3MD1DERI1AZ1NMKSAR3TN5NC2SCDCOK2LAMS2AL3GA10AKHI1TX4FL9
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 3 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Purdue Defeats Indiana State 44-19
309 upvotes · Sep 2026

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 1 drafted so far, 44% never transferred. B
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

38th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
38th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
3
Vegas O/U wins
(2nd among FBS)
Fans 36pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 2 books
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

17 penalties committed, 11 drawn on opponents — a near-even trade all season.

135 penalty yards committed vs. 117 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site