The rest of the season
One real test left: Prairie View A&M 70%
Win out 64% · expect 2.6 of 3 more wins
Alabama A&M's chance to win each game left, from our model: Prairie View A&M 70%, Texas Southern 93%, Mississippi Valley State 99%Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.
LeadersPassing Cornelious Brown 2,374 · Rushing Byron Perrilliat 563 · Receiving Jarel Williams 701 All player stats
Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 9
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| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf | Top performers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | Howard (N) | L 24-31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | Pass Brown 254 · Rush Edwards 57 · Rec Williams 72 |
| 1 | Sep 5 | Miles | W 38-23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Pass Brown 181 · Rush Bruce 145 · Rec Conely 42 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | Tennessee State | W 30-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | Pass Brown 326 · Rush Nero 52 · Rec Williams 175 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | Bowie State | W 45-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | Pass Brown 350 · Rush Perrilliat 54 · Rec Chambers-Smith 147 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @Florida A&M | W 40-21 | 4-1 | 1-0 | Pass Brown 198 · Rush Perrilliat 223 · Rec Bean 93 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | Jackson State (N) | L 28-31 | 4-2 | 1-1 | Pass Brown 263 · Rush Edwards 36 · Rec Chambers-Smith 85 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | Bethune-Cookman | W 55-17 | 5-2 | 2-1 | Pass Brown 169 · Rush Perrilliat 103 · Rec Williams 133 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | Grambling | W 61-31 | 6-2 | 3-1 | Pass Brown 417 · Rush Thomas 52 · Rec Bean 240 |
| 8 | Bye week | |||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | Alabama State (N) | W 31-28 | 7-2 | 4-1 | Pass Brown 216 · Rush Nero 81 · Rec Bean 64 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @Prairie View A&M | 3 pm ET70% to win | |||
| 11 | Nov 14 | Texas Southern | 3 pm ET93% to win | |||
| 12 | Nov 21 | @Mississippi Valley State | 3 pm ET99% to win | |||
Win chances are our model for Alabama A&M, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.
The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Big plays (IsoPPP) | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | Alabama State | W 31-28 | — | — | — | +0.147 | 46.6% | 1.15 | Season-low EPA/play |
| Oct 17 | Grambling | W 61-31 | — | — | — | +0.480 | 54.4% | 1.45 | Blowout win |
| Oct 10 | Bethune-Cookman | W 55-17 | — | — | — | +0.321 | 48.4% | 1.60 | Blowout win |
| Oct 3 | Jackson State | L 28-31 | — | — | — | +0.162 | 35.5% | 1.77 | Most explosive |
| Sep 26 | @Florida A&M | W 40-21 | — | — | — | +0.159 | 46.6% | 1.24 | |
| Sep 19 | Bowie State | W 45-3 | — | — | — | +0.557 | 63.9% | 1.17 | Season-high EPA/play |
| Sep 12 | Tennessee State | W 30-3 | — | — | — | +0.186 | 35.3% | 1.57 | |
| Sep 5 | Miles | W 38-23 | — | — | — | +0.452 | 59.0% | 1.22 | |
| Aug 29 | Howard | L 24-31 | — | — | — | +0.393 | 43.9% | 1.54 | Defense's roughest night |
| Season average (9 games) | — | — | +0.317 | 48.2% | 1.41 | ||||
The games that decide the season
Recent form · last 10 games
7-3 over the last 10, and won the last three.
Range of outcomes · Alabama A&M · 2026
Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above
8 wins 3%; 9 wins 34%; 10 wins 64%Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.
More in this tab
What it is like to watch them2026 · 7-2
Measured from 9 games · ranks are among SWAC teams the same season
Alabama A&M is 7-2 and plays at Prairie View A&M next.
Alabama A&M is 7-2 and plays at Prairie View A&M next.
Each link was checked against two outside sites.
Range of outcomes · Alabama A&M · 2026