Boston College

1-1

ACC · Bill O'Brien, year 3 (10-17) · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · 44,500 · 40,611 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#117 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #95 (-7.4) · FPI #82
The marketno line yetvs Maine · our model 77% Boston College · a number, not a pick

LastW 28–21 vs Rutgers · Fri Sep 11 · Anthony Palano 1 sacks, 2 TFL, 2 INT

Nextvs Maine · Sat Sep 19 · 2 pm ET · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · series 6-0, won the last 6 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Boston College · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#130#109+7@CincinnatiL 15–34 1340-10-0
2Sep 11#132#74-3RutgersW 28–21 1291-10-0
3Sep 19#133#210Maine
4Sep 26#134#42Virginia Tech
5Oct 3@SMU
7Oct 17Pittsburgh
8Oct 24@Georgia Tech
9Oct 31@Duke
10Nov 7Florida State
11Nov 14@Notre Dame
12Nov 21Syracuse
13Nov 28@Miami
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 11RutgersW 28–21402325:28+0.13735.9%139.7%
Sep 5@CincinnatiL 15–34388231:19+0.11539.7%132.2%
Season average (2 games)3952.5+0.12637.8%135.9%
Verdict Begins·Live

Boston College is the Power-conference program that holds onto a frozen-rope miracle from 1984 because the four decades since haven't given Chestnut Hill anything bigger to point to.

Standard GapA Heisman, a Hail Mary, and an 11-win Matt Ryan team vs a present where…

Eagles fans hear the same shrug every fall — that Northeast football doesn't travel, that the league forgets BC is in it — and they answer with a Heisman, a Hail Mary, and a checkbook the school just…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 2-10 · last season

Game feel58shootoutscombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 17 in the ACC
Heart rate0-3rarely closein one-score games (3 of 12)14th most one-score games of 17 in the ACC
Margin-7.3outgunnedavg scoring margin14th best margin of 17 in the ACC
Tempo69uptempooffensive plays / game4th fastest of 17 in the ACC
Big plays1.23some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)11th most explosive of 17 in the ACC
Home crowd41,090avg attendance11th biggest crowds of 17 in the ACC

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among ACC teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Boston College has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 2-8 over the last 10, and won the last one.

Streak W1Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 2-8
Very bright guy—I feel terrible for [McKenzie] today, because he gave us everything, and he’s just an awesome guy
O’Brien · Bcheightsthe day after Boston College's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Maine · at home

Season line3.5 winsover -120
SoftPass-first, spreadPoor

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 3.5
CFP championship#86 in field+100000
ACC title#17 in market+30000

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Boston College · the story right now 8 storylines developing

What Boston College's coordinator hires is really about

the open questiondo the new coordinators fit the roster?

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Bill O'Brien's third season at Boston College follows a 2-10 losing record, with the program's identity rooted in its 1984 Heisman-winning legacy and academic-private tradition.

what happenedBoston College: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Reed Harris is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

underdog2025 cycle✓ factnew

Reed Harris produces at a notably higher rate when his team is an underdog than when favored, and his per-target value rises too, not just raw catches.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Jeremiah Franklin is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Jordan Mcdonald: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

Boston College dropped 27 spots in SP+ — Bill O'Brien's second season opens with a 2-10 record and no clear path to reversing the slide.

what happenedBoston College enters 2025 rated No. 97 in SP+ (-8.5), down 27 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Boston College dropped 27 spots in SP+ — the 2-10 record and lack of returning production raise questions about whether the program can reclaim its identity as a Catholic-Northeast football standard-bearer under Bill O'Brien.

what happenedBoston College enters 2026 rated No. 97 in 2025 SP+ (-8.5), down 27 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

identitythis cycle~readnew

Bill O'Brien's third season at Boston College follows a 2-10 losing record, with the fanbase cautiously building confidence amid a program defined by its historic Flutie legacy and academic identity.

what happenedBoston College: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredBoston College's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downBoston College's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downBoston College's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Boston College · 2026

Boston College's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Boston College · Developing Confidence

Boston College: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Boston College: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

The saga so far2 weeks old
last weekBlake James extended as AD — Reported
2 weeks agoBC releases depth chart for Cincinnati game — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Bill O'Brien's third season at Boston College follows a 2-10 losing record, with the program's identity rooted in its 1984 Heisman-winning legacy and academic-private tradition.
Source of record: Boston College: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“ACC Power Rankings: Georgia Tech 0-2, Boston College Gets Big Wi” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“ACC Power Rankings: Georgia Tech 0-2, Boston College Gets Big Win, Clemson Get Ugly Win in Week 2”
Shakin The Southland · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Did Greg Schiano’s coaching decisions cost Rutgers its first win at Boston College? | Rutgers Rant”
NJ.com · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“BC records its first win of the season with a heroic effort in the Red Bandanna Game”
Boston.com · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“Eagles Come Up Just Short Against No. 3 Harvard”
Boston College Athletics · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards7% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (54%).

This event was in 43 of 578 board posts (7%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Trivia question: What FBS football team last lost to Boston College and UMass in same season? I asked Google: "No FBS football team has lost to both Boston College and UMass in the"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Hi everyone (I’m not looking to know my odds about getting admitted just trying to solve a few questions) I just wanted to know about Boston College since I’m thinking of applying"
r/bostoncollege ~ fan take

Board health this week (111 posts): 17% positive · 54% neutral · 29% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Following now · Boston College · Season outlook Confidence

Boston College's numbers fell sharply. The model sees a program under real pressure.

Boston College enters 2025 rated No. 97 in SP+ (-8.5), down 27 spots from 2024. SP+ reflects three years of tape; a drop this steep is structural, not noise. The recovery window is open but the room knows it. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers3 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 17% volume · mostly neutral
The saga so far2 weeks old
last weekBlake James extended as AD — Reported
2 weeks agoBC releases depth chart for Cincinnati game — Reported
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Boston College dropped 27 spots in SP+ — Bill O'Brien's second season opens with a 2-10 record and no clear path to reversing the slide.
Source of record: Boston College enters 2025 rated No. 97 in SP+ (-8.5), down 27 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“ACC Power Rankings: Georgia Tech 0-2, Boston College Gets Big Wi” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“ACC Power Rankings: Georgia Tech 0-2, Boston College Gets Big Win, Clemson Get Ugly Win in Week 2”
Shakin The Southland · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers3 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Did Greg Schiano’s coaching decisions cost Rutgers its first win at Boston College? | Rutgers Rant”
NJ.com · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“BC records its first win of the season with a heroic effort in the Red Bandanna Game”
Boston.com · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“Eagles Come Up Just Short Against No. 3 Harvard”
Boston College Athletics · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards17% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (54%).

This event was in 101 of 578 board posts (17%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Trivia question: What FBS football team last lost to Boston College and UMass in same season? I asked Google: "No FBS football team has lost to both Boston College and UMass in the"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Hi everyone (I’m not looking to know my odds about getting admitted just trying to solve a few questions) I just wanted to know about Boston College since I’m thinking of applying"
r/bostoncollege ~ fan take

Board health this week (111 posts): 17% positive · 54% neutral · 29% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Boston College is the ACC academic-private program whose 1984 Doug Flutie Hail Mary + 1984 Heisman + Alumni Stadium tradition define what Catholic-Northeast-football looks like.

Offense: SoftRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Poor
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Boston College

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production16%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#71 nationally247 composite 660.0
Portal Additions26Primary repair: OT
Portal Losses30Primary pressure: TE
Draft Loss4NFL Draft departures (4) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#53Development class
WRin 4 - Reed Swanson3.70out 5 - Reed Harris4.50Downgrade
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 4 - Kris Jones3.70out 4 - Daveon Crouch3.60Even
current room: 228 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 4 - Trevon Humphrey3.60out 1 - Ryan Mickow3.49Need Filled
RBin 2 - Evan Dickens3.50out 3 - Turbo Richard3.80Even
current room: 205 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Back2025 profileBoom-or-bustdoes a little of everything without one standout trait his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
Transferred in
IOLin 2 - Kristian Phillips3.60out 3 - Eryx Daugherty3.80Downgrade
current room: 311 lbs avg (2025 roster)
DLin 2 - KJ Sampson3.60out 3 - Owen Stoudmire3.60Downgrade
current room: 269 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Next man up
WR · departedLewis Bond3★ · Rd 6, Pk 23
Projected starter
Full roster (123 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Boston College

5 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Blake James extended as AD

    Blake James staying put while O'Brien navigates 4 NFL departures and a TE room under pressure — administrative continuity matters more when the football side still has this much to prove.

  2. News

    BC releases depth chart for Cincinnati game

    O'Brien's first public depth chart under the new coordinator install — four NFL exits still visible in the two-deep, and that TE pressure everyone's been clocking isn't buried.

    Aug 31Reported
  3. News

    Travis Rhodes elected BC trustee chair

    Rhodes in the chair, James locked in as AD, O'Brien running the football side — BC is consolidating its power structure from the top down, and that kind of alignment is rare in this league.

  4. Recruiting

    2027 TE commits to BC

    Class sits at #59 nationally and the TE room has real pressure after four draft departures — Phifer is a 2027 anchor, not a quick patch, but O'Brien needs to start building the position back from scratch somewhere.

  5. Recruiting

    TE Chase Phifer commits to Boston College

    Four NFL Draft departures gutted the roster and O'Brien's development class sits 59th — Phifer is the kind of TE-room pressure valve that actually shows up in spring reps, not just on a signing-day graphic.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-4.3 net portal points
(raw ledger: -15.9 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
+10.6
need filled
CB
-7.1
starter risk
TE
-6.9
starter risk
WR
-4.2
RB
-3.7
IOL
-3.7
DL
-3.4
P
+3.4
low confidence
S
-0.8
EDGE
-0.3
LB
+0.1
QB
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★☆
Mason Leak
EDGE · Avon, CT
#427 national
Profiles like a typical incoming edge rusher — 11 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Versatile End archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Demeterius Thompson
EDGE · Clayton, MO
#527 national
★★★☆☆
Marcelino Antunes Jr.
OT · West Roxbury, MA
#704 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

24
MA · 5CT · 2GA · 2NJ · 2AL · 1EN · 1FL · 1IL · 1+9 more

MA leads the 2026 class with 5 commits. National footprint reaching 17 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

82 signees across 26 states, 2023-2026. MA leads the pull.

MEVTNH1WAIDMT1NDMNWIMI1NY3MA16ORNV1WYSDIAIL2IN2OH3PA2NJ5CT4CA2UTCONEMO1KYWVVA2MD4DERIAZNMKSARTN1NC2SC3DCOK3LA1MSAL1GA6AKHITX6FL6
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 21.3% of every high-school FBS signee MA produced over those cycles — the biggest share any program takes — Massachusetts is next. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Boston College player grew up 591 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

18th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%179–921 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi17%19 of 112 players
Farthest5,084 miPalaie Faoa · Ewa Beach, HI
Closest5 miDominic Funke · Needham, MA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA). Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 112 of 123 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns MA · 2026 roster

14% of the Boston College roster grew up in MA.

16 of 117 players, drawn from 27 states in all. That is the 120th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

MA · 16GA · 12NJ · 11FL · 8MD · 8NC · 7CT · 6VA · 6+19 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

117 players across 27 states. Biggest pull outside MA: GA (12).

ME1VTNH1WAIDMTNDMNWIMI4NY4MA16ORNVWYSDIAIL3IN4OH4PA3NJ11CT6CA2UTCONEMO2KYWVVA6MD8DERIAZNMKSAR1TN3NC7SC2DC1OK2LA1MSAL2GA12AKHI1TX2FL8
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 6 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] SMU Defeats Boston College 45-13
175 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Game Thread] SMU @ Boston College (12:00 PM ET)
11 upvotes · Nov 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 56% never transferred. D
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program

72nd percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
72nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
3.5
Vegas O/U wins
(3rd among FBS)
Fans 69pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Winning the penalty battle: 11 penalties committed vs. 12 drawn on opponents, a 44-yard edge.

65 penalty yards committed vs. 109 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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