cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Carter Bradley /South Alabama

Carter Bradley

QB · South Alabama · Sr · #2

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSSouth Alabama 2023 alumnus

QB · SOUTH ALABAMA · SUN BELT

Carter Bradley

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-3 | 216 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#308

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2021

Toledo · QB

2022

South Alabama · QB

2023

South Alabama · QB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
9722021
3,3522022
2,6602023

+174%

Up 174% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#611 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-3 | 216 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamSouth Alabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 611 recruit
Composite rating 0.8718 HighSchool
Signed with Toledo 2018
Origin Providence Jacksonville, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2018 3-star | 0.8718 No. 611 recruit | HighSchool | Toledo

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#308Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#424Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Toledo

Composite

0.8718

#611 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Carter Bradley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Carter Bradley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Carter Bradley already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #308 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 28.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,660 19 TD | 7 INT | #56/382 (86th pct)
Completion rate 67.8% 221/326 completions | #84/383 (78th pct)
Yards/attempt 8.2 Explosiveness through the air | #80/382 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerEfficientPocket-leaning

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
221 87th
ATT
326 84th
CMP%
67.8% 78th
Y/A
8.2 79th

Passing Production

YDS
2,660 86th
TD
19 89th
INT
7 23rd

Rushing

CAR
43 65th
YDS
-44 4th
YPC
-1.0 12th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Toledo7-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2022South Alabama10-3HC: Kane Wommack · Balanced
2023South Alabama7-6HC: Kane Wommack · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2023South Alabama22132667.8%2,6608.2197151.3----
2022South Alabama27642664.8%3,3527.92812146.9----
2021Toledo7713059.2%9727.541130.7----
Career3 loaded seasons57488265.1%6,9847.95120146.1----
SeasonTeam
2023South Alabama43-44-1.01--
2022South Alabama68500.72--
2021Toledo24-26-1.10--
Career3 loaded seasons135-20-0.13--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -44 1 rush TD | #394/408 (4th pct)
Usage 28.8% 54.3% pass share | 4.9% rush share | #187/428 (57th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.20 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #146/200 (28th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,660 #56/382 86th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 19 #44/407 89th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 221 #52/383 87th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 67.8% #84/383 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.2 #80/382 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -44 #394/408 4th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.20 #146/200 28th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 126 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 28.8% #187/428 57th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 326 #68/407 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 7 #316/407 23rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 43 #142/408 65th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 17 #201/391 49th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -1.0 #358/407 12th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 54.3% #176/428 59th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 40.4% #180/428 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 36.8% #191/428 56th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 27.3% #192/428 55th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 24.6% #184/428 57th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 23.7% #189/428 56th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 4.9% #279/428 35th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 5 #252/258 3rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Major Applewhite

Pass share

37.0%

310 pass / 527 run

Plays / game

69.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.2%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Kane Wommack
South Alabama
2022
Kane Wommack
South Alabama
2023
Kane Wommack
South Alabama

Played his entire career under Kane Wommack.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height6'3"
Weight216 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-Sun Belt all_conference South Alabama | Sun Belt QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 South Alabama QB4 #308 #424 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 South Alabama QB4 #36 #45 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Toledo QB4 #865 #937 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2023 South Alabama Sun Belt QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 216 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2022 South Alabama Sun Belt QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 216 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2021 Toledo Mid-American QB 4 No. 2 | 6-3 | 216 lb | Jacksonville, FL