4th-best UCF tenure of 7 by the numbers.
Recruiter or developer?
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Offense vs. talent
+13.4 pts
#55 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+9.7 pts
#68 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Followed George O'Leary (2004–2015).
Roster construction · portal era
A portal-built roster.
Portal arrivals
137
3.1★ avg rating
Portal departures
171
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-34
#34 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 239 lbs
across 107 of 137 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+5.4 lbs
#81 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Jr
#80 of 255 · a typical amount
Top states: FL (34), GA (14), TX (6), NJ (5), AL (5)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
61.1
position-weighted
Talent lost
64.3
position-weighted
Net
-3.2
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Joey Gatewood (QB) from Kentucky
Biggest loss: Jacurri Brown (QB) to Rice
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Jeff Lebby → co-Alex Golesh / co-Anthony Tucker · 2020
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 51.4% → 49.9% (-1.6 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 68% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: co-GJ Kinne / co-Tim Harris Jr. → Chip Lindsey · 2022
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 39.4% → 35.8% (-3.6 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 64% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Chip Lindsey → co-Darin Hinshaw · 2023
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 35.8% → 40.4% (+4.6 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 68% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: co-Darin Hinshaw → Tim Harris Jr. / co-Darin Hinshaw · 2024
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 40.4% → 32.7% (-7.8 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 40% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: co-David Gibbs / Travis Williams → co-David Gibbs / co-Addison Williams · 2023
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: co-David Gibbs / co-Addison Williams → Ted Roof / co-Addison Williams · 2024
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
206 lbs
6′1″ avg · #585 of 767 · less than most
Running back
199 lbs
5′10″ avg · #667 of 791 · less than most
Wide receiver
191 lbs
6′0″ avg · #471 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
236 lbs
6′3″ avg · #646 of 731 · less than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
305 lbs
6′4″ avg · #567 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
299 lbs
6′4″ avg · #111 of 753 · more than most
Edge
248 lbs
6′4″ avg · #132 of 188 · a typical amount
Linebacker
227 lbs
6′2″ avg · #476 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
186 lbs
6′1″ avg · #596 of 771 · less than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.