Rutgers routs Howard 58-7

Howard1-37
Rutgers1-358Final
Fri, Sep 25 · SHI Stadium, Piscataway, N.J. · Crowd 34,466BTN

Rutgers routed Howard 58-7.

We had Rutgers favored. It won.

Next: Howard beat Hampton 27-13, Sat Oct 3

Next: Rutgers lost to Indiana 47-15, Sat Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Rutgers an 85% chance, and the closing betting line (Rutgers was a 42.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Rutgers led by 14 after the first quarter and by 34 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+51+51
77-yard TD passRutgers · Q1 10:0075-yard TD runHoward · Q1 4:15
FinalRutgers 58-7 HowardRutgers wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4RutgersWon58-7Scores77-yard TD pass75-yard TD run
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4RutgersWon58-7Scores77-yard TD pass75-yard TD run
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4RutgersLowest 0%Lost7-58Scores77-yard TD pass75-yard TD run
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4RutgersLowest 0%Lost7-58Scores77-yard TD pass75-yard TD run

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Rutgers’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Rutgers -42.5), at 99% for Rutgers (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Rutgers’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 12:22Lonergan 16-yd TD pass to BlackRutgers goes ahead 7-0Q1, 12:22 · Rutgers 7, Howard 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  2. Q1, 10:12Scroggins intercepted by Jones at the Rutgers 23Q1, 10:12 · Rutgers 7, Howard 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  3. Q1, 10:00Lonergan 77-yd TD pass to DuffRutgers leads 14-0Q1, 10:00 · Rutgers 14, Howard 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  4. Q1, 4:28Raymond 18-yd TD runRutgers leads 21-0Q1, 4:28 · Rutgers 21, Howard 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  5. Q1, 4:15James 75-yd TD runcuts it to 21-7Q1, 4:15 · Rutgers 21, Howard 721-7score after the play21-7score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  6. Q2, 14:15Raymond 1-yd TD runRutgers leads 28-7Q2, 14:15 · Rutgers 28, Howard 728-7score after the play28-7score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  7. Q2, 13:21Scroggins intercepted by Jones at the Howard 38Q2, 13:21 · Rutgers 28, Howard 728-7score after the play28-7score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  8. Q3, 4:42Freeman sacked for a 7-yd lossQ3, 4:42 · Rutgers 48, Howard 748-7score after the play48-7score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX
  9. Q4, 12:55Surace 9-yd TD pass to AllenRutgers leads 58-7Q4, 12:55 · Rutgers 58, Howard 758-7score after the play58-7score after the playWatch from this playCFB ON FOX

Every drive

Rutgers scored on 10 of its 12 drives; Howard on 1 of its 12.

Rutgers’s drives are teal, Howard’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Rutgers: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownHoward: Interception, from 75 yards out to 55InterceptionRutgers: Touchdown, from 77 yards out to 0TouchdownHoward: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntRutgers: Touchdown, from 49 yards out to 0TouchdownHoward: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownRutgers: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Howard: Interception, from 88 yards out to 74InterceptionRutgers: Field goal, from 37 yards out to 11Field goalHoward: Punt, from 88 yards out to 94PuntRutgers: Touchdown, from 40 yards out to 0TouchdownHoward: Fumble, from 65 yards out to 23FumbleRutgers: Field goal, from 77 yards out to 28Field goalHoward: End of half, from 35 yards out to 14End of halfQ3Howard: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntRutgers: Touchdown, from 69 yards out to 0TouchdownHoward: Punt, from 75 yards out to 86PuntRutgers: Punt, from 50 yards out to 49PuntHoward: Punt, from 80 yards out to 87PuntRutgers: Field goal, from 35 yards out to 22Field goalHoward: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntQ4Rutgers: Touchdown, from 53 yards out to 0TouchdownHoward: Punt, from 78 yards out to 69PuntRutgers: End of game, from 72 yards out to 30End of game

Where fans got loudest

The loudest stretch came in the first quarter.

  1. first quarter
  2. second quarter
  3. third quarter
  4. fourth quarter
How we know

We look at when the most different fans were posting during the game thread, then name the part of the game it falls in. Only threads with a clear peak and enough fans get a word.

Never in doubt.

Box score

Rutgers 58, Howard 7

Rutgers covered −42.5 by 8.5. The total, 65, went over 57.5.

HowardRutgersTotal yardsHoward 184Rutgers 534184534Passing yardsHoward 51Rutgers 26851268Rushing yardsHoward 133Rutgers 266133266First downsHoward 9Rutgers 29929TurnoversHoward 3Rutgers 030Time of possessionHoward 23:16Rutgers 36:4423:1636:44
Team totalsHowardRutgers
Total yards184534
Passing8 of 19, 51 yds16 of 25, 268 yds
Rushing29 for 133 yds47 for 266 yds
First downs929
Third down3 of 117 of 12
Fourth down0 of 00 of 0
Turnovers30
Penalties10 for 115 yds2 for 15 yds
Time of possession23:1636:44

Howard leaders

  • Passing Ja'Shawn Scroggins 5 of 14, 38 yds, 2 INT
  • Rushing Eden James 7 for 116 yds, 1 TD; Ja'Shawn Scroggins 7 for 18 yds
  • Receiving Zaden Jackson 4 for 33 yds; Antonio Hunter 1 for 18 yds

Rutgers leaders

  • Passing Dylan Lonergan 12 of 17, 214 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Antwan Raymond 16 for 140 yds, 3 TD; Clay Thevenin 16 for 69 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving KJ Duff 5 for 131 yds, 1 TD; Jourdin Houston 3 for 50 yds

No rain, gusts to 30 mph

68° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 10 mph from the north-northeast, mostly along the field, gusts to 30

A 30 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 94% of games since 2018.

Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 30 mph060 mph
Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 30 mph060 mph

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

September game-day temperatures at SHI Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Rutgers favoredHoward favored100%Win chanceRutgersRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph30 mph gust
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Rutgers favoredHoward favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour204030 mph gust

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Third quarter, 5:18 left9:24 p.m.
Howard 7, Rutgers 48 · Rutgers 100% to win
no rain · wind 10 mph from the north-northeast, mostly along the field, gusts to 30 · 69°
Surace incomplete to Carter

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Somerville airport, 13 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Howard · 1-2

Rated 235th in our preseason ratings, 227th now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 7-point win over Alabama A&M as a 1.5-point underdog.

L 0-55 @ IndianaTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 55 as a 57.5-point underdog

Howard lost 0-55 at Indiana. Never had a real chance.

L 21-28 vs Richmond #185 of 668

lost by 7 as a 14-point underdog

Howard lost 21-28 vs Richmond. Chance to win started at 23%, low 1%, high 23%.

W 31-24 vs Alabama A&M #213 of 668

won by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog

Last three games

Rutgers · 0-3

Rated 68th in our preseason ratings, 89th now, down 21 spots.

Three straight losses.

Week by week

Rutgers

Wk 1: L 21-37 vs Massachusetts▼16MassachusettsWk 2: L 21-28 at Boston College▼7Boston CollegeWk 3: L 35-42 vs USC▼7USC
  • Wk 1Lvs Massachusetts21-37
  • Wk 2Lat Boston College21-28
  • Wk 3Lvs USC35-42

Howard

Wk 1: W 31-24 vs Alabama A&M▲7Alabama A&MWk 1: L 21-28 vs Richmond▼7RichmondWk 2: L 0-55 at Indiana▼55Indiana
  • Wk 1Wvs Alabama A&M31-24
  • Wk 1Lvs Richmond21-28
  • Wk 2Lat Indiana0-55

Power rating by week

Rutgers is rated 8.4 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

2-5-13Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3RutgersHoward

The series

Rutgers leads the series 6-0

6 meetings since 2006 · Rutgers has won the last 6

Rutgers wonHoward won2006: Rutgers by 492009: Rutgers by 382012: Rutgers by 262014: Rutgers by 132016: Rutgers by 382024: Rutgers by 3720062024
  • 2024Rutgers 44-7Rutgers won 44-7 vs Howard. Chance to win started at 99%, low 97%, high better than 99%.
  • 2016Rutgers 52-14
  • 2014 · neutral siteRutgers 38-25
  • 2012 · neutral siteRutgers 26-0
  • 2009 · neutral siteRutgers 45-7

Each line is Rutgers’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Rutgers’s chances here.

50-50Model · 85%Line · 100%HowardRutgers

Rutgers favored by 42.5 · Total 57.5

How games like this usually go

Rutgers by 42.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Rutgers.

opened −41.5now −42.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 55.5now 57.5

Spread: −41.5 → −42.5 · Total: 55.5 → 57.5

Home field

Rutgers is worth +2.0 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 17th percentile.

31% at home, 33% on the road against FBS opponents (16-35 home, 14-29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.7 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 175 miles to get here.

Where next