CFB Zeitgeist Score
53
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 90th percentile.
Eli Holstein
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,081 PASS YDS · 12 PASS TD · 88 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Virginia
2025Pittsburgh
2026Virginia
QB · PITTSBURGH · ACC
Eli Holstein
- 2
- #10
- 6-4 | 225 lb
- Zachary, LA
Heisman Heat
#49
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
★
2024
Pittsburgh · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Pittsburgh · QB
—
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025-51%
Sharp dropoff (-51%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Pittsburgh
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9580 | No. 86 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Pittsburgh -> Virginia | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Alabama -> Pittsburgh | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Alabama
Composite
0.9580
#86 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Eli Holstein
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
- Rivals · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Eli Holstein
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
ESPN QBR (season average)
47.7
QBR
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games
National rank #80 of 92
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 2 games 13th
Why it matters
#80 of 92 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by ESPN QBR — 47.7 across 7 games.
Vs cohort
This player 47.7 (13th)
HIGH · n=7 cohort 92
- Also strong
- Third-down snap share#76 / 93
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 7g
1,081Pass yards
12Pass TDs
6INT
Per game
154.4Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,008Pass yards
22Pass TDs
11INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,081): needs 319.8/game over remaining 6.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,081): needs 486.5/game over remaining 6.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 2.2/game over remaining 6.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 3/game over remaining 6.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 12): needs 3.8/game over remaining 6.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Eli Holstein already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
77 62nd
ATT
125 63rd
CMP%
61.6% 52nd
Y/A
8.6 84th
Passing Production
YDS
1,081 64th
TD
12 79th
INT
6 28th
Rushing
CAR
36 62nd
YDS
88 65th
YPC
2.4 45th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 7 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 61-9vs Duquesne | 15/23 | 215 | 4 | 1 | 9.3 | 74.4 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 45-17vs Central Michigan | 21/28 | 304 | 4 | 1 | 10.9 | 89.9 | Season-high 304 yds |
| Wk 3 | L 24-31@ West Virginia | 22/37 | 303 | 1 | 1 | 8.2 | 28.5 | |
| Wk 5 | L 27-34vs Louisville | 14/26 | 228 | 2 | 2 | 8.8 | 35.5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 48-7vs Boston College | 2/4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 53-34vs NC State | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 15-37vs Notre Dame | 3/6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 3.8 | 78.4 | |
| Total | 77/125 | 1081 | 12 | 6 | 6.1 | 47.7 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Pittsburgh7-6HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Pittsburgh8-5HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Pittsburgh | 77 | 125 | 61.6% | 1,081 | 8.6 | 12 | 6 | 156.3 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | 179 | 290 | 61.7% | 2,225 | 7.7 | 17 | 7 | 140.7 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 256 | 415 | 61.7% | 3,306 | 8.0 | 29 | 13 | 145.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Pittsburgh | 36 | 88 | 2.4 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | 81 | 328 | 4.0 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 117 | 416 | 3.6 | 4 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,081 | #139/382 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 12 | #88/407 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 77 | #148/383 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 61.6% | #186/383 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.6 | #63/382 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 88 | #143/408 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.31 | #69/200 | 66th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 109 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 38.3% | #152/428 | 65th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 125 | #150/407 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 6 | #294/407 | 28th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 36 | #158/408 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 31 | #105/391 | 73rd pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.4 | #226/407 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 53.8% | #177/428 | 59th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 45.6% | #157/428 | 64th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 44.3% | #172/428 | 60th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 38.3% | #149/428 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 35.3% | #135/428 | 69th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 34.9% | #137/428 | 68th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 16.3% | #90/428 | 79th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 7 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 130 | 1.8 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| Road1g | 303 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 132 | 2.0 | 5.6 | 0.8 |
| Losses3g | 185 | 1.3 | 6.9 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 212 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 1.0 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 11.5 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
53Mid-pack
Elite: fumbles lost (91st). Strength: yards / att (89th). Concern: pass yards (24th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds53%of completions
39 comp4.5 yds avg3 TD
Middle
10–19 yds22%of completions
16 comp13.2 yds avg2 TD
Deep
20+ yds25%of completions
18 comp37.3 yds avg5 TD
Overall 62.4% completion on 117 attempts · 18 deep completions averaging 37.3 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.31Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Eli HolsteinPittsburghCade KlubnikClemson· 72% simBraylon BraxtonSouthern Miss· 70% simJalen KitnaUAB· 70% sim
Fumbles lost
Yards / att
Interceptions
Pass TDs
Completion %
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Gunslinger
Go-for-it mentality with the arm to back it up — and the turnovers to live with.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Amari Odom’s 2025 season.
Amari Odom
42%match
All-Conference USA
#2
Tyler Shough
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
42%
#3
Jacob Clark
All-Conference USA
42%
#4
Levi Williams
39%
#5
Will Levis
All-SECNFL Rd 2 · Pk 2
39%
Differs from Amari on
TD rate (higher)
INT rate (higher)
Weight (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Sawyer Robertson’s path through Baylor.
Sawyer Robertson
88%match
#2
Sam Ehlinger
All-Big 12NFL Rd 6
88%
#3
Gerry Bohannon
81%
#4
Tyler Shough
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
79%
#5
Ian Book
All-ACCNFL Rd 4
79%
Matches Sawyer on
Completion %
Height
Yards per attempt
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Levi Williams's sophomore season at Wyoming (2021).
Levi Williams
50%match
#2
Tyler Shough
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
49%
#3
Amari Odom
All-Conference USA
45%
#4
Jeff Sims
43%
#5
Gerry Bohannon
42%
Matches Levi on
Height
Yards / attempt
Differs from Levi on
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Rush usage (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Pat Narduzzi
Pass share
52.3%
464 pass / 424 run
Plays / game
68.3
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
365 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Pat Narduzzi
Pittsburgh
2025
Pat Narduzzi
Pittsburgh
Played his entire career under Pat Narduzzi.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownZachary, LA
Height6'4"
Weight225 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamPittsburgh
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-ACC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-ACC | all_conference | Pittsburgh | ACC | -- |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | QB2 | #49 | #49 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Alabama | QB2 | #435 | #224 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Pittsburgh | ACC | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Zachary, LA |
| 2024 | Pittsburgh | ACC | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Zachary, LA |
| 2023 | Alabama | SEC | QB | 2 | No. 10 | 6-4 | 225 lb | Zachary, LA |