CFB Zeitgeist Score
37
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 97th percentile.
Reese Poffenbarger
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
36 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 20 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Akron
QB · NORTH TEXAS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
37
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 97th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#150
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025Up 80% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8283 | No. 1926 recruit | HighSchool | Old Dominion |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | North Texas -> Akron | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Miami -> North Texas | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2024 | UAlbany -> Miami | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2022 | Old Dominion -> -- | 3-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Old Dominion
Composite
0.8283
#1926 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 36): needs 269.5/game over remaining 11.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 36): needs 360.4/game over remaining 11.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.3/game over remaining 11.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 11.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.2/game over remaining 11.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Reese Poffenbarger's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Texas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Highly efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 51-0vs Lamar | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | |
| Wk 3 | W 59-10vs Washington State | 5/5 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 85.1 | Season-high 36 yds |
| Total | 5/7 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 42.9 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | 5 | 7 | 71.4% | 36 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 114.6 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Miami | 6 | 7 | 85.7% | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | 0 | 109.7 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 11 | 14 | 78.6% | 56 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 112.2 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Miami | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 36 | #322/382 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 5 | #298/383 | 22nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 71.4% | #57/383 | 85th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 5.1 | #306/382 | 20th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 20 | #248/408 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 8.1% | #290/428 | 32nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 7 | #309/407 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 12 | #261/391 | 34th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #93/407 | 77th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 4 | #312/408 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 10.3% | #304/428 | 29th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.0% | #303/428 | 29th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 9.2% | #264/428 | 39th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.3% | #318/428 | 26th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.0% | #282/428 | 34th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.3% | #316/428 | 26th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 5.9% | #255/428 | 41st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 18.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: completion % (97th). Concern: pass tds (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Eric Morris
Pass share
48.5%
475 pass / 504 run
Plays / game
69.9
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.9%
321 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Eric Morris.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Miami | QB4 | #150 | #80 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Old Dominion | QB4 | #2357 | #2552 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Conference USA |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Texas | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Middletown, MD |
| 2024 | Miami | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Middletown, MD |
| 2021 | Old Dominion | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Middletown, MD |