Rutgers

0-2

Big Ten · Greg Schiano, year 7 (31-43) · SHI Stadium · 52,454 · 42,454 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#87 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #78 (-3.6) · FPI #98
The marketUSC by 24.5vs USC · our model 22% Rutgers · a number, not a pick

LastL 21–28 at Boston College · Fri Sep 11 · Moses Walker 1 sacks, 1 TFL, 2 INT

Nextvs USC · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 pm ET · SHI Stadium · USC by 24.5 · series 0-1 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Rutgers · 2026 schedule & results0-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 3#68#258-29.5MassachusettsL 21–37 1260-10-0
2Sep 11#74#132+3@Boston CollegeL 21–28 1290-20-0
3Sep 19#86#25+24.5USC
4Sep 25#88#220Howard
5Oct 4Indiana
7Oct 17@Maryland
8Oct 24@Northwestern
9Oct 31Michigan
10Nov 7@Wisconsin
11Nov 14Nebraska
12Nov 21@Penn State
13Nov 28Michigan State
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 11@Boston CollegeL 21–28384434:32+0.06441.2%138.8%
Sep 3MassachusettsL 21–37349423:39+0.20339.7%156.1%
Season average (2 games)3664.0+0.13440.4%147.5%
Verdict Begins·Live

Rutgers held the first college football game in history — November 6, 1869, against Princeton — and ever since has been the program that gave the sport to the world and then watched the world get better at it.

Standard GapThe school that invented the game, against a present where 'almost bowl-…

Rutgers fans are weary of being the Big Ten's welcome mat — the school the blue bloods schedule for a comfortable Saturday. They'll remind you who held the first game ever, and that the founder doesn'…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19AP #12 USCvs USC · at home
Sat Oct 3AP #4 Indianavs Indiana · at home
Sat Oct 17Maryland-Rutgersat Maryland · on the road

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 5-7 · last season

Game feel60shootoutscombined pts / game1st highest-scoring of 18 in the Big Ten
Heart rate2-2some dramain one-score games (4 of 12)7th most one-score games of 18 in the Big Ten
Margin-3.2competitiveavg scoring margin14th best margin of 18 in the Big Ten
Tempo70uptempooffensive plays / game1st fastest of 18 in the Big Ten
Big plays1.20some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)9th most explosive of 18 in the Big Ten
Home crowd48,459avg attendance14th biggest crowds of 18 in the Big Ten

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Big Ten teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Rutgers has won one of its last five.

Cold. 2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last four.

Streak L4Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
I owe you an apology, because the position we placed you in Saturday was not your doing and it was not your coaches’
Faison · HBCU Gameday4 days after Rutgers's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs USC · at home

Season line2.5 winsover +134
StrongMethodical, ball-controlPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 2.5▲1.5 since Jun 2026
CFP championship#74 in field+75000
Big Ten title#17 in market+30000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Rutgers · the story right now 10 storylines developing

What Rutgers's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

market_swing2026-06-18~readnew

Schiano's sixth season arrives with a 5-7 record and win total dip from 5 to 3.5 — a historic program's reset now faces its first real test.

what happenedRutgers win total fell from 5 to 3.5 (-1.5 wins) between May 2026 and Jun 2026. ✓ fact
the contextwin total down 1.5 from 5.0 to 3.5

our readfront page

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Antwan Raymond does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps -- the production isn't just garbage-time padding.

our readdeveloping

underdog2025 cycle✓ factnew

Ian Strong produces at a notably LOWER rate when his team is an underdog than when favored -- he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle✓ factnew

KJ Duff is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.

our readdeveloping

identitythis cycle~readnew

Greg Schiano begins his 7th season at Rutgers, where a 5-7 losing record and historic program legacy create tension over whether the Big Ten reset can sustain its identity.

what happenedRutgers: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readfront page

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Antwan Raymond: a short yardage signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

DT Sheffield: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

KJ Duff: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

Rutgers collapsed 30 spots in SP+ — the steepest drop in the Big Ten this cycle, and Schiano's job is to prove it's not structural with just 5-7 production returning.

what happenedRutgers enters 2025 rated No. 72 in SP+ (+1.0), down 30 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle✓ factnew

Rutgers: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedRutgers's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →

Outcome band · Rutgers · 2026

Rutgers' most likely season is 8-5 — a bowl game. The floor is 5-7; the ceiling is 10-3.

Floor5-7No postseason.
Base8-5A bowl game.
Ceiling10-3A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Rutgers · Market Confidence

Rutgers's win total dropped 1.5 wins. That's not noise from Vegas — that's a position change.

Rutgers win total fell from 5 to 3.5 (-1.5 wins) between May 2026 and Jun 2026. It is win total down 1.5 from 5.0 to 3.5. The coverage is pushing back on the drop. The fan base is running warmer than the market. The coverage runs bullish despite the drop.

skeptical — but there's a bull case where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics3 doubt takes
Believers1 bull take
💬 fans: 17% volume
The saga so far~3 months old
last weekRutgers reveals Schiano buyout details — Reported
last weekUCLA fires athletic director — Reported
last weekKJ Duff: 9 rec · 196 yds · 3 TD vs Massachusetts
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 12d after "Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Schiano's sixth season arrives with a 5-7 record and win total dip from 5 to 3.5 — a historic program's reset now faces its first real test.
Source of record: Rutgers win total fell from 5 to 3.5 (-1.5 wins) between May 2026 and Jun 2026 — win total down 1.5 from 5.0 to 3.5.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers1 bullish/market items -- the case it's working.

The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.

“Rutgers commit Arnold Mugerwa talks Scarlet Knights start to the season, possible visit”
247Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Photo Gallery From Boston College Football's Red Bandanna Game Triumph Over Rutgers”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“One Penalty Is All No. 12 Washington Needs Against Rutgers”
On the Banks · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Analyzing Rutgers’ Struggles as They Face USC Trojans” — the real counter.

The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.

“Analyzing Rutgers’ Struggles as They Face USC Trojans”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards17% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 538 of 3213 board posts (17%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"hi guys, i'm a freshman who just started out here at rutgers and so far it's been pretty good. the reason i'm making this post is because i'm in a bit of a dilemma regarding my com"
r/rutgers ~ fan take
"Are there any pools at any of the gyms(or something similar) that would allow me to swim without being a Rutgers swimmer? I know there’s the Olympic style pool but I always assumed"
r/rutgers ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Rutgers · Developing Confidence

Rutgers: the fanbase's identity shifting.

Rutgers: the fanbase's identity shifting.

skeptical — but there's a bull case where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics3 doubt takes
Believers1 bull take
💬 fans: 17% volume
The saga so far~3 months old
last weekRutgers reveals Schiano buyout details — Reported
last weekUCLA fires athletic director — Reported
last weekKJ Duff: 9 rec · 196 yds · 3 TD vs Massachusetts
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 13d after "Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers"
2 weeks agoWin total (line at 4.5) still unmoved 12d after "Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers"
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Greg Schiano begins his 7th season at Rutgers, where a 5-7 losing record and historic program legacy create tension over whether the Big Ten reset can sustain its identity.
Source of record: Rutgers: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Rutgers commit Arnold Mugerwa talks Scarlet Knights start to the season, possible visit”
247Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Photo Gallery From Boston College Football's Red Bandanna Game Triumph Over Rutgers”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“One Penalty Is All No. 12 Washington Needs Against Rutgers”
On the Banks · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Analyzing Rutgers’ Struggles as They Face USC Trojans” — the real counter.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

“Analyzing Rutgers’ Struggles as They Face USC Trojans”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards17% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 538 of 3213 board posts (17%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"hi guys, i'm a freshman who just started out here at rutgers and so far it's been pretty good. the reason i'm making this post is because i'm in a bit of a dilemma regarding my com"
r/rutgers ~ fan take
"Are there any pools at any of the gyms(or something similar) that would allow me to swim without being a Rutgers swimmer? I know there’s the Olympic style pool but I always assumed"
r/rutgers ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Belief EKG
2019 seasonW 38-27 vs Michigan State (Wk 8)L 21-37 vs Indiana (Wk 9)L 27-49 vs Ohio State (Wk 10)L 20-23 vs Illinois (Wk 11)L 42-48 vs Michigan (Wk 12)W 37-30 vs Purdue (Wk 13)L 7-23 vs Penn State (Wk 14)W 27-24 vs Maryland (Wk 15)L 21-28 vs Nebraska (Wk 16)HIGHLOW
2020 seasonW 48-21 vs Massachusetts (Wk 1)L 0-30 vs Iowa (Wk 2)L 16-30 vs Boston College (Wk 4)L 0-52 vs Michigan (Wk 5)L 7-48 vs Maryland (Wk 6)L 0-35 vs Indiana (Wk 7)L 7-42 vs Minnesota (Wk 8)W 44-34 vs Liberty (Wk 9)L 10-38 vs Illinois (Wk 10)L 21-56 vs Ohio State (Wk 12)L 0-27 vs Michigan State (Wk 13)L 6-27 vs Penn State (Wk 14)HIGHLOW
2020 offseason2019 offseasonWire: 5 → 3.5 → 5 in one offseason — the market's bouncing on Schiano because nobody agrees whether a…Wk 41Wk 4447th12th
2020 season · 3W-6L2019 season · 2W-10L2025 offseason · fan confidence percentile
WinLoss · hover for scorePrior seasonsWire event

Rival pulse

Maryland
Uneasy
-6
Maryland-Rutgers

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Rutgers is the program that played the first-ever college football game — November 6, 1869 vs Princeton — and whose Greg Schiano-second-era Big Ten reset answers what historic-program-resurrected looks like.

Offense: StrongTempo: Methodical, ball-controlDefense: Poor
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Rutgers

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production44%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#48 nationally247 composite 709.0
Portal Additions15Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses15Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss1NFL Draft departures (1) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#36Development class
CBin 4 - Bradlee Jones3.60out 3 - Bo Mascoe4.12Upgrade
current room: 194 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 2 - Ty Morris3.50out 2 - Talibi Kaba4.28Even
current room: 229 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 2 - Malachi Davis3.60out 2 - Jordan Walker3.70Even
Versatile End2025 profileholds up snap after snap without a weakness to attack
Homegrown
OTin 1 - Everett Small3.50out 2 - Taj White3.70Downgrade
DLin 2 - Rondo Porter3.40out 1 - Darold Dengohe3.50Upgrade
current room: 273 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 1 - Clay Thevenin3.50out 2 - Samuel Brown V3.40Even
current room: 203 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Satellite Back2025 profilewins in space out of the backfield
Junior-college recruit
Next man up
QB · departedAthan Kaliakmanis4★ · Rd 7, Pk 7
nowAJ Surace4★ · SO
Projected starter
Full roster (139 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Rutgers

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    KJ Duff: 9 rec · 196 yds · 3 TD vs Massachusetts

    Top 1% receiving yards game since 2021. vs Massachusetts (FBS) L 21-37.

    Sep 3
  2. Recruiting

    Aiden Gibson flips to Rutgers

    Penn State's recruiting problem just got a name attached to it — a four-star flip to Rutgers, in the Big Ten, hits different when Schiano's class is already sitting at #33 and the WR room needed this kind of upside.

  3. News

    Rutgers reveals Schiano buyout details

    Schiano's buyout number is public now — in the Big Ten, that's not a footnote, it's the floor of how serious Rutgers is about keeping him through the rebuild.

  4. News

    UCLA fires athletic director

    UCLA blowing up their athletic department mid-cycle is a gift to every program hunting their transfer portal targets — Schiano's staff should be making calls tonight.

  5. News

    Wydeek Collier-Johnson dismissed from Rutgers

    Former four-star EDGE gone before he ever counted — Schiano's already thin pass-rush depth takes another hit in a room that can't afford roster attrition right now.

    Aug 18Official
  6. News

    Messiah Tilson rises on depth chart

    Pressure at receiver was already real before KJ Duff took center stage at Big Ten Media Days — Tilson climbing the depth chart is Schiano's internal answer to a room that can't afford another wasted development cycle.

    Jul 28Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+2.1 net portal points
(raw ledger: -3.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
WR
-6.2
starter risk
QB
+3.6
low confidence
TE
+3.6
low confidence
OT
-3.5
DL
+3.3
RB
-3.3
CB
+2.9
IOL
-2.5
LB
-0.9
EDGE
-0.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Aiden Gibson
RB · Woodruff, SC
#313 national
Projects: Workhorse — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Workhorse archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Dyzier Carter
WR · Mineral, VA
#316 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 17 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Rinaldo Callaway III
EDGE · Macon, GA
#379 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

26
PA · 5FL · 4VA · 3GA · 2NC · 2NJ · 2OH · 2AZ · 1+5 more

PA leads the 2026 class with 5 commits. National footprint reaching 13 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

102 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. NJ leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI2MI4NY9MA1ORNVWYSDIAIL1INOH5PA8NJ22CT1CAUTCONEMOKYWV1VA3MD3DE1RIAZ1NMKSARTNNC8SC1DC1OKLAMSALGA6AKHITXFL22
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 10.3% of every high-school FBS signee NJ produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Syracuse is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Rutgers player grew up 199 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

21st-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%40–702 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi43%53 of 124 players
Farthest2,104 miIan Asaeli Ngaue-Stephenson · Mesa, AZ
Closest1 miZahmir Dawud · North Brunswick, NJ

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to SHI Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 124 of 139 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns NJ · 2026 roster

32% of the Rutgers roster grew up in NJ.

42 of 133 players, drawn from 21 states in all. That is the 66th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day undersells it: only 22% of the last 4 classes were from NJ, but walk-ons and transfers pull the roster 10 points back toward home.

NJ · 42FL · 16NC · 9PA · 9NY · 8GA · 6MD · 6IL · 5+13 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

133 players across 21 states. Biggest pull outside NJ: FL (16).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI1MI4NY8MA1ORNVWYSDIAIL5IN2OH5PA9NJ42CT2CAUTCO2NEMOKYWV2VA5MD6DE1RIAZ1NMKSARTNNC9SC3DCOKLAMSALGA6AKHITX3FL16
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 6 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] UMass Defeats Rutgers 37-21
14 upvotes · Sep 2026

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 57% never transferred. B
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence a bit lower than recent years

26th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
26th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
2.5
Vegas O/U wins
(1st among FBS)
Fans 25pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Roughly even on flags: 12 penalties committed vs. 12 drawn on opponents.

74 penalty yards committed vs. 85 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site