Followed Mike Elko. Manny Diaz moved Duke from National Program III to National Program II in 3 seasons.
Awaiting signal — no quotes collected from this staff yet this cycle.
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Power Program in his 1st career season — faster than 57% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #1 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
3–1 against his rivals.
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
We are such a poorly coached team. Special teams coach should be fired at halftime. For a defensive guy, Diaz kind of seems like he doesn’t know what the fuck he’s doing.
Why the fuck is rivers not in Williams, I stg it’s like Diaz coaches to lose
Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Sep 14, 2025–Nov 1, 2025 · via CFB
4th-best Duke tenure of 15 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.
Followed Mike Elko (2022–2023).
| Season | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 9–4 | 9–5 | 0–0 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | W bowl | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #61 | #30 | #71 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||
| Pass rate | 55.1 | 52.7 | 37.3 | |
| Coordinators | ||||
| OC | Jonathan Brewer | Jonathan Brewer | Jonathan Brewer | |
| DC | Jonathan Patke | Jonathan Patke | Jonathan Patke | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 16 | 88 | 3 | |
| Defense | 50 | 11 | 46 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 46.5 | 49.3 | 22.8 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 46.7 | 32.9 | 56.0 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 31.1 | 49.0 | — | |
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
6 NFL Draft picks: Graham Barton (2024), DeWayne Carter (2024), Jacob Monk (2024), Wesley Williams (2026), Chandler Rivers (2026), Brian Parker II (2026)
10th-best Miami tenure of 20 by the numbers.
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Mark Richt (2016–2018) · succeeded by Mario Cristobal (2022–2026).
| Season | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 6–7 | 8–3 | 0–0 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | L bowl | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #27 | #13 | #12 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||
| Pass rate | 51.8 | 47.6 | 52.8 | |
| Coordinators | ||||
| OC | Dan Enos | Rhett Lashlee | Rhett Lashlee | |
| DC | Blake Baker / Ephraim Banda | Blake Baker / Ephraim Banda | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 28 | 71 | 77 | |
| Defense | 80 | 38 | 57 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 49.7 | 51.0 | 55.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 42.0 | 37.2 | 47.5 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 39.6 | 30.3 | 31.7 | |
Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
14 NFL Draft picks: Sheldrick Redwine (2019), Michael Jackson (2019), Joe Jackson (2019), Jaquan Johnson (2019), Travis Homer (2019), Shaquille Quarterman (2020), DeeJay Dallas (2020), K.J. Osborn (2020) + 6 more
Defensive coordinator across 4 programs, 4 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.