CFB Zeitgeist Score
49
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 73rd percentile.
Walker Eget
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3,058 PASS YDS · 17 PASS TD · 96 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Duke
QB · SAN JOSÉ STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
49
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 73rd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#1179
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025Up 38125% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8415 | No. 1426 recruit | HighSchool | San José State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | San José State -> Duke | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to San José State
Composite
0.8415
#1426 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,058.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,058): needs 471/game over remaining 2.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 9/game over remaining 2.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Walker Eget's story is about how role and output meet each other. For San José State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-volume passer against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-16vs Central Michigan | 24/43 | 308 | 2 | 2 | 7.2 | 35.3 | |
| Wk 2 | L 7-38@ Texas | 21/42 | 188 | 0 | 1 | 4.5 | 35.2 | |
| Wk 4 | W 31-28vs Idaho | 13/21 | 222 | 1 | 0 | 10.6 | 50.9 | |
| Wk 5 | L 29-30@ Stanford | 36/58 | 473 | 3 | 0 | 8.2 | 74.5 | Season-high 473 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 35-28vs New Mexico | 26/30 | 334 | 3 | 0 | 11.1 | 92.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | L 28-35@ Wyoming | 23/37 | 295 | 4 | 0 | 8.0 | 83.9 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | L 25-30@ Utah State | 27/49 | 340 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 | 62.1 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 10 | W 45-38vs Hawai'i | 20/40 | 458 | 2 | 0 | 11.5 | 83.4 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 11 | L 16-26vs Air Force | 27/42 | 334 | 0 | 2 | 8.0 | 28.0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 10-55@ Nevada | 11/23 | 74 | 0 | 3 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 13 | L 3-25@ San Diego State | 4/8 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 4.0 | 9.2 | |
| Total | 232/393 | 3058 | 17 | 9 | 7.6 | 51.0 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San José State | 232 | 393 | 59.0% | 3,058 | 7.8 | 17 | 9 | 134.1 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | San José State | -- | 1 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | San José State | 1 | 8 | 12.5% | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 20.9 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 233 | 402 | 58.0% | 3,066 | 7.6 | 17 | 9 | 131.5 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San José State | 33 | 96 | 2.9 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | San José State | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | San José State | 1 | -15 | -15.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 35 | 82 | 2.3 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,058 | #33/382 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 17 | #57/407 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 232 | #46/383 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 59.0% | #230/383 | 40th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.8 | #103/382 | 73rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 96 | #137/408 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.39 | #29/200 | 86th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 381 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 55.2% | #39/428 | 91st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 393 | #29/407 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 9 | #359/407 | 12th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 33 | #167/408 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 13 | #243/391 | 38th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.9 | #193/407 | 53rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 85.4% | #94/428 | 78th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 67.2% | #62/428 | 86th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 64.9% | #69/428 | 84th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 57.5% | #29/428 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 49.7% | #35/428 | 92nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 49.4% | #37/428 | 92nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 9.5% | #165/428 | 62nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 4 | #237/258 | 9th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 331 | 1.6 | 9.7 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 234 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 338 | 2.0 | 11.1 | 0.0 |
| Losses8g | 256 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 1.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 303 | 2.2 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 248 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 1.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: pass yards (82nd). Concern: fumbles lost (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 58.6% completion on 280 attempts · 26 deep completions averaging 37.8 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Elite: EPA / dropback.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Seth Henigan’s 2021 season.
Seth Henigan
Rocky Lombardi
Katin Houser
Chase Brice
Tyler Johnston III
Matches Seth on
Differs from Seth on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Michael Collins’s path through Rice.
Michael Collins
Colton Joseph
Michael Pratt
Tim DeMorat
Dequan Finn
Matches Michael on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Alan Bowman's senior season at Oklahoma State (2023).
Alan Bowman
Katin Houser
Sawyer Robertson
Rocky Lombardi
Hudson Card
Matches Alan on
Differs from Alan on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ken Niumatalolo
Pass share
61.1%
486 pass / 310 run
Plays / game
66.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
2.1%
420 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Brent Brennan → Ken Niumatalolo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | San José State | QB4 | #1179 | #1083 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | San José State | QB4 | #1021 | #800 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | San José State | QB4 | #1702 | #1567 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | San José State | QB4 | #2126 | #2318 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | San José State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA |
| 2024 | San José State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA |
| 2023 | San José State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA |
| 2022 | San José State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA |
| 2021 | San José State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 223 lb | Santa Clarita, CA |