Duke routs Boston College 47-2

Team pages: Boston College · Duke

Boston College4-42
Duke6-247Final
Sat, Oct 31 · Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, N.C. · Crowd 15,653The CW

Duke routed Boston College 47-2.

We had Duke favored. It won.

Next: Boston College vs Florida State, Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Boston College underdog by 7

Next: Duke at NC State, Sat Nov 7 · 12:30 PM ET · Duke favored by 4.5

BC had 10 penalties called against them in the 1st half last week too, a few of which were incredibly suspect
A Boston College fan

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Duke a 72% chance, and the closing betting line (Duke was a 7-point favorite) put it at 71%.

FinalDuke 47-2 Boston CollegeDuke wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4DukeWon47-212+11+11Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4DukeWon47-212Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4DukeLowest 0%Lost2-4712−11−12Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4DukeLowest 0%Lost2-4712Scores

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 13:4639-yd puntDuke 64% → 75% (+11)
  2. 2Q1 7:33Sheppard 1-yd TD run, Duke goes ahead 7-0Duke 78% → 89% (+11)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 13:4639-yd puntBoston College 36% → 25% (−11)
  2. 2Q1 7:33Sheppard 1-yd TD run, Duke goes ahead 7-0Boston College 23% → 11% (−12)
Duke’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Duke -7), at 76% for Duke (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Duke’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 3:39Sheppard 2-yd TD runDuke leads 13-0Q1, 3:39 · Duke 13, Boston College 0▲5%Duke’s chance to win, 89% to 94%▲5%Duke’s chance to win, 89% to 94%Watch from this playACC Digital Network
  2. Q2, 9:06Sheppard 54-yd TD runDuke leads 20-2Q2, 9:06 · Duke 20, Boston College 2▲6%Duke’s chance to win, 93% to 99%▲6%Duke’s chance to win, 93% to 99%Watch from this playACC Digital Network
  3. Q2, 2:14Eget 5-yd TD pass to HasleyDuke leads 27-2Q2, 2:14 · Duke 27, Boston College 2▲2%Duke’s chance to win, 97% to 99%▲2%Duke’s chance to win, 97% to 99%Watch from this playACC Digital Network
  4. Q3, 10:41Sheppard 4-yd TD runDuke leads 34-2Q3, 10:41 · Duke 34, Boston College 2▼2%Duke’s chance to win, 100% to 98%▼2%Duke’s chance to win, 100% to 98%Watch from this playACC Digital Network
  5. Q3, 6:44Sheppard 1-yd TD runDuke leads 41-2Q3, 6:44 · Duke 41, Boston College 241-2score after the play41-2score after the playWatch from this playACC Digital Network
  6. Q3, 1:01Mahan intercepted by Davis at the Boston College 26Q3, 1:01 · Duke 41, Boston College 241-2score after the play41-2score after the playWatch from this playACC Digital Network

Every drive

Duke scored on 8 of its 13 drives; Boston College on 0 of its 12.

Duke’s drives are teal, Boston College’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Duke: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntBoston College: Punt, from 70 yards out to 51PuntDuke: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Punt, from 75 yards out to 91PuntDuke: Touchdown, from 35 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Turned over on downs, from 57 yards out to 16DownsQ2Duke: Punt, from 89 yards out to 87PuntBoston College: Punt, from 60 yards out to 51PuntDuke: Touchdown, from 81 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Punt, from 92 yards out to 74PuntDuke: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntDuke: Turned over on downs, from 70 yards out to 92DownsQ3Boston College: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntDuke: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Fumble, from 51 yards out to 34FumbleDuke: Touchdown, from 42 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 65DownsDuke: Interception, from 35 yards out to 33InterceptionBoston College: Fumble, from 74 yards out to 81FumbleQ4Duke: Field goal, from 19 yards out to 24Field goalBoston College: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 39DownsDuke: Field goal, from 61 yards out to 7Field goalBoston College: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 22DownsDuke: End of game, from 78 yards out to 82End of game

When fans got loud

Roaring

Fans were loudest in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was roaring; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthDuke fansBoston College fansusual

Box score

Duke 47, Boston College 2

Duke covered −7 by 38. The total, 49, stayed under 49.5.

Boston CollegeDukeTotal yardsBoston College 213Duke 382213382Passing yardsBoston College 135Duke 233135233Rushing yardsBoston College 78Duke 14978149First downsBoston College 14Duke 211421TurnoversBoston College 2Duke 121Time of possessionBoston College 0:15Duke 34:000:1534:00
Team totalsBoston CollegeDuke
Total yards213382
Passing14 of 27, 135 yds16 of 25, 233 yds
Rushing33 for 78 yds41 for 149 yds
First downs1421
Third down2 of 135 of 12
Fourth down0 of 41 of 2
Turnovers21
Penalties15 for 129 yds10 for 90 yds
Time of possession0:1534:00

Boston College leaders

  • Passing Mason McKenzie 9 of 17, 87 yds
  • Rushing Bo MacCormack III 9 for 24 yds; Mason McKenzie 13 for 24 yds
  • Receiving Jackson Wade 1 for 36 yds; Dawson Pough 1 for 24 yds

Duke leaders

  • Passing Walker Eget 11 of 18, 201 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Nate Sheppard 20 for 97 yds, 5 TD; Jayvian Tanelus 5 for 46 yds
  • Receiving Jeremiah Hasley 3 for 55 yds, 1 TD; Javen Nicholas 1 for 44 yds

No rain through the game

61° at kickoff · no rain recorded

October game-day temperatures at Wallace Wade Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Duke favoredBoston College favored100%Win chanceDukeRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Duke favoredBoston College favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left12:11 p.m.
Boston College 0, Duke 0 · Duke 76% to win
no rain · 61°
Eget 4-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Durham - Duke North Heliport airport, 0.8 miles away, and Raleigh / Durham airport, 11 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Boston College · 4-3

Rated 130th in our preseason ratings, 91st now, up 39 spots.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 22-point win over Georgia Tech as a 6.5-point underdog.

W 49-27 @ Georgia Tech No. 113 of 668 teams

won by 22 as a 6.5-point underdog

Boston College won 49-27 at Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 30%, low 10%, high better than 99%.

W 27-21 vs PittsburghTop 25 No. 48 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

Boston College won 27-21 vs Pittsburgh. Chance to win started at 18%, low 12%, high better than 99%.

L 16-25 @ SMUTop 25 No. 27 of 668 teams

lost by 9 as a 21.5-point underdog

Boston College lost 16-25 at SMU. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 14%.

L 14-21 vs Virginia Tech No. 45 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 14.5-point underdog

Boston College lost 14-21 vs Virginia Tech. Chance to win started at 20%, low 5%, high 70%.

W 22-16 vs Maine No. 215 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 37.5-point favorite

Boston College won 22-16 vs Maine. Chance to win started at 99%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 28-21 vs Rutgers No. 88 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 3-point favorite

Boston College won 28-21 vs Rutgers. Chance to win started at 66%, low 56%, high better than 99%.

L 15-34 @ Cincinnati No. 110 of 668 teams

lost by 19 as a 7-point underdog

Boston College lost 15-34 at Cincinnati. Chance to win started at 27%, low under 1%, high 28%.

Last three games

Duke · 5-2

Rated 67th in our preseason ratings, 52nd now, up 15 spots.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 3-point win over Virginia as a 2.5-point underdog.

W 19-16 @ VirginiaTop 25 No. 63 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

Duke won 19-16 at Virginia. Chance to win started at 32%, low 21%, high 91%.

L 20-24 vs North Carolina No. 61 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 3-point favorite

Duke lost 20-24 vs North Carolina. Chance to win started at 62%, low 7%, high 76%.

L 25-28 @ Georgia Tech No. 99 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 4.5-point favorite

Duke lost 25-28 at Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 55%, low 2%, high 68%.

W 62-7 vs William & Mary No. 221 of 668 teams

won by 55 as a 43.5-point favorite

Duke won 62-7 vs William & Mary. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

W 35-7 vs Stanford No. 106 of 668 teams

won by 28 as a 9.5-point favorite

Duke won 35-7 vs Stanford. Chance to win started at 85%, low 72%, high better than 99%.

W 31-27 @ Illinois No. 69 of 668 teams

won by 4 as a 6-point underdog

Duke won 31-27 at Illinois. Chance to win started at 26%, low 11%, high 80%.

W 17-3 vs Tulane No. 74 of 668 teams

won by 14 as a 9.5-point favorite

Duke won 17-3 vs Tulane. Chance to win started at 76%, low 76%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Duke

Wk 3: W 35-7 vs Stanford▲28StanfordWk 4: W 62-7 vs William & Mary▲55William…Wk 6: L 25-28 at Georgia Tech▼3G. TechWk 7: L 20-24 vs North Carolina▼4N. Carol…Wk 8: W 19-16 at Virginia▲3Virginia
  • Wk 3Wvs Stanford35-7
  • Wk 4Wvs William & Mary62-7
  • Wk 6Lat Georgia Tech25-28
  • Wk 7Lvs North Carolina20-24
  • Wk 8Wat Virginia19-16

Boston College

Wk 3: W 22-16 vs Maine▲6MaineWk 4: L 14-21 vs Virginia Tech▼7Virginia…Wk 5: L 16-25 at SMU▼9SMUWk 7: W 27-21 vs Pittsburgh▲6Pittsbur…Wk 8: W 49-27 at Georgia Tech▲22G. Tech
  • Wk 3Wvs Maine22-16
  • Wk 4Lvs Virginia Tech14-21
  • Wk 5Lat SMU16-25
  • Wk 7Wvs Pittsburgh27-21
  • Wk 8Wat Georgia Tech49-27

Power rating by week

Duke is rated 3.8 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

5-1-7Wk 0Wk 4Wk 8DukeBoston College

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Boston College’s EPA/play against Duke, 76 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Boston College’s EPA/play against Duke’s defense

    76 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Boston College offense, 11th percentile · Duke defense, 87th

  2. Boston College’s rushing EPA against Duke’s defense

    76 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Boston College offense, 20th percentile · Duke defense, 96th

  3. Boston College’s explosive plays against Duke’s defense

    64 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Boston College offense, 28th percentile · Duke defense, 92nd

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Boston CollegeDuke
EPA/play, offense
Boston College · 11Duke · 84
EPA/play, defense
Boston College · 64Duke · 87
Success rate, offense
Boston College · 35Duke · 50
Success rate, defense
Boston College · 53Duke · 73
Explosive-play rate, offense
Boston College · 28Duke · 86
Explosive-play rate, defense
Boston College · 59Duke · 92
Rush EPA, offense
Boston College · 20Duke · 68
Rush EPA, defense
Boston College · 46Duke · 96
Pass EPA, offense
Boston College · 24Duke · 82
Pass EPA, defense
Boston College · 42Duke · 65

The series

Boston College leads the series 5-4

9 meetings since 1927 · Duke won the last meeting

Duke wonBoston College won1927: Duke by 161928: Boston College by 191929: Boston College by 82006: Boston College by 212010: Boston College by 52011: Duke by 12015: Duke by 22020: Boston College by 202022: Duke by 719272022
  • 2022Duke 38-31Duke won 38-31 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 75%, low 74%, high 99%.
  • 2020Boston College 26-6Duke lost 6-26 vs Boston College. Chance to win started at 61%, low 1%, high 63%.
  • 2015Duke 9-7
  • 2011Duke 20-19
  • 2010Boston College 21-16

Each line is Duke’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Boston College fans are in a better mood than Duke fans (65th percentile vs 20th among FBS fanbases), even with Duke favored.

50-50Model 72% · Line 71%Duke fans · 20thBoston College fans · 65thBoston CollegeDuke

Duke favored by 7 · Total 49.5

How games like this usually go

Duke by 7, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 426 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The total rose 2 points.

opened 47.5now 49.5

Total: 47.5 → 49.5

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Duke has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — +0.8 points (±4.3), home against road — 5th percentile of FBS.

54% at home, 43% on the road against FBS opponents (25-21 home, 20-27 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.6 at home vs. away over 101 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 604 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Full ACC standings