Next game: at Wisconsin
Wisconsin’s best edge on Rutgers is big plays
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Rutgers offense against Wisconsin defense
Wisconsin offense against Rutgers defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 95 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.24 EPA/play | 12 | 6 | 74 / 127 | 58.3 | 1066 | 8.4 | 10 #72 FBS | 6 | 145.3 | 60 | 52.5 | 7.4 | 3.8 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. 127 pass attempts and 22 carries in 6 games. Fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Lonergan operates within the system without forcing anything. Colandrea is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt8.4 71th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate4.7% bottom 3th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dylan Lonergan's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Vertical Passer · -0.13 EPA/play | 10 | 6 | 43 / 83 | 51.8 | 662 | 8.0 | 7 | 5 | 134.6 | 38 | 43.9 | 5.4 | 12.6 | |
Yards by week → Vertical passerElite arm talent, pushing downfield. Completion rate is the variable. 83 pass attempts and 26 carries in 6 games. Fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week. This week's matchup — QB Surace pushes it downfield on every look. Colandrea is the one who extends plays on the move until something opens up. Season receipt Yards / attempt8.7 78th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate6.0% bottom 1th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View AJ Surace's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| -0.70 EPA/play | 6 | 3 | 3 / 10 | 30 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 52.0 | — | 4.7 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.19 EPA/play | 3 | 8 | 134 | 733 #22 FBS | 5.5 | 6 #55 FBS | 54 | 13.3 | 13.3 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 134 carries and 14 catches in 8 games, more touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Raymond does a little of everything without one standout trait. Rule is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry5.7 64th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception11.4 91th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Antwan Raymond's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.33 EPA/play | 9 | 8 | 80 | 435 | 5.4 | 5 | 43 | 12.5 | 16.2 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 80 carries and 5 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Thevenin does a little of everything without one standout trait. Rule is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry5.9 71th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception10.2 82th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Clay Thevenin's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +0.72 EPA/play | 8 | 7 | 45 | 774 #13 FBS | 17.2 | 9 #5 FBS | 78 | |
Yards by week → Deep threat· Boom-or-bustStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Starter — 45 catches in 7 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Duff beats you over the top. Jr. is the one who wins underneath on volume and route precision. Season receipt Yards / reception17.3 86th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Reception volume45 95th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View KJ Duff's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.39 EPA/play | 4 | 7 | 18 | 264 | 14.7 | 1 | 80 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Jourdin Houston's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.98 EPA/play | 2 | 7 | 10 | 195 | 19.5 | 2 | 53 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.43 EPA/play | — | 5 | 11 | 151 | 13.7 | 0 | 35 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +1.85 EPA/play | 5 | 4 | 5 | 72 | 14.4 | 2 | 28 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| -0.10 EPA/play | 11 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | 0 | 11 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 99 | 8 | 26 | 10 | 8 #50 FBS | 2.5 | 1 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. Starter — 26 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate30.8% 92th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Rondarius Porter's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 11 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 0.5 | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 23 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate17.4% 58th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Malachi Davis's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 8 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 20 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate25.0% 81th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Sekou Kromah's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 96 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2021 class View Keshon Griffin's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 55 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2021 class View Zaire Angoy's full player page | |||||||
| 94 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 | |
| 42 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 41 | 7 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 38 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 82th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Sean Allison's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 2 | 7 | 36 | 13 | 23 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 #51 FBS |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 36 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2022 class View Moses Walker's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 5 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman View Ty Anthony Morris's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume15 bottom 10th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate3.3% bottom 20th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Abram Wright's full player page | |||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 20 | 8 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 40 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume40 76th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Chris Joines's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 16 | 7 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate9.7% 60th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jessie Ofurie's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 5 | 7 | 31 | 2 | 2 #51 FBS | 2.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 31 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Bradlee Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 9 | 7 | 30 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 30 tackles in 7 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View DK Gilley's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 25 | 5 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate8.7% 54th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jamareis Conyers's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 21 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate15.8% 85th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Devonte Anderson's full player page | |||||||
| 27 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 44 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 35 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 8 | 8/9 | 88.9 | 24/25 | 48 | 47 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94 | 8 | 23 | 1009 | 43.9 | 70 | 5 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 14 |
Biggest plays from Rutgers’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Rutgers’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 7:06 · Boston College up 6Mason McKenzie finds Dawson Pough for a 78-yard touchdownRutgers at Boston College, week 2Q4, 7:06 · Boston College 28, Rutgers 147878-yard touchdown pass7878-yard touchdown pass78-yard touchdown passM.McKenzie pass complete deep right to D.Pough caught at BC 50, for 78 yards to the RU 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN M.McKenzie pass attempt Successful J.Montague Jr. pass attempt Successful▶Watch from this play
Q4, 11:43 · Rutgers down 8, ties itClay Thevenin runs 1 yard for a touchdownMichigan at Rutgers, week 9Q4, 11:43 · Rutgers 21, Michigan 21▲15%Rutgers’s chance to win, 12% to 27%▲15%Rutgers’s chance to win, 12% to 27%C.Thevenin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MICH00 touchdown B.Black III pass attempt Successful▶Watch from this play
- Q3, 2:27 · Boston College up 6Moses Walker intercepts Mason McKenzie and returns it 8 yardsRutgers at Boston College, week 2Q3, 2:27 · Boston College 20, Rutgers 14▼13%Boston College’s chance to win, 80% to 67%▼13%Boston College’s chance to win, 80% to 67%M.McKenzie pass intercepted by M.Walker at BC 26 QB hurried by S.Kromah M.Walker return 8 yards to the BC 18 (E.Dickens)▶Watch from this play
- Q1, 7:17 · Rutgers down 7Rutgers turns it overRutgers at Boston College, week 2Q1, 7:17 · Rutgers 0, Boston College 77Rutgers’s turnover led to a touchdown7Rutgers’s turnover led to a touchdownRutgers’s turnover led to a touchdownA.Surace pass intercepted by C.Comella at BC 23, End Of Play penalty BC Sideline Inteference. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELD▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 9:27 · Rutgers down 6Rutgers turns it overRutgers at Boston College, week 2Q4, 9:27 · Rutgers 14, Boston College 208Rutgers’s turnover led to a touchdown8Rutgers’s turnover led to a touchdownRutgers’s turnover led to a touchdownA.Surace pass intercepted by A.Palano at BC 10 QB hurried by K.Price A.Palano return 6 yards to the BC 16 (A.Raymond), out of bounds penalty BC Illegal Block in Back (M.Amedee) 8 yards from BC 16 to BC 08▶Watch from this play
- Q2, 11:31 · Rutgers down 11AJ Surace finds Jourdin Houston for an 80-yard touchdownMichigan at Rutgers, week 9Q2, 11:31 · Rutgers 10, Michigan 148080-yard touchdown pass8080-yard touchdown pass80-yard touchdown passA.Surace pass complete deep middle to J.Houston caught at MICH40, for 80 yards to the MICH00 QB hurried by T.Bowles touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Rutgers lost to Massachusetts after being 79% to win; the closest win was at Maryland, down to 13%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Rutgers during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Rutgers
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · RutgersKJ Duff leads Rutgers with 774 receiving yards through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+14 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Rutgers fields a capable explosive, big-play offense behind a porous defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Rutgers reads strongest in explosive plays (top 2%) and red-zone finish (top 25%); the crux lives in rushing EPA allowed, where Rutgers sits at the 5th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Rutgers is worth +2.2 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom third of FBS, 18th percentile of 133 programs
31% at home, 32% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (16-36 home, 14-30 away). Interval ±4.3.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Rutgers has beaten the number by −2.2 more at home than away over 101 games. That is inside the ±6.2 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
SHI Stadium seats 52,454 and has averaged 92% full (48,001, 31 games reported). Visitors cover a median 496 miles to get here since 2018 — 52nd-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 43% of the 2026 roster (53 of 124 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 57 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeAntwan Raymond does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
- UnderdogIan Strong produces at a notably lower rate when his team is an underdog than when favored: he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
- Deep threatKJ Duff is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks, and he catches those deep shots at a plus rate.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Antwan Raymond and Clay Thevenin split the carries (134/213 vs 79/213) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
KJ Duff (WR) and Logan Blake (TE) split the targets (71/83 vs 12/83) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Rutgers actually scores
32nd percentile quality, 76th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Rutgers’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 60th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 62nd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Rutgers hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
42nd percentile success on standard downs, 81st on passing downs — a 39-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Rutgers by half
1st-half offense ranks 38th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 63rd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Rutgers’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.12; 54th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 2: 0.20 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Rutgers’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Rutgers’s passing game completes a completion rate below the FBS mean (61.2% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 186-play sample) — most conservative, 3 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Rutgers’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (68.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 173-play sample) — mid-pack, 121 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
The bounces haven't gone their way on the fumbles they've forced: 25% recovered, vs. ~48% expected.
2 of 8 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Cashing in more than most: 25% of disrupted passes intercepted, vs. ~18% league-wide.
5 interceptions of 20 disrupted passes (15 deflected, 5 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The flags have favored them: 47 penalties drawn on opponents vs. 33 committed, 208 yards to the good.
242 penalty yards committed vs. 450 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Rutgers
Most similar programs · RutgersReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ
Usual during the game around Nov 14: 46°, between 35° and 55° in about 7 in 10 games (29 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 55°, and 8 in 10 ran between 39° and 76° (50 of 51 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.