Next game: vs Florida State
Florida State’s best edge on Boston College is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Boston College offense against Florida State defense
Florida State offense against Boston College defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.16 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 116 / 201 | 57.7 | 1450 | 7.2 | 8 | 7 | 124.5 | 26 | 45.2 | 5.2 | 9.5 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Impact starter — 201 pass attempts and 132 carries in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB McKenzie extends plays on the move until something opens up. Carr is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Rush usage39.6% 97th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry4.8 88th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Mason McKenzie's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satellite Back · +0.01 EPA/play | 23 | 7 | 66 | 296 | 4.5 | 4 | 39 | 20.6 | 12.7 | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 66 carries and 12 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Dickens wins in space out of the backfield. Jr. is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Receiving share15.4% 81th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Evan Dickens's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.01 EPA/play | 24 | 6 | 58 | 268 | 4.6 | 4 | 24 | 14.0 | 15.8 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 58 carries and 7 catches in 6 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Bo MacCormack III's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.38 EPA/play | 4 | 8 | 28 | 308 | 11 | 1 | 30 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 28 catches and 2 carries in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Javarius Green's full player page | ||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +1.19 EPA/play | 8 | 6 | 13 | 219 | 16.8 | 2 | 32 | |
Yards by week → Jump-ball target· Money-downWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. lives on the sticks and moves the chains This week's matchup — WR Jr. wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Gilbert is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt TD rate15.4% 83th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.2 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Johnathan Montague Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| +0.84 EPA/play | 9 | 6 | 8 | 208 | 26 | 1 | 69 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Deep Threat · +0.61 EPA/play | 3 | 6 | 13 | 204 | 15.7 | 1 | 78 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Boom-or-bustStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine This week's matchup — WR Pough beats you over the top. Gilbert is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception26.5 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume13 bottom 15th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dawson Pough's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.23 EPA/play | 1 | 5 | 10 | 96 | 9.6 | 0 | 24 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.10 EPA/play | 48 | 4 | 6 | 63 | 10.5 | 0 | 37 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.21 EPA/play | 84 | 3 | 7 | 61 | 8.7 | 0 | 16 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.54 EPA/play | 16 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 25 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 56 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 4.5 #60 FBS | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 29 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate24.1% 79th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View E'Lla Boykin's full player page | |||||||
| Power Rusher | 13 | 7 | 23 | 13 | 7 | 4.5 #60 FBS | 3 |
Power rusherBull-rushes through contact, winning with size and length at the point of attack. 23 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 8 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.4% 85th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Demetrius Ballard's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 8 | 6 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 20 tackles in 6 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Onye Nwosisi's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 4 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman View Kris Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 59 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Micah Amedee's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate10.7% bottom 35th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Christian Hudson's full player page | |||||||
| 41 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 | |
| 88 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 3.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 90 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 1 | 8 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 7.5 #73 FBS | 1.5 | 1 | 2 #51 FBS |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Impact starter — 69 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS linebacker who plays every week. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume69 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate1.4% bottom 34th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Anthony Palano's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 42 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Kemori Dixon's full player page | |||||||||
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 36 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.8 99th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Bodie Kahoun's full player page | |||||||||
| 28 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 2 | 8 | 60 | 1 | 3 #16 FBS | 1 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Impact starter — 60 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate1.7% bottom 21th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View KP Price's full player page | |||||||
| Rover | 5 | 8 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
RoverHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. Impact starter — 51 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate9.8% 60th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Marcus Upton's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 7 | 7 | 46 | 1 | 2 #51 FBS | 3 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 46 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume46 88th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Carter Davis's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 32 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 4 #6 FBS | 3 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way 32 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.2% bottom 42th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Charlie Comella's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 3 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Max Tucker's full player page | |||||||
| 14 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| — | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 7 | 6/8 | 75 | 15/17 | 33 | 52 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 96 | 8 | 31 | 1276 | 41.2 | 51 | 3 | 5 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | 5 | 7 | 143 | 20.4 | 0 | 37 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 32 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 16 |
Biggest plays from Boston College’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Boston College’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 8:05 · Virginia Tech down 8, ties itEthan Grunkemeyer finds Marlion Jackson for a 14-yard touchdownVirginia Tech at Boston College, week 4Q4, 8:05 · Virginia Tech 14, Boston College 14▲31%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 34% to 65%▲31%Virginia Tech’s chance to win, 34% to 65%E.Grunkemeyer pass complete short right to M.Jackson caught at BC 00, for 14 yards to the BC 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN J.Overton, Jr. rush attempt Successful▶Watch from this play
Q4, 1:34 · Pittsburgh down 6Charlie Comella intercepts Corey DaileyPittsburgh at Boston College, week 7Q4, 1:34 · Pittsburgh 21, Boston College 27▼24%Pittsburgh’s chance to win, 33% to 9%▼24%Pittsburgh’s chance to win, 33% to 9%C.Dailey pass intercepted by C.Comella at BC 33, End Of Play▶Watch from this play- Q4, 4:58 · Virginia Tech breaks the tieVirginia Tech scores a touchdownVirginia Tech at Boston College, week 4Q4, 4:58 · Virginia Tech 21, Boston College 144:58Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 4:58 left4:58Go-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 4:58 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Virginia Tech with 4:58 leftJ.Overton, Jr. rush right for 76 yards gain to the BC 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 0:51 · Boston College down 5, takes the leadMason McKenzie finds Javarius Green for an 11-yard touchdownPittsburgh at Boston College, week 7Q2, 0:51 · Boston College 14, Pittsburgh 12Boston College took the lead in the second quarterBoston College took the lead in the second quarterM.McKenzie pass complete short middle to J.Green caught at PIT00, for 11 yards to the PIT00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 14:14 · Boston College up 2Mason McKenzie finds Landon Wright for a 69-yard touchdownPittsburgh at Boston College, week 7Q3, 14:14 · Boston College 21, Pittsburgh 126969-yard touchdown pass6969-yard touchdown pass69-yard touchdown passM.McKenzie pass complete deep left to L.Wright caught at PIT35, for 69 yards to the PIT00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 10:30 · Georgia Tech down 5Charlie Comella intercepts Alberto Mendoza and returns it 23 yardsBoston College at Georgia Tech, week 8Q3, 10:30 · Georgia Tech 13, Boston College 187Georgia Tech’s turnover led to a touchdown7Georgia Tech’s turnover led to a touchdownGeorgia Tech’s turnover led to a touchdownA.Mendoza pass intercepted by C.Comella at BC 38 C.Comella return 23 yards to the GT 39 (C.Corbo)▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Boston College lost to Virginia Tech after being 89% to win; the closest win was at Georgia Tech, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Boston College during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Boston College
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Boston CollegeAnthony Palano leads Boston College with 69 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+15 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Boston College fields a struggling offense behind a strong defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Boston College reads strongest in EPA allowed (top 37%) and explosive plays allowed (top 41%); the crux lives in red-zone finish, where Boston College sits at the 9th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Boston College is worth +1.8 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 15th percentile of 133 programs
46% at home, 36% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (22-26 home, 17-30 away). Interval ±3.5.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Boston College has beaten the number by +0.1 more at home than away over 102 games. That is inside the ±6.3 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) seats 44,500 and has averaged 85% full (37,658, 31 games reported). Visitors cover a median 612 miles to get here since 2018 — 28th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 17% of the 2026 roster (19 of 112 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 56 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downReed Harris is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- UnderdogReed Harris produces at a notably higher rate when his team is an underdog than when favored, and his per-target value rises too, not just raw catches.
- Deep threatJeremiah Franklin is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Evan Dickens and Bo MacCormack III split the carries (62/118 vs 56/118) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Javarius Green (WR) and Brady Clough (TE) split the targets (47/58 vs 11/58) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Brady Clough produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Boston College actually scores
20th percentile quality, 80th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Boston College’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 45th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 67th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Boston College hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
63rd percentile success on standard downs, 28th on passing downs — a 35-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Boston College by half
1st-half offense ranks 21st percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 33rd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Boston College’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.01; 10th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.01. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.11 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Boston College’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Boston College’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (62.4% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 178-play sample) — mid-pack, 12 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Boston College’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.4% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 168-play sample) — mid-pack, 95 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 22% of the fumbles they've forced — running cold vs. the ~48% league rate.
2 of 9 forced fumbles recovered; 7 of 12 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 39% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.
9 interceptions of 23 disrupted passes (14 deflected, 9 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Losing the penalty battle: 66 penalties committed vs. 55 drawn on opponents, a 35-yard deficit.
564 penalty yards committed vs. 529 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Boston College
Most similar programs · Boston CollegeReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA), Chestnut Hill, MA
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 49°, between 39° and 57° in about 7 in 10 games (33 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 65°, and 8 in 10 ran between 44° and 80° (46 of 53 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.