Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 3-6
Houston’03L’05L’06LBaylor’10L’11W’12W’13L’14L’15W
Show all 9 games
2003Hawai'i BowlL 48-54
2005Fort Worth BowlL 13-42
2006Liberty BowlL 36-44
Baylor
2010Texas BowlL 14-38
2011Alamo BowlW 67-56
2012Holiday BowlW 49-26
2013Fiesta BowlL 42-52
2014Cotton Bowl ClassicL 41-42
2015Russell Athletic BowlW 49-38
Report card
Top-quarter on both sides of the ball — 80th percentile offense, 75th percentile defense.
Baylor, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-1 against his rivals at Houston. Just 1-3 against Tommy West.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
8-6 against his rivals at Baylor. Just 1-2 against Mike Sherman.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
12-7 against his rivals. Just 1-3 against Tommy West.
Signature games
These losses tie at the model's current max -- an editorial pick among a real tie, not a clean ranking.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Called about what the situation called for under every play-caller.
5,812 run and pass snaps at Baylor, 2008–2015, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
Followed him here
Houston→
Baylor2008Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2015 roster arrived on his watch — 112 of 112 players. Nobody is left from before he was hired.
This coach's entire tenure (2008-2015) predates 2021, when transfer-portal tracking begins in this database. Portal usage cannot be measured for this tenure at all -- this is not the same as '0% portal'.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Baylor rosters have averaged 6 lb heavier than the FBS average (2010–2015 rosters on record) — heavier than 84% of FBS coaching runs since 2010.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 130 of 147 signees (88%) across his 2008–2015 tenure, drawn from 8 states in all. Next: CA (8).
90% of his signees come from TX and its 4 border states (OK 3).
Off this map: 8 signees to the west (CA 8) and 3 to the east (GA 2, PA).
- median hometown distance
- 117 mi
- within 100 mi
- 40%
- within 500 mi
- 89%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 6%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. He brought in 10 of them himself. 16 more can’t be traced to who brought them in (no roster record). 6 went in the first round.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | R1.15 | Corey Coleman | Wide Receiver |  Cleveland Browns | |
| 2016 | R2.07 | Xavien Howard | Cornerback |  Miami Dolphins | |
| 2016 | R4.24 | Andrew Billings | Defensive Tackle |  Cincinnati Bengals | |
| 2016 | R5.29 | Spencer Drango | Offensive Tackle | Cleveland Browns | |
| 2016 | R6.35 | Jimmy Landes | Long Snapper |  Detroit Lions | |
| 2016 | R6.42 | Rico Gathers | Tight End |  Dallas Cowboys | Estimated |
| 2015 | R4.04 | Bryce Petty | Quarterback |  New York Jets | |
| 2015 | R7.07 | Bryce Hager | Inside Linebacker |  St. Louis Rams |
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | R5.13 | Cyril Richardson | Offensive Guard |  Buffalo Bills | Estimated |
| 2014 | R6.10 | Lache Seastrunk | Running Back |  Washington Redskins | Estimated |
| 2014 | R6.21 | Demetri Goodson | Cornerback |  Green Bay Packers | Estimated |
| 2014 | R7.25 | Tevin Reese | Wide Receiver |  San Diego Chargers | |
| 2014 | R7.33 | Ahmad Dixon | Safety | Dallas Cowboys | |
| 2013 | R3.12 | Terrance Williams | Wide Receiver | Dallas Cowboys | Estimated |
| 2012 | R1.02 | Robert Griffin III | Quarterback | Washington Redskins | Estimated |
| 2012 | R1.20 | Kendall Wright | Wide Receiver |  Tennessee Titans | Estimated |
| 2012 | R4.13 | Philip Blake | Center |  Denver Broncos | Estimated |
| 2012 | R6.32 | Terrance Ganaway | Running Back | New York Jets | Estimated |
| 2012 | R6.33 | Robert Griffin | Offensive Guard | New York Jets | Estimated |
| 2011 | R1.21 | Phil Taylor | Defensive Tackle |  Cleveland Browns | Estimated |
| 2011 | R1.23 | Danny Watkins | Offensive Guard |  Philadelphia Eagles | |
| 2011 | R7.13 | Mikail Baker | Defensive Back | St. Louis Rams | Estimated |
| 2011 | R7.43 | Jay Finley | Running Back | Cincinnati Bengals | Estimated |
| 2010 | R3.16 | J.D. Walton | Center | Denver Broncos | Estimated |
| 2010 | R6.29 | David Gettis | Wide Receiver |  Carolina Panthers | Estimated |
| 2009 | R1.02 | Jason Smith | Offensive Tackle | St. Louis Rams | Estimated |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Builder meaningfully raised a program that wasn't one · Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
1st-best Baylor tenure of 16 by the numbers.
Followed Guy Morriss (2003–2007) · succeeded by Jim Grobe (2016).
| Season | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||||
| Record | 4-8 | 4-8 | 7-6 | 10-3 | 8-5 | 11-2 | 11-2 | 10-3 | |
| Postseason | — | — | L bowl | W bowl | W bowl | L bowl | L bowl | W bowl | |
| Coordinators | |||||||||
| OC | — | — | — | — | — | — | Philip Montgomery | Kendal Briles | |
| DC | — | — | — | — | — | — | Phil Bennett | Phil Bennett | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||||
| Offense | 73 | 30 | 90 | 99 | 96 | 88 | 96 | 91 | |
| Defense | 34 | 31 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 98 | 38 | 54 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 31.3 | 53.2 | 49.4 | 49.5 | 43.1 | 43.1 | 51.4 | 42.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 22.9 | 48.4 | 38.9 | 39.4 | 30.7 | 22.1 | 29.3 | 23.7 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 64.5 | 32.3 | 23.5 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 50.0 | 51.4 | 61.9 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
15th-best Houston tenure of 16 by the numbers.
Followed Dana Dimel (2000–2002) · succeeded by Kevin Sumlin (2008–2011).
| Season | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 7-6 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 10-4 | 8-4 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | — | L bowl | L bowl | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | — | 63 | 66 | 94 | 67 | |
| Defense | — | 4 | 44 | 5 | 19 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | 33.3 | 38.6 | 46.5 | 36.7 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | 48.3 | 33.9 | 38.5 | 34.0 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | 28.9 | 39.2 | 50.0 | |
4 NFL Draft picks: Rex Hadnot (2004), Stanford Routt (2005), Kevin Kolb (2007), Donnie Avery (2008)
All-time wins
Wins at programs this site tracks, 1936–present — one consistent count for every coach, not each program’s own historically reported total.
2nd all-time at Baylor
Was he good?
The data leans positive, where the data can separate from zero: every conclusive reading points the same way.
+34.7 pts at Baylor · #15 of 1290 · top quarterModel fit as of 2026-09-04.