3-5, lost 2 straight, on track for 4-8 in the regular season.
Bowls and playoffs: 0-3
2017Texas BowlL 16-33
2018Liberty BowlL 33-38
UNLV
2023Guaranteed Rate BowlL 36-49
vs. Maryland, Sat Nov 7, 12:30 pm ET BTN · Maryland is 2-6 · First meeting between Odom and Aazaar Abdul-Rahim as head coaches · Purdue’s chance to win: 68% (the site’s model)
12% chance he’s out after the season · 33rd of 132 FBS head coaches · Warm
If he finishes…
Bar: how likely that finish isNumber: his chance of being out
Our hot-seat model, on his record so far, the win chances for every game he has left, and his contract (a bigger buyout, relative to pay, makes a change costlier). Ranked against the 132 FBS head coaches with 3+ games this season.
Now hotter than at this point in 2025.
The chance he’s out by the end of that season, as it stood after every week of his tenure here, by today’s model.
Hottest: 2026, week 4 (23%, 23rd-hottest of 137 FBS jobs that week). Top factor: ▲ Hotter 2-10 over his previous season here
Earlier seasons price the games left with power ratings rebuilt after those seasons ended.
The biggest factors, each against the typical FBS job today.
A different comparison: past coaches, not today’s, grouped by one fact at a time. Neither line knows the games he has left or his contract, so they can sit above or below his chance.
How good is this number? Checked on every FBS coach from 2010 to 2025, with its percentages calibrated each season on earlier years only: they track what happened — coaches it put near 25% were out about a quarter of the time — and a version pricing the games left with the previous season’s ratings ranked jobs as well as the ranking this page used before. Each week it learns from coaches who were still on the job at that point, so a firing during the season counts. In the Boiling zone it has run a few points high. Every job, and the method.
Yahoo SportsAddressing Purdue's Inconsistency and More Key Quotes From Barry Odom's Week 10 Press ConferenceMon Nov 23 more on Press Conference: On3, Purdue Boilermakers (2)
On3GoldandBlack.com video: Purdue coach Barry Odom pre-MarylandMon Nov 2
Journal & CourierPurdue football coach Barry Odom previews MarylandMon Nov 2Get dumped by Purdue (tbf, because of our insecurity) so you date Purdue's sister instead.
This is unfortunately not possible. Purdue going 11-1 would violate the laws of physics somehow
5 Takeaways From Purdue's 78-72 Loss to No. 15 Gonzaga in Season Opener The good and the bad from Purdue’s loss to Gonzaga to begin the season.
Fan mood · last 3 weeks · more negative than 3 in 4 FBS fan bases
Percent: Purdue’s chance to win, from the site’s model. Records are through today. Networks as announced; the rest are set closer to kickoff.
Where Purdue stood among 138 FBS programs by stature after each game (1st is the highest; the CFB Zeitgeist ledger).
On3On3Journal & Courier
USA TodayOn3On3Each week as this page showed it at the time. Weeks marked rebuilt came before this page existed: they were built afterward from only what was known by the end of that week.
Watch the biggest plays from Purdue’s games, ranked by how much each moved the chance to win.
Fire Barry OdomPurdue fan
Barry Odom will break the Orton curse my badger friendPurdue fan
awh listen to Odom. he’s so happyPurdue fan
Ya know what…..I don’t care if he was short….BARRY ODOM IS ACTUALLY BEING AGGRESSIVE 2 GAMES IN A ROWPurdue fan
Kane needs to be strapped to a cannon and Odom fired for re-hiring him in the first place.Purdue fan
watch us fire Odom and hire SchianoPurdue fan
God this is embarrassing. If Purdue wins this game, it will be the only one this season. Just fire Odom now and get it over with.Purdue fan
Sat Nov 7: Maryland
47th of 104 FBS head coaches · from several outlets and r/CFB
Purdue football coach Barry Odom: Boilers lost in trenches vs Penn State
Courier & Press +3 Oct 31 · a few outlets
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
from many outlets and r/CFB
Purdue football coach Barry Odom: Boilers lost in trenches vs Penn State
Courier & Press +3 Oct 31 · a few outlets
The headlines for each topic are on the News tab.
Stories we tracked, by school.
PurdueDozens of stories2025 to nowMost about: press conference and quotes, game preview, conference and schedule.
Hammer and Rails +3Purdue Football: Barry Odom Indiana State Press ConferenceAug 31Courier & Press +3Purdue football coach Barry Odom: Boilers lost in trenches vs Penn StateOct 31
IndyStar +2Barry Odom explains Purdue coming 'however many inches short' on fourth-and-15Sep 12Journal & Courier +2Coach Barry Odom Postgame Press Conference vs. Notre Dame | Purdue FootballSep 27Journal & Courier +2Purdue football coach Barry Odom Minnesota postgame press conferenceOct 11
UNLVA few stories2023 to 2024Most about: press conference and quotes, profile and feature.
MissouriA few stories2016 to 2019Most about: coaching staff, press conference and quotes, quarterback and depth chart.
Is he on the hot seat? What has he said?
Stories are headlines grouped by what they are about, counted through Nov 4.
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
7-1 against his rivals at Missouri. Winless in 4 tries against Kirby Smart.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-0 against his rivals at UNLV. Winless in 3 tries against Spencer Danielson.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0-1 against his rivals at Purdue.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
11-2 against his rivals. Winless in 4 tries against Kirby Smart.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Called about what the situation called for.
766 run and pass snaps at Purdue, 2025–2025, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His one ranked Purdue class of his own finished #55 nationally.
MissouriUNLVPurdueAcross every program: 5 ranked classes of his own, averaging #68 nationally.
His class — he had the full signing cycleTransition — he was hired mid-cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his; inherited and mid-transition classes still show here, faded, but stay out of the average.
UNLV→Purdue2025Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.
of his 2026 roster arrived on his watch — 96 of 120 players. The other 24 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 38% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2025–2026Counting players who have since left: 45% of the 138 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Offensive linemen on his Missouri rosters have averaged 9 lb heavier than the FBS average (2016–2019) — heavier than 95% of FBS coaching runs since 2010. In the three seasons before he arrived, Missouri’s line averaged 4 lb lighter than the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
is his biggest recruiting state: 8 of 43 signees (19%) across his 2025–2026 tenure, drawn from 18 states in all. Next: IL (6).
49% of his signees come from IN and its 4 border states (IL 6, MI 3, OH 3, KY 1).
Off this map: 3 signees to the west (CA 2, NV) and 2 to the south (FL 2).
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
Headlines, grouped by what they are about. Each is the outlet’s own.
Press conference and quotes
Sports Illustrated +1Addressing Purdue's Inconsistency and More Key Quotes From Barry Odom's Week 10 Press ConferenceNov 2Sports IllustratedQuotes That Matter From Barry Odom Following Purdue's 31-17 Loss to Penn StateOct 31On3What did Purdue coach Barry Odom, Penn State players, say after the Lions' 31-17 win over the Boilermakers?Oct 31
Penn State AthleticsPurdue Coach Barry Odom Postgame QuotesOct 31On3Barry Odom Pre-Maryland Press Conference ThreadNov 2Game preview
Courier & Press +3Purdue football coach Barry Odom: Boilers lost in trenches vs Penn StateOct 31Journal & Courier +1Purdue football coach Barry Odom previews MarylandNov 2Press conference and quotes
Hammer and Rails +3Purdue Football: Barry Odom Indiana State Press ConferenceAug 31IndyStar +2Barry Odom explains Purdue coming 'however many inches short' on fourth-and-15Sep 12Journal & Courier +2Coach Barry Odom Postgame Press Conference vs. Notre Dame | Purdue FootballSep 27Journal & Courier +2Purdue football coach Barry Odom Minnesota postgame press conferenceOct 11IndyStar +2Coach Barry Odom Postgame Press Conference vs. Washington | Purdue FootballOct 17Game preview
Courier & Press +3Purdue football coach Barry Odom: Boilers lost in trenches vs Penn StateOct 31
247Sports +2Purdue head coach Barry Odom previews matchup with Penn StateOct 26Journal & Courier +1Purdue football coach Barry Odom previews UCLA, Rose Bowl tripSep 14Journal & Courier +1Purdue football coach Barry Odom previews MarylandNov 2Conference and schedule
Sports Illustrated +1Purdue's Barry Odom Expresses Confidence in Big Ten Despite Debacle in Ann ArborSep 7IndyStarBarry Odom made slight tweak to Purdue football schedule. Will it pay off?Sep 15On3Is Barry Odom surprised Purdue ranks last in Big Ten roster pay? 'Not at all'Sep 21On3Purdue's Barry Odom embraces CFP expansion to 24 teamsOct 28Hot seat
Sports IllustratedWhy Success in Barry Odom's Second Season at Purdue is CriticalAug 30
Locked OnBarry Odom Faces most intense Pressure Yet—Is He On The hotseat?Sep 22Sports IllustratedBoiler Breakdown: Pressure Is Mounting on Barry Odom at PurdueSep 22Profile and feature
I didn’t until Saturday night
Hired into programs rated 20 to 20 (Regional Program II tier). Rough match, not calibrated yet — ranked on what the job inherited alone. Coaches hired into this same job aren’t used as comps.
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
Followed Ryan Walters (2023–2024).
| Season | 2025 | 2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 2-10 | 3-5 | |
| Postseason | — | — | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Josh Henson | Josh Henson | |
| DC | Michael Scherer | Kevin Kane | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 17 | 50 | |
| Defense | 3 | 10 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 49.4 | 47.6 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 40.2 | 44.2 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 32.4 | 30.8 | |
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.
AI Narratives — “Purdue — stat check”.
Followed Marcus Arroyo (2020–2022) · succeeded by Dan Mullen (2025–now).
| Season | 2023 | 2024 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 9-5 | 10-3 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Brennan Marion | Brennan Marion | |
| DC | Michael Scherer | Michael Scherer | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 82 | 65 | |
| Defense | 2 | 76 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 37.9 | 36.4 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 26.8 | 36.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 36.1 | 31.5 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
1 NFL Draft pick: Ricky White III (2025)
Coach of the Year: Mountain West Coach of the Year (2023)
1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Jose Pizano (2023)
6th-best Missouri tenure of 12 by the numbers.
Followed Gary Pinkel (2001–2015) · succeeded by Eli Drinkwitz (2020–now).
| Season | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 4-8 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 6-6 | |
| Postseason | — | L bowl | L bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||||
| OC | Josh Heupel | Josh Heupel | Derek Dooley | Derek Dooley | |
| DC | DeMontie Cross / Ryan Walters | Ryan Walters | Ryan Walters | Ryan Walters | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 58 | 91 | 80 | 15 | |
| Defense | 33 | 53 | 74 | 84 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 48.1 | 46.9 | 40.9 | 41.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 32.4 | 46.4 | 34.5 | 43.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 35.1 | 8.0 | 15.8 | 23.5 | |
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
6 NFL Draft picks: Charles Harris (2017), J'Mon Moore (2018), Drew Lock (2019), Terry Beckner Jr. (2019), Jordan Elliott (2020), Albert Okwuegbunam (2020)
Every angle here comes back inconclusive — not enough separation from zero to call it either way.
-0.6 pts at Missouri · #720 of 1290 · middle halfModel fit as of 2026-09-04.
Defensive coordinator across 3 programs, 3 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
How to read this. Coordinator seasons come from our coordinator career records; head-coaching-era seasons are the same unit's FBS-relative percentile for those years, regardless of who coached it, read directly from the staff assignments record. A role change (a “hinge”) is a fact, never a performance verdict — only the season-by-season data itself is colored by outcome.
