CFB Zeitgeist Score
28
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Billy Edwards
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
113 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Wisconsin for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Wisconsin · editorial
Returning around him
- 40% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: +8 net (33 in / 25 out)
2026 Award watch
- Davey O'Brien
Wisconsin · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #28 · 2026 recruiting class #27
QB · WISCONSIN · BIG TEN
Billy Edwards
- 4
- #9
- 6-3 | 228 lb
- Springfield, VA
Heisman Heat
#50
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025-64%
Sharp dropoff (-64%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8356 | No. 1589 recruit | HighSchool | Wake Forest |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Wake Forest -> Maryland | 3-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Wake Forest
Composite
0.8356
#1589 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Billy Edwards
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
56
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=10
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Billy Edwards
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 2g
113Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
56.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
734.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 113): needs 262.5/game over remaining 11.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 113): needs 353.4/game over remaining 11.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.3/game over remaining 11.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 11.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.2/game over remaining 11.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Billy Edwards's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wisconsin, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
7 27th
ATT
16 34th
CMP%
43.8% 8th
Y/A
7.1 57th
Passing Production
YDS
113 32nd
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 17-0vs Miami (OH) | 6/13 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 | 32.7 | Season-high 68 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 10-27vs Maryland | 1/3 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 15.0 | 72.6 | |
| Total | 7/16 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 10.1 | 52.6 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Maryland8-5HC: Mike Locksley · Balanced
2023Maryland8-5HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
2024Maryland4-8HC: Mike Locksley · Pass-leaning
2025Wisconsin4-8HC: Luke Fickell · Run-heavy, slow tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 113 | #259/382 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 7 | #281/383 | 27th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 43.8% | #354/383 | 8th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.1 | #165/382 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.32 | #62/200 | 70th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 412 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.7% | #269/428 | 37th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 16 | #271/407 | 34th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 21.3% | #253/428 | 41st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 16.0% | #227/428 | 47th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.4% | #250/428 | 42nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.1% | #246/428 | 43rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.9% | #308/428 | 28th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 3.0% | #390/428 | 9th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/428 | 9th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.30 | #40/140 | 72nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 67 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 56.5 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 68.0 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses1g | 45.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 56.5 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
28Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: pass tds (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Billy EdwardsWisconsinAvery JohnsonKansas State· 52% simRyan BrownePurdue· 49% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 48% sim
Interceptions
Yards / att
Completion %
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Luke Fickell
Pass share
39.7%
272 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
57.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.8%
249 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Jim Leonhard
Wisconsin
2023era →
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin
2024
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin
2025
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin
Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Leonhard → Luke Fickell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSpringfield, VA
Height6'3"
Weight228 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWisconsin
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Maryland | QB4 | #50 | #57 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Maryland | QB4 | #441 | #402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Maryland | QB4 | #246 | #260 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Wake Forest | QB4 | #938 | #616 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Springfield, VA |
| 2024 | Maryland | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Springfield, VA |
| 2023 | Maryland | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Springfield, VA |
| 2022 | Maryland | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Springfield, VA |
| 2021 | Wake Forest | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 228 lb | Springfield, VA |