Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-8vs NC State | 9/11 | 155 | 2 | 0 | 14.1 | 97.4 | |
| Wk 2 | W 59-3vs Norfolk State | 12/14 | 162 | 3 | 1 | 11.6 | 51.1 | Season-high 162 yds |
| Total | 21/25 | 317 | 5 | 1 | 12.8 | 74.2 |
#7
Beau Pribula
Beau Pribula has attended more campuses than most fans have visited stadiums, but the tape at Missouri shows a quarterback who genuinely knows how to complete passes. He ranked 87th percentile in completion rate among FBS QBs in 2025 — third in the SEC — while coming back from a dislocated ankle to start the Tigers' final two games. Virginia is betting that precision translates across conferences.
6′2″ · 209 lb · York, PA · Central York
CFB Index 49 · #70 of 146 QBsHigh confidencePOTY finalist (model)Transferred Missouri → Virginia for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
On production he ranks #70 of 146 QBs; on reputation he is a projected national-award finalist. The gap between those two numbers is the story.
The numbers
317
passing yards · 2026
5 TD · 1 INT · 12.7 per attempt
2 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 155 pass yds, 2 TD, 110 rush yds, vs NC State
The play that turned itSwung Missouri from 8% to 61% to win.Alabama at Missouri · 27-24
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Beau Pribula has attended more campuses than most fans have visited stadiums, but the tape at Missouri shows a quarterback who genuinely knows how to complete passes. He ranked 87th percentile in completion rate among FBS QBs in 2025 — third in the SEC — while coming back from a dislocated ankle to start the Tigers' final two games. Virginia is betting that precision translates across conferences.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to Penn State in 2022.
- Transferred from Missouri to Virginia in 2026.
Aura™ · Him Watch
Aura tax
+23aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 63rd percentile of QBs; the tape says
40th pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=84
— more hype than the tape.Aura — fan perception63rd pctl
Production — on-field40th pctl
n=84 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = our passing-value metric (wEPA)
Buzz vs Tape
Fans warmer than rivals
His own fans are far more bullish than the rival fanbase.
26.4own fans
-3.1rival fans
maybe not this year, but next year when we get an o-line, start that beau pribula heisman hype baby! cuz Im FUCKING CONVINCED LMAO
Also worth knowing:
In Their Words
808 windows · 2026 fan posts
beau×272.3pribula×111.3missouri×18.2cavaliers×146.8virginia×10.1uva×92.8mizzou×76.6rushing×13.2
“I mean, they could have ranked Beau Pribula one spot higher....”
reddit/CFB · fan post, verbatim
The story
The Missouri chapter was more complicated than the box score admits. Pribula won the starting job after transferring from Penn State, led the Tigers to a 6-1 mark in games he started and finished, and posted a 174.25 passer rating against Kansas (30-for-39, 334 yards, three touchdowns). The nine interceptions and a late-season ankle injury muted the headline numbers, but the underlying play-by-play was kinder: 87th-percentile completion rate, 84th-percentile pass success rate on 219 tracked dropbacks.
The limiting factor is obvious in the data. Pribula's average depth of target sat in the 26th percentile and his explosive-pass rate in the 22nd, meaning he lives underneath the coverage. That is a workable offensive identity — not a flaw — if Virginia offensive coordinator Des Kitchings builds a system around quick-hitting routes and designed runs. Pribula also brings six rushing touchdowns and 95 carries from 2025, enough mobility to keep defenses honest in a spread-option framework.
The 2026 stake is simple: Virginia needs a starter who can manage an offense without self-destructing, and Pribula is already favored to win that job. A clean pocket and a scheme that plays to his strengths could make him one of the ACC's more efficient distributors. Push him to win vertically, and the 34th-percentile explosive rate becomes the ceiling in a hurry.
His career
5 programs, one constant: he played.
The week the volume broke through — put up 334 yds vs Kansas.Kansas · W 42-312025
Pribula is a check-down artist masquerading as a dual-threat, and the PBP data makes the case without apology. His 87th-percentile completion rate and 84th-percentile pass success rate are the top-line moat numbers — he processes quickly, gets the ball out, and avoids taking chances he cannot win. The tradeoff shows up in the 26th-percentile average depth of target and 34th-percentile explosive-pass rate: he is not pushing the ball down the field. The 21st-percentile sack rate (he takes sacks more than most) is the one wrinkle that undercuts the quick-release narrative and suggests he can be flushed from a clean pocket when defenses force him off his first read. The rushing volume (95 carries, 6 touchdowns) is real but comes with a modest 3.1 yards per carry — he is a threat to run, not a runner by design.
Written by our staff.
2022
- Signed with Penn State3-star out of Central York
202510 games
- Entered the portal
2026
- Entered the portal
- Entered the portal
- Entered the portal
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Coaching lineage · 2023–2026
1 coach2023–2026
Virginia
Played his entire career under Tony Elliott.
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Virginia
2025Missouri
2026Virginia
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2023Penn State10-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2024Penn State13-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
2026Virginia2-0HC: Tony Elliott · Run-heavy
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidenceAscending
Elite: yards / att (100th percentile). Strength: completion % (100th percentile). Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (7)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 158 YDS/g, 2.5 TD/g, 12.8 YPA, 0.5 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tony Elliott
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
POTY finalist (model)
Our Heisman model has him in the top five; no finalist honor is on the books yet.
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Virginia | 21 | 25 | 84.0% | 317 | 12.7 | 5 | 1 | 248.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2025 | Missouri | 182 | 270 | 67.4% | 1,946 | 7.2 | 11 | 9 | 134.7 | 47 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Penn State | 26 | 35 | 74.3% | 275 | 7.9 | 5 | 1 | 181.7 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Penn State | 11 | 21 | 52.4% | 149 | 7.1 | 4 | 0 | 174.8 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 240 | 351 | 68.4% | 2,687 | 7.7 | 25 | 11 | 149.9 | 47 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Virginia | 17 | 102 | 6.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2025 | Missouri | 95 | 297 | 3.1 | 6 | -- |
| 2024 | Penn State | 38 | 242 | 6.4 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Penn State | 56 | 329 | 5.9 | 6 | -- |
| Career | 206 | 970 | 4.7 | 16 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 59–3
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · NC State · 2&3 · Q2 · EPA +3.39Xavier Brown 45 Yd pass from Beau Pribula (Will Bettridge Kick)
- Week 1 · NC State · 2&2 · Q3 · EPA +3.33(13:41) Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass complete deep right to #18 D.Martin caught at NCS06, for 47 yards to the NCS00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:35, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #50 W.Rubinoff)
- Week 2 · Norfolk State · 1&15 · Q1 · EPA +3.09B. Pribula pass to D. Martin for 27 yds, for a TD (W. Bettridge KICK)
- Week 2 · Norfolk State · 4&2 · Q1 · EPA +2.93B. Pribula pass to J. Gibson for 6 yds, for a TD (W. Bettridge KICK)
- Week 2 · Norfolk State · 2&3 · Q1 · EPA +2.64(03:19) Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass complete short left to #4 J.Gibson caught at NSU25, for 30 yards to the NSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:12, 1ST DOWN #41 W.Bettridge kick attempt good (H: #38 D.Sparks, LS: #50 W.Rubinoff)
- Week 2 · Norfolk State · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.30(00:23) Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass complete deep middle to #11 I.Robinson caught at UVA36, for 29 yards to the UVA45 (#13 B.Thompson), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Norfolk State · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.29(04:10) Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass complete deep middle to #5 K.Courtney caught at NSU41, for 29 yards to the NSU37 (#2 N.Bashir), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · NC State · 4&4 · Q4 · EPA +2.19(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass complete short right to #8 T.Coleman caught at NCS24, for 11 yards to the NCS24 (#7 B.Nelson II), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NCS Holding declined
- Week 1 · NC State · 4&1 · Q3 · EPA +2.10(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 B.Pribula rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UVA48 (#29 B.Barnhardt; #99 A.Prim), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Norfolk State · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA -2.05(06:21) Shotgun #7 B.Pribula pass intercepted by #4 J.Davis at UVA36 broken up by #98 Q.Goins, End Of Play
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Pribula is a check-down artist masquerading as a dual-threat, and the PBP data makes the case without apology. His 87th-percentile completion rate and 84th-percentile pass success rate are the top-line moat numbers — he processes quickly, gets the ball out, and avoids taking chances he cannot win. The tradeoff shows up in the 26th-percentile average depth of target and 34th-percentile explosive-pass rate: he is not pushing the ball down the field. The 21st-percentile sack rate (he takes sacks more than most) is the one wrinkle that undercuts the quick-release narrative and suggests he can be flushed from a clean pocket when defenses force him off his first read. The rushing volume (95 carries, 6 touchdowns) is real but comes with a modest 3.1 yards per carry — he is a threat to run, not a runner by design.
Our classifier reads him the same way: keeps the offense on schedule and doesn't lose the game.
DNA match
Player DNA
Game Manager
Consistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Luke Altmyer’s 2023 season.
72%match
Matches Luke on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Completion %
Differs from Luke on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Weight (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Shedeur Sanders’s path through Colorado.
80%match
All-Big 12NFL Rd 5
Matches Shedeur on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Luke Altmyer's junior season at Illinois (2023).
Matches Luke on
INT rate
TD rate
Weight
Differs from Luke on
Completion % (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peak #22
Peaked at #22 this season.
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology