Massachusetts beats Stonehill 36-14
Team pages: Stonehill · Massachusetts
Massachusetts beat Stonehill 36-14. Share this game
We had Stonehill favored. Massachusetts won.
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Massachusetts a 79% chance, and the closing betting line (Massachusetts was a 30.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
Massachusetts led by 6 after the first quarter and by 6 at the half.
Favored the whole way: Massachusetts never fell below 95%.
Stonehill never had better than a 5% chance.
Massachusetts 36-14 Stonehill
Massachusetts wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Stonehill 14-36 MassachusettsStonehill lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Massachusetts -30.5), at 98% for Massachusetts (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Massachusetts scored on 7 of its 13 drives; Stonehill on 2 of its 13.
Massachusetts’s drives are teal, Stonehill’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Massachusetts 36, Stonehill 14
Stonehill covered +30.5 by 8.5. The total, 50, stayed under 50.5.
| Team totals | Stonehill | Massachusetts |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 161 | 355 |
| Passing | 16 of 31, 134 yds | 15 of 25, 160 yds |
| Rushing | 28 for 27 yds | 35 for 195 yds |
| First downs | 10 | 15 |
| Third down | 3 of 16 | 4 of 12 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 |
| Penalties | 6 for 50 yds | 9 for 98 yds |
| Time of possession | 29:52 | 30:08 |
Stonehill leaders
- Passing Jack O'Connell 10 of 21, 69 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Shane Eason 9 for 20 yds; Joshua Roberson 4 for 13 yds
- Receiving Shawn Corchado 3 for 41 yds; Jaylin Baker 2 for 32 yds
Massachusetts leaders
- Passing William Watson III 15 of 25, 160 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Elijah Faulkner 11 for 61 yds; Ty Harding 1 for 56 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Ty Harding 4 for 73 yds, 1 TD; Reece Adkins 1 for 25 yds
No rain through the game
65° at kickoff · no rain recorded
The usual here around this date is 66°, with about 7 in 10 games between 56° and 75°.
September game-day temperatures at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Chicopee/westover airport, 13 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Stonehill · 1-2
Rated 243rd in our preseason ratings, 236th now.
1-2 in its last three, including a 18-point win over New Haven as a 6.5-point underdog.
L 35-42 @ New Hampshire #203 of 668
lost by 7 as a 13.5-point underdog
W 21-3 @ New Haven #256 of 668
won by 18 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 6-24 vs Bryant #198 of 668
lost by 18 as a 4-point underdog
Last two games
Massachusetts · 2-0
Rated 258th in our preseason ratings, 200th now, up 58 spots.
Two straight wins, including a 16-point win over Rutgers as a 29.5-point underdog.
Week by week
Massachusetts
- Wk 1Wat Rutgers37-21
- Wk 2Wvs Sacred Heart37-10
Stonehill
- Wk 1Lvs Bryant6-24
- Wk 1Wat New Haven21-3
- Wk 2Lat New Hampshire35-42
Power rating by week
Massachusetts is rated 1.6 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Massachusetts’s chances here.
Massachusetts favored by 30.5 · Total 50.5
How games like this usually go
Massachusetts by 30.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 3 points toward Stonehill.
The total rose 1 point.
Spread: −33.5 → −30.5 · Total: 49.5 → 50.5
Weather at kickoff
Mild and dry. Feels like 63° at kickoff.
Stonehill at Massachusetts · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, Hadley
- 63°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 100weather score, Ideal
At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium that day, a 6 pm, 7:30 pm or 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 99, against 100 at 3:30 pm.
- noon: 100, Ideal
- 1 pm: 100, Ideal
- 2 pm: 100, Ideal
- 3:30 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)
- 4 pm: 100, Ideal
- 6 pm: 99, Comfortable
- 7:30 pm: 99, Comfortable
- 7:45 pm: 99, Comfortable
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Massachusetts is worth +4.7 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 60th percentile.
12% at home, 10% on the road against FBS opponents (4-30 home, 5-45 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.0 at home vs. away over 95 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 76 miles to get here.