Massachusetts

2-0

Mid-American · Joe Harasymiak, year 2 (2-12) · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · 17,000 · 14,895 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#137 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #135 (-25.8) · FPI #117
The marketno line yetvs Stonehill · our model 77% Massachusetts · a number, not a pick

LastW 37–10 vs Sacred Heart · Sat Sep 12 · William Watson III 152 pass yds, 1 TD, 40 rush yds

Nextvs Stonehill · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 pm ET · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

UMass · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 3#258#68+29.5@RutgersW 37–21 1261-00-0
2Sep 12#246#208-23.5Sacred HeartW 37–10 402-00-0
3Sep 19#208#240Stonehill
4Sep 26#200#129@Sacramento State
5Oct 3Eastern Michigan
6Oct 10Miami (OH)
7Oct 17@Buffalo
8Oct 23@UConn
10Nov 4Ball State
11Nov 11@Toledo
12Nov 18Akron
13Nov 28@Bowling Green
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Sacred HeartW 37–10315024:59+0.44447.5%139.0%
Sep 3@RutgersW 37–21397036:21+0.33052.3%104.1%
Season average (2 games)3560.0+0.38749.9%121.5%
Verdict Begins·Live

UMass spent nearly a decade as a homeless independent and just rejoined a conference — and the first season back, a winless one, was less a verdict than the price of finally having somewhere to climb from.

Standard GapA flagship research university with two FCS national titles vs an FBS pr…

Outsiders ask why UMass is even at this level — and the fanbase answers that running football at a flagship has always meant explaining itself to people who'd rather it disappear, and showing up anywa…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19Next: Stonehillvs Stonehill · at home

What fans said

W 37–21 at Rutgers

Massachusetts fans

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 0-12 · last season

Game feel50even gamescombined pts / game5th highest-scoring of 13 in the Mid-American
Heart rate0-2rarely closein one-score games (2 of 12)12th most one-score games of 13 in the Mid-American
Margin-27.5outgunnedavg scoring margin13th best margin of 13 in the Mid-American
Tempo64average paceoffensive plays / game7th fastest of 13 in the Mid-American
Big plays1.18grind it outexplosiveness (IsoPPP)11th most explosive of 13 in the Mid-American
Home crowd8,788avg attendance12th biggest crowds of 13 in the Mid-American

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Mid-American teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

UMass has won two of its last five.

Cooling. 2-8 over the last 10, and won the last two.

Streak W2Last 5 · 2-3Last 10 · 2-8
We are finding ways to be really effective in the second half of games, and we are starting games really well, but we aren’t connecting the two
Dowiak · Dailycollegian3 days after Massachusetts's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Stonehill · at home

PoorPass-first, spreadPoor

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#117 in field+100000
MAC title#9 in market+1500

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Massachusetts · the story right now 10 storylines developing

What Massachusetts's offseason is really about

the open questionwhere does it go from here?

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Massachusetts enters 2026 — top-quintile returning production contrasts with a 0-12 record, and Joe Harasymiak’s first season will define whether UMass reclaims the version of itself that earns respect in FBS.

what happenedMassachusetts enters 2026 rated No. 136 in 2025 SP+ (-36.6). ✓ fact
the contexttop-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back

our readbackground

identitythis cycle~readnew

Joe Harasymiak begins his tenure with a 0-12 losing record to confront — UMass is playing for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.

what happenedMassachusetts: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Elijah Faulkner sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach, and his efficiency in competitive snaps sits below the position baseline -- the numbers lean on the opponent giving up.

our readdeveloping

portal2025-06-15~readnew

William Watson III (QB) arrives at UMass as the headline addition in a top-2 MAC portal class — Harasymiak's first step toward escaping 0-12.

what happenedMassachusetts signed a top-62 transfer-portal class — 35 additions headlined by Brandon Rose (QB) from Utah and Grant Jordan (QB) from Yale. ✓ fact
the contexta top-2 portal class in the Mid-American this cycle

our readbackground

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Joe Harasymiak begins his tenure with a 0-12 losing record to confront, as UMass plays for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.

what happenedMassachusetts: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

market_swing2026-09-10✓ factnew

Massachusetts MAC championship odds shortened — implied probability moved from 0.4% to 4.3% (+3.9pp) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier B).

the contextwin total up 0.0 — solo market signal, no peers moved the same direction

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Donnie Gray: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Jacquon Gibson: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle✓ factnew

Massachusetts: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

our readbackground

coaching2025 cycle~readnew

Joe Harasymiak inherits a 0-12 program with 76% production returning — UMass's fourth coach in five seasons now faces the task of proving its identity.

what happenedJoe Harasymiak took over as Massachusetts's head coach, replacing Shane Montgomery. ✓ fact
the contextthe program's third head coach in five seasons

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

AnsweredMassachusetts's head-coaching hire held for another season.
Died downMassachusetts's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
ReplacedMassachusetts's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →

Outcome band · UMass · 2026

UMass' most likely season is 4-8 — no postseason. The floor is 2-10; the ceiling is 7-6.

Floor2-10No postseason, 2 fewer wins.
Base4-8No postseason.
Ceiling7-6A bowl game.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Massachusetts · Season outlook Confidence

Massachusetts is near the bottom of the model. The math is the story.

Massachusetts enters 2026 rated No. 136 in 2025 SP+ (-36.6). It is top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back. SP+ describes what the program HAS done, not what it will do. The season is the field test. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.

Developing2 new this week
5 days agoMAC title odds: +25000 → +2250 (▲3.9pp implied)
6 days agoMAC title odds: +2350 → +25000 (▼3.7pp implied)
3 weeks agoUMass QB depth chart being established — Reported
Mar 6QB Logan Inagawa transfer commits from Drake — CFBD /player/portal
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Massachusetts enters 2026 — top-quintile returning production contrasts with a 0-12 record, and Joe Harasymiak’s first season will define whether UMass reclaims the version of itself that earns respect in FBS.
Source of record: Massachusetts enters 2026 rated No. 136 in 2025 SP+ (-36.6) — top-quintile returning production in FBS — 1% of production comes back.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“UMass football pioneers past Sacred Heart 37-10”
Massachusetts Daily Collegian · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Minutemen Run Away From Sacred Heart In Home Opener, 37-10”
University of Massachusetts Athletics · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“~!【LIVESTREAMS】FREE] Massachusetts football Live Free NCAA Football in 12 September 2026”
Loughborough University · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards22% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 160 of 742 board posts (22%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"are you looking to help start a national organization to end political polarization? BridgeUSA is looking for UMass Amherst students and faculty who are interested in leading the c"
r/umass ~ fan take
"any easy al/at gen eds at UMass Amherst? i need to pcik one asap but none of them sound good"
r/umass ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Massachusetts · Developing Confidence

Massachusetts: the fanbase's identity shifting.

Massachusetts: the fanbase's identity shifting.

Developing2 new this week
5 days agoMAC title odds: +25000 → +2250 (▲3.9pp implied)
6 days agoMAC title odds: +2350 → +25000 (▼3.7pp implied)
3 weeks agoUMass QB depth chart being established — Reported
Mar 6QB Logan Inagawa transfer commits from Drake — CFBD /player/portal
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Joe Harasymiak begins his tenure with a 0-12 losing record to confront — UMass is playing for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.
Source of record: Massachusetts: the fanbase's identity shifting.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards thin
📣Believers1 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“UMass football pioneers past Sacred Heart 37-10”
Massachusetts Daily Collegian · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Minutemen Run Away From Sacred Heart In Home Opener, 37-10”
University of Massachusetts Athletics · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
“~!【LIVESTREAMS】FREE] Massachusetts football Live Free NCAA Football in 12 September 2026”
Loughborough University · 2026-09-12 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards5 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.

Only 5 of 742 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

"Does anyone know when freshmen can start joining clubs? Specifically Model UN and the Massachusetts Daily Collegian. I know for some clubs we have to apply, but for others like the"
r/umass ~ fan take
"Hello! I am a high school senior considering where I should apply and student government has been a significant and meaningful part of my high school experience. I am looking for a"
r/umass ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

UMass is playing for the version of itself that gets invited to the conversation.

Offense: PoorRun/Pass: Pass-first, spreadDefense: Poor
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Hired Joe Harasymiak
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - UMass

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production-57%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#128 nationally247 composite 525.9
Portal Additions21Primary repair: OT
Portal Losses19Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#116Depth class
EDGEin 4 - Andrew Depaepe4.28out 5 - Marques White3.60Downgrade
WRin 2 - Joseph Griffin Jr.3.40out 4 - Jacquon Gibson3.60Starter Risk
current room: 194 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receiver2023 profilemoves the chains on third down
QBin 3 - William Watson III3.49out 3 - Grant Jordan3.50Even
current room: 212 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 3 - Kendric Council3.50out 2 - Rashad Henry3.30Upgrade
current room: 226 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 2 - Justin Williams-Thomas3.40out 1 - Brandon Hood3.40Even
current room: 196 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 2 - Greg Knox3.50out 0Need Filled
Full roster (103 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · UMass

5 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. Portal

    QB Logan Inagawa transfer commits from Drake

    Pioneer League quarterback to MAC — Inagawa is competition for the QB1 picture, not a presumed starter.

    Mar 6CFBD /player/portal
  2. News

    UMass QB depth chart being established

    Harasymiak's portal class ranked 116th nationally, but the QB room is where MAC survival actually starts — who's under center matters more than the recruiting composite right now.

    Aug 19Reported
  3. News

    UMass beats Rutgers for first time

    A ranked-116th portal class and pressure at WR didn't stop UMass from handing Rutgers a loss that made Deshaun Watson's Browns look even worse — Harasymiak's building something quiet in Amherst.

  4. News

    MAC title odds: +25000 → +2250 (▲3.9pp implied)

    Mac title odds improved 3.9pp in line with recent program news — the books confirmed what was already public.

    Sep 10
  5. News

    MAC title odds: +2350 → +25000 (▼3.7pp implied)

    Mac title odds dropped 3.7pp in line with recent program news — the books confirmed what was already public.

    Sep 9
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

+3.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +10.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
OT
+6.8
need filled
LB
+3.6
RB
+3.4
EDGE
-3.0
WR
-2.4
starter risk
CB
+2.0
LS
+1.0
low confidence
IOL
-0.8
QB
-0.6
DL
+0.3
S
+0.1
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Aedan McCarthy
QB · Bluffton, SC
#1566 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Terron Johnson
CB · Oakdale, CT
#1754 national
★★★☆☆
Kai Owens
WR · Mundelein, IL
#1846 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 15 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

20
MA · 3NJ · 3CT · 2PA · 2AZ · 1CA · 1DC · 1EN · 1+6 more

MA leads the 2026 class with 3 commits. National footprint reaching 14 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

53 signees across 22 states, 2023-2026. FL leads the pull.

MEVTNH1WAIDMTNDMN1WIMI1NY1MA5ORNVWYSDIAIL1INOH1PA5NJ6CT2CA3UTCONEMOKY1WVVA1MD5DE1RIAZ5NMKSARTNNC1SC3DC1OK1LAMSALGAAKHITXFL6
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Massachusetts player grew up 331 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

59th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%124–924 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi24%21 of 88 players
Farthest5,008 miTy McCutcheon · Honolulu, HI
Closest19 miJoseph Griffin Jr. · Springfield, MA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 88 of 103 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns MA · 2026 roster

22% of the Massachusetts roster grew up in MA.

21 of 97 players, drawn from 26 states in all. That is the 95th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

Signing day undersells it: only 9% of the last 4 classes were from MA, but walk-ons and transfers pull the roster 12 points back toward home.

MA · 21FL · 10MD · 9NJ · 8NY · 7AZ · 4CT · 4OH · 4+18 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

97 players across 26 states. Biggest pull outside MA: FL (10).

MEVTNH2WAIDMTNDMNWIMI1NY7MA21ORNVWYSDIA2IL1IN1OH4PA4NJ8CT4CA3UTCONEMOKY1WVVA1MD9DE1RIAZ4NMKSARTNNC2SC2DC1OKLA2MSAL1GA3AKHI1TX1FL10
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 6 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Community pulse

No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2021 class: 0 drafted so far, 40% never transferred. F
See the class →
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

16 penalties committed, 15 drawn on opponents — ceding 34 yards of field position.

123 penalty yards committed vs. 89 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site