cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kylan Fox /UCF

Kylan Fox

TE · UCF · So · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

137 REC YDS · 16 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UCF for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UCF for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · UCF

Returning around him

  • 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 UCF player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (31 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UCF · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #43 · 2026 recruiting class #79

TE · UCF · BIG 12

Kylan Fox

  • 2
  • #1
  • 6-4 | 229 lb
  • Valdosta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 21st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2484

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
22.02024
1372025

+523%

Up 523% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#300 national
CFB
College
UCF
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class2
Jersey1
Measurements6-4 | 229 lb
HometownValdosta, GA
Primary teamUCF

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 300 recruit
Composite rating 0.9069 HighSchool
Signed with UCF 2024
Origin Grayson Loganville, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9069 No. 300 recruit | HighSchool | UCF

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2484Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2606Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to UCF

Composite

0.9069

#300 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kylan Fox

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "UCF Knights Football 2026 schedule released: See lineup &nbsp;&nbsp; FOX 35 Orla"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief -100 · "Some of these are not great but probably gonna happen (Texas vs OSU) and some i "National
  • Own fans · n=4
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kylan Fox

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
137Rec yards
16Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
17.1Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
222.6Rec yards
26Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 137): needs 112.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 137): needs 172.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 8.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 12.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kylan Fox's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCF, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2484 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 300 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 16 1 rec TD | #136/475 (72nd pct)
Receiving yards 137 8.6 per catch | #158/475 (67th pct)
Scrimmage yards 137 Total offensive yardage | #158/475 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
16 72nd
YDS
137 67th
YPR
8.6 36th
TD
1 71st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 17-10vs Jacksonville State3248.0013
Wk 2W 68-7vs North Carolina A&T12222.0022
Wk 4W 34-9vs North Carolina22814.0117
Wk 5L 20-34@ Kansas State393.006
Wk 6L 20-27vs Kansas4358.8020Season-high 35 yds
Wk 8W 45-13vs West Virginia177.007
Wk 12L 9-48@ Texas Tech11010.0010
Wk 14L 21-41@ BYU122.002
Total161379.3122
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024UCF4-8HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-heavy
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UCF161378.61--
2024UCF3227.30--
Career2 loaded seasons191598.41--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.8% 7.3% pass-game share | #165/468 (65th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #140/475 (71st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 16 #136/475 72nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 137 #158/475 67th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #140/475 71st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 8.6 #303/475 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 7.3% #165/468 65th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 22 #230/475 52nd pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 6.7% #79/468 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.4% #91/468 81st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.8% #137/468 71st pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #198/468 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.8% #249/468 47th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 2.5% #272/468 42nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g2.223.212.00.2
Road3g1.77.05.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.820.212.80.2
Losses4g2.214.06.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.623.611.20.2
Weeks 8+3g1.06.36.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

17Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (12th).

Receptions#136 / 175 · 21st pct
16rece
Rec TDs#126 / 175 · 21st pct
1rece
Yards / catch#145 / 175 · 17th pct
8.6rece
Rec yards#153 / 175 · 13th pct
137rece
Long catch#152 / 175 · 13th pct
22rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Kylan FoxUCFBryce CaufieldOregon State· 73% simHayden HansenFlorida· 69% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 66% sim
Receptions
21
Fox
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry
Rec TDs
21
Fox
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
17
Fox
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Rec yards
13
Fox
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Long catch
13
Fox
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cade Conley’s 2023 season.

Cade Conley

86%match

Marshall · 2023

#2

Nicky Dalmolin

Duke · 2021

80%
#3

Hayden Pittman

UAB · 2021

77%
#4

Christian Ross

Memphis · 2025

77%
#5

Jacob Newell

Akron · 2023

72%

Matches Cade on

Weight
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Cade on

Reception volume (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Cade Conley's sophomore season at Marshall (2023).

Cade Conley

84%match

Marshall · 2023

#2

Ben Ratzlaff

Western Kentucky · 2021

66%
#3

Nicky Dalmolin

Duke · 2021

76%
#4

Brock Chappell

Louisiana · 2025

74%
#5

Elija Lofton

Miami · 2025

75%

Matches Cade on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Cade on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Frost

Pass share

51.7%

403 pass / 377 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025
Scott Frost
UCF
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownValdosta, GA
Height6'4"
Weight229 lb
Class2
PositionTE
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UCF TE2 #2484 #2606 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCF Big 12 TE 2 No. 1 | 6-4 | 229 lb | Valdosta, GA
2024 UCF Big 12 TE 2 No. 1 | 6-4 | 229 lb | Valdosta, GA