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The weekly grind · 2026

Big Ten

The Coast-to-Coast Era

Ohio State holds the Big Ten lead heading into this week's games.

Big Ten carries real selection-room weight with 7 teams inside the top 25 and Ohio State driving a legitimate national ceiling.

#2Overall
#2In FBS
+23.3Conference strength
+28.0Upper strength
18Teams
7Top-25 teams
Power snapshot Projected 2026 standing

The Coast-to-Coast Era

Indiana's 16-0 run in 2025 ended an eleven-year conference championship drought and gave the Big Ten a third national champion in three seasons, after Michigan in 2023 and Ohio State in 2024. The coast-to-coast expansion delivered both the talent depth and the schedule credibility to put Indiana on a pedestal nobody predicted. Now the question is whether that ceiling is repeatable.

7 top-25 teams.

The depth argument for this conference rests on how many credible opponents are clustered behind the leader. The gap between the top and bottom is narrow — a sign of genuine parity.

Where things stand right now.

Ohio State holds the Big Ten lead heading into this week's games.

Tools Matchup simulator Compare teams Playoff forecast Style map Head to head Power map

Indiana Enters 2026 With a Target on Its Back

Indiana went 16-0 in 2025 — regular season, conference title, and national championship. They are the CFP’s defending champion, and every schedule-maker circled their name. The question is whether Indiana can meet a higher standard of opponent preparation in Year 2.

Why it matters →

Oregon Is Built for a Deep CFP Run

Oregon is one of the Big Ten’s highest-rated programs and is built for a deep run. Dan Lanning’s program is the Big Ten’s argument that West Coast expansion raised the conference ceiling — and the most likely challenger to Indiana’s title defense.

Why it matters →

Ohio State’s Title Window Is Still Open

Ohio State won the 2024 national title and has reached the CFP in three of the last four seasons. Ryan Day’s roster is talented enough to compete — the question is whether they can close the gap against elite competition when it matters most.

Why it matters →

Active arcs

All arcs →

Stories about the Big Ten this season

All Big Ten stories

Fan pulse Last 30 days · 43,962 mentions
15% positive 43% neutral 42% negative
Ohio State
9,517
↓ negative
Nebraska
7,282
↓ negative
Michigan
7,173
↓ negative
Oregon
6,148
↓ negative
UCLA
2,238
↓ negative
Penn State
1,909
↓ negative
Fan confidence by FBS percentile

Where each Big Ten program stands nationally in fan sentiment (100th = most positive in FBS, 0 = least). Conference median: 26th percentile. The label is the band (Bullish, Leaning, Mixed, Souring); the number after it is the change in percentile points since the prior week.

Purdue
Bullish+25
Northwestern
Leaning+18
Oregon
Mixed+12
Washington
Mixed+5
Illinois
Mixed0
Rutgers
Mixed+12
Maryland
Mixed+4
Indiana
Mixed-4
USC
Mixed+3
Minnesota
Souring-11
UCLA
Souring-5
Ohio State
Souring-8
Penn State
Souring0
Michigan
Souring+3
Wisconsin
Souring+4
Iowa
Souring-7
Nebraska
Souring-15

Most volatile: Wisconsin

Fan confidence has swung 88 percentile points in the last 8 weeks — currently at the 10th percentile nationally.

Rivalry face-offs

The coaching premium
Recruiting class rank vs. SP+ performance — where coaches add or subtract value
Above line = coaching premium
Below line = underperforming
Gap = recruiting rank minus SP+ rank

Positive gap means the coaching staff won more than the recruiting class predicted. Data: Big Ten teams, 18 programs.

Coaching grades
Coaching premium ↑
Nebraska
+64
UCLA
+43
Northwestern
+42
Wisconsin
+33
Indiana
+26
Underperforming ↓
Mich. St.
-72
Rutgers
-64
Maryland
-63
Illinois
-46
Purdue
-36

Standings

2026 season, in progress — sorted by power rating. The tag beside a team is its long-run program standing.

#TeamRecordPowerResume
1 Ohio StateBlue Blood#2 6-2 +33.1 +98.1
2 IndianaPower Program II#16 8-1 +31.8 +99.9
3 NorthwesternNational Program II#49 6-2 +29.3 +95.8
4 OregonPower Program I#6 5-3 +29.1 +90.4
5 IowaPower Program II#22 6-2 +27.6 +97.3
6 UCLANational Program I#35 8-0 +27.0 +99.6
7 NebraskaNational Program I#37 5-3 +26.3 +92.1
8 USCPower Program I#13 7-2 +26.1 +98.8
9 MichiganBlue Blood#5 5-3 +25.5 +91.6
10 WashingtonPower Program II#17 5-3 +25.1 +90.6
11 Penn StatePower Program I#12 4-4 +23.2 +82.9
12 WisconsinPower Program III#30 5-3 +22.5 +96.9
13 MinnesotaNational Program I#39 5-3 +22.3 +90.3
14 IllinoisNational Program II#48 5-3 +19.6 +88.8
15 PurdueRegional Program II#95 3-5 +17.1 +88.9
16 RutgersRegional Program II#91 2-6 +15.9 +46.8
17 MarylandRegional Program I#78 2-6 +15.2 +59.5
18 Michigan StateNational Program III#62 2-6 +14.7 +89.5

Projected standings · Big Ten · 2026

Win projection

Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. Avg = expected wins; W-L = most-likely record.

# Team W-L Pwr Avg ≥9≥8≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Ohio State6-3+9.16.02133665869699✓✓
2Indiana6-3+7.86.02133664869699✓✓
3Northwestern6-3+5.35.4162249759298✓✓
4Oregon5-4+5.15.3162147739098✓✓
Challengers
5UCLA6-3+3.05.7192856809499✓✓
6Iowa5-4+3.65.14163865869699✓
7Nebraska5-4+2.45.03143663859699✓
8USC5-4+2.14.72102955809499✓
9Michigan5-4+1.54.72102854799499✓
The field
10Penn State5-4−0.84.82113158819499✓
11Wisconsin5-4−1.54.72113057819499✓
12Washington5-4+1.24.62102854789399✓
13Minnesota4-5−1.63.813123258819599
14Illinois3-6−4.33.5282450779399
Rebuilding
15Purdue3-6−6.93.1151639678998
16Maryland3-6−8.73.0141334638798
17Rutgers3-6−8.13.0141334638698
18Michigan State2-7−9.32.62925528096

How they play

Six advanced-stat dimensions per team, ranked against all 134 FBS programs, 2026 season. Every column reads higher-is-better. Click a column to sort.

ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate
Team ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate Identity
Ohio State+0.2648.4%+1.28+0.0670.144.6%Lockdown defense
Indiana+0.2844.3%+1.38+0.0760.742.3%Lockdown defense
Northwestern+0.3348.9%+1.35−0.0465.039.6%Efficient offense
Oregon+0.1341.6%+1.28+0.0269.252.3%Balanced
Iowa+0.1144.1%+1.20+0.0562.947.7%Lockdown defense
UCLA+0.1645.9%+1.11+0.2067.840.4%Lockdown defense
Nebraska+0.2144.4%+1.37+0.0272.248.3%Big-play offense
USC+0.2649.7%+1.25−0.1267.851.1%Efficient offense
Michigan+0.0841.0%+1.18+0.0861.539.4%Lockdown defense
Washington+0.1341.6%+1.27+0.0064.256.0%Balanced
Penn State+0.1341.9%+1.19−0.0467.646.4%Balanced
Wisconsin+0.0838.5%+1.33+0.0657.843.3%Grind-it-out
Minnesota+0.0237.8%+1.21+0.0262.453.9%Can't sustain drives
Illinois+0.2447.6%+1.32−0.2262.049.4%Defense is the problem
Purdue+0.1541.9%+1.32−0.2365.850.4%Defense is the problem
Rutgers+0.1240.7%+1.49−0.2463.143.8%Big-play offense
Maryland+0.0439.1%+1.25−0.1366.655.9%Balanced
Michigan State−0.0242.1%+1.06−0.1862.944.1%No explosive plays

Identity is the single dimension where a team is most above or below the FBS average (pace, defense, big plays, or converting drives) — "Balanced" means nothing stands out either way. CFBD 2026 advanced stats, excludes garbage time.

Top players

Big Ten's highest CFB Zeitgeist Scores, 2026 season so far.

#PlayerTeamNational
1Jeremiah SmithWROhio State#2 of 465
2Tobi OsunsanmiEDGEIndiana#1 of 405
3Alex McLaughlinSWashington#1 of 537
4Tony RojasLBPenn State#5 of 567
5Charlie BeckerWRIndiana#8 of 465
6Collin DixonWRIllinois#9 of 465
7Jahsear WhittingtonIDLNebraska#5 of 300
8Braydon BrusLBNorthwestern#8 of 567
9Jalen WoodsLBUCLA#9 of 567
10Samuel OmosighoLBUCLA#13 of 567

Where Big Ten stands nationally

Conference strength, as a round-robin adjusted power rating.

1 SEC SEC
+24.4
2 B10 Big Ten
+23.3
3 IND FBS Independents
+21.7
4 B12 Big 12
+21.5
5 P12 Pac-12
+20.8
6 ACC ACC
+20.5
7 AAC American Athletic
+18.3
8 SB Sun Belt
+17.3
9 MW Mountain West
+16.5
10 CUSA Conference USA
+16.4

The Big Ten in History