The rest of the season
Three real tests left: Western Michigan 14%, Buffalo 32%, Massachusetts 38%
Win out 2% · expect 0.8 of 3 more wins
Akron's chance to win each game left, from our model: Western Michigan 14%, Massachusetts 38%, Buffalo 32%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
Standing13th in the Mid-American · 0-5 in conference play · All standings
LeadersPassing Brayden Roggow 1,343 · Rushing Jordan Gant 726 · Receiving Marcel Williams 417 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 10
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Akron never had better than a 61% chance.
Akron 20-28 Ohio
Akron lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The three plays that swung it
| Wk | Date | Our rank | Opp rank | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | #58 | #81 | +27.5✓ +5.5 | @Wake Forest | L 16-38 137 | 0-1 | 0-0 | Pass Broughton 111 · Rush Broughton 82 · Rec Williams 38 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #60 | #214 | −26.5✓ +8.5 | Robert Morris | W 45-10 121 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Broughton 227 · Rush Gant 81 · Rec Patrick 65 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | #61 | #40 | +22.5✗ −11.5 | @Minnesota | L 7-41 124 Firestorm | 1-2 | 0-0 | Pass Roggow 131 · Rush Williams 17 · Rec Hilburn 49 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | #67 | #105 | +13.5✗ −14.5 | UNLV | L 10-38 121 | 1-3 | 0-0 | Pass Roggow 194 · Rush Gant 80 · Rec Williams 83 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | #91 | #130 | +6.5✗ −17.5 | @Central Michigan | L 17-41 130 | 1-4 | 0-1 | Pass Roggow 180 · Rush Gant 102 · Rec Williams 36 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | #116 | #127 | +4.5✓ +2.5 | Eastern Michigan | L 23-25 137 | 1-5 | 0-2 | Pass Roggow 229 · Rush Gant 117 · Rec Williams 89 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | #121 | #106 | +9.5✗ −10.5 | @Miami (OH) | L 14-34 121 | 1-6 | 0-3 | Pass Roggow 234 · Rush Gant 46 · Rec Burris 54 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | #138 | #150 | +3✗ −12 | @Kent State | L 20-35 130 | 1-7 | 0-4 | Pass Roggow 275 · Rush Gant 162 · Rec Mason 129 |
| 9 | Bye week | ||||||||
| 10 | Nov 3 | #157 | #58 | +12.5✓ +4.5 | Ohio | L 20-28 125 | 1-8 | 0-5 | Pass Broughton 232 · Rush Gant 112 · Rec Mason 71 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | #159 | #51 | Western Michigan | 7 pm ET · CBS Sports Network14% to win | ||||
| 12 | Nov 18 | @Massachusetts | time TBA38% to win | ||||||
| 13 | Nov 27 | Buffalo | 12 pm ET32% to win | ||||||
Win chances are our model for Akron, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
Line is the closing point spread for Akron: a minus number means favored. A green check means the team covered it, by the number beside it. A red cross means it fell short by that much.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | Ohio | L 20-28 | 392 | 2 | 35:46 | -0.086 | 45.7% | 0.98 | One-score loss |
| Oct 24 | @Kent State | L 20-35 | 422 | 2 | 34:01 | +0.145 | 46.6% | 1.24 | |
| Oct 17 | @Miami (OH) | L 14-34 | 315 | 4 | 32:04 | -0.062 | 34.3% | 1.35 | Most explosive |
| Oct 10 | Eastern Michigan | L 23-25 | 372 | 0 | 24:25 | +0.331 | 42.4% | 1.29 | One-score loss |
| Oct 3 | @Central Michigan | L 17-41 | 340 | 3 | 30:40 | +0.177 | 38.2% | 1.30 | |
| Sep 26 | UNLV | L 10-38 | 301 | 3 | 28:22 | -0.165 | 37.7% | 1.05 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Sep 19 | @Minnesota | L 7-41 | 221 | 2 | 25:56 | -0.116 | 31.7% | 1.00 | Blowout loss |
| Sep 12 | Robert Morris | W 45-10 | 523 | 1 | 35:14 | +0.340 | 54.9% | 1.17 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 3 | @Wake Forest | L 16-38 | 305 | 1 | 30:36 | +0.022 | 50.0% | 0.72 | Defense's roughest night |
| Season average (9 games) | 355 | 2.0 | +0.065 | 42.4% | 1.12 | ||||
Akron's wildest games since 2013: comebacks, long shots, line misses
Median odds across sportsbooks · Nov 4. A number with a minus is the favorite: −130 means $130 wins $100. A plus is the underdog: +170 means $100 wins $170.
What fans said
Real posts about each game (they name the opponent, a player or a play), chosen by community score · usernames not shown
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last seven.
We moved the ball, got some first downs. I thought we were going to get a touchdown if we didn’t fumble
Range of outcomes · Akron · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
1 wins 36%; 2 wins 45%; 3 wins 17%; 4 wins 2%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the CFP.
More in this tab
This week and this season
What it is like to watch them2026 · 1-8
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among Mid-American teams the same season
Akron produced a first-ballot Pro Football Hall of Famer in Jason Taylor and one MAC title in 2005 -- and in 2025 became the first FBS team barred from the postseason over academic progress rate since 2014, a headline that swallowed everything else about the season.
Akron fans know Jason Taylor is a first-ballot Hall of Famer who wore their uniform, and that the program has real history -- but 2025's APR ineligibility is the kind of story that travels further…
Akron · Game-day weather
Typical at InfoCision Stadium: kickoff time makes little difference, scores run 88 to 91
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read it.
At kickoff, 113 regular-season Saturdays at each kickoff time, 2018 to 2025. Typical means the average of those Saturdays. It is not a forecast.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Akron produced a Pro Football Hall of Famer in Jason Taylor and won its only MAC title in 2005, but 2025 brought a stranger distinction: a 5-7 season that ended in automatic postseason ineligibility over academic progress rate, the first FBS team so barred since Idaho in 2014.
Roster and recruiting
Top 3 signees
Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb
Fans and ratings
Fan mood index · most recent r/CFB data
More
Each link was checked against two outside sites.
Range of outcomes · Akron · 2026