Washington

2-0Coaches #24

Big Ten · Jedd Fisch, year 3 (17-11) · Husky Stadium · 70,138 · 66,604 avg in 2026

The nationCoaches #24
The model#29 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #29 (+12.0) · FPI #44
The marketno line yetvs Eastern Washington · our model 97% Washington · a number, not a pick

LastW 16–14 vs Utah State · Sat Sep 12 · Alex McLaughlin 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 1 INT

Nextvs Eastern Washington · Sat Sep 19 · 7:15 pm ET · Husky Stadium · series 3-0, won the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Washington · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 6#26#43-23.5Washington StateW 24–10 1201-00-0
2Sep 12#25#56-28.5Utah StateW 16–14 1322-00-0
3Sep 19#28#177Eastern Washington
4Sep 26#29#41Minnesota
5Oct 3@USC
6Oct 10Iowa
7Oct 17@Purdue
9Oct 31@Nebraska
10Nov 7Penn State
11Nov 14@Michigan State
12Nov 21Indiana
13Nov 28@Oregon
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Utah StateW 16–14356035:05+0.05341.6%92.6%
Sep 6Washington StateW 24–10402029:16+0.07846.9%106.7%
Season average (2 games)3790.0+0.06544.2%99.6%
Verdict Begins·Live

Washington played for the national championship one January and then watched the coach, the Heisman quarterback, and half the roster walk out the door — and the program's whole identity now is the bet that the altitude it reached in 2023 was a choice it can make again, not lightning it caught once.

Coaches Poll#24

Fans heard their 2023 run reframed the moment DeBoer left — that the season was a fluke of one coach and one quarterback, that the West Coast program would shrink back to the middle. They believe Husk…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Oct 3AP #12 USCat USC · on the road
Sat Nov 21AP #4 Indianavs Indiana · at home
Sat Nov 28Cascade Clashat AP #21 Oregon · on the road

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 9-4 · last season

Game feel53even gamescombined pts / game8th highest-scoring of 18 in the Big Ten
Heart rate1-1rarely closein one-score games (2 of 13)15th most one-score games of 18 in the Big Ten
Margin+15.4comfortableavg scoring margin4th best margin of 18 in the Big Ten
Tempo64average paceoffensive plays / game7th fastest of 18 in the Big Ten
Big plays1.25highlight reelexplosiveness (IsoPPP)4th most explosive of 18 in the Big Ten
Home crowd68,237avg attendance8th biggest crowds of 18 in the Big Ten

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among Big Ten teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Washington has won four of its last five.

Warming. 7-3 over the last 10, and won the last three.

Streak W3Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
We took six times the amount of bets on Michigan moneyline compared with Western Michigan
Horne · FOX Sportsthe day after Washington's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Eastern Washington · at home

Season line7.5 winsover -180
EliteElite

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 7.5▲0.5 since Sep 2026
CFP championship#24 in field+10000
Big Ten title#6 in market+2800

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Washington · the story right now 9 storylines developing

What Washington's recruiting class is really about

the open questiondoes the recruiting haul translate on the field?

recruitingthis cycle~readnew

Kodi Greene (OT, #19 nationally) headlines Washington's highest-ranked class since 2019 — a statement in the Pacific Northwest as Jedd Fisch rebuilds with 24% QB production returning and Oregon's top-3 haul looming.

what happenedWashington signed a top-13 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contextprogram's highest-ranked recruiting class since 2019 (previously #15)

our readfront page

recruiting2025 cycle~readnew

Zaydrius Rainey-Sale (LB, #100 nationally) headlines Washington's first top-25 class since 2020 — a direct response to Oregon's top-5 haul while Jedd Fisch rebuilds with just 42% production returning.

what happenedWashington signed a top-23 recruiting class. ✓ fact
the contextfirst top-25 recruiting class since 2020

our readfront page

closer2025 cycle✓ factnew

Adam Mohammed gets LESS work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict -- not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest, and what late usage he does get skews toward mop-up duty in blowouts.

our readdeveloping

money down2025 cycle✓ factnew

Denzel Boston is a legitimate money-down target -- his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

Jonah Coleman does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps -- the production isn't just garbage-time padding.

our readdeveloping

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Denzel Boston is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Dezmen Roebuck is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Jonah Coleman converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate.

our readbackground

market_swing2026-09-10~readnew

Jedd Fisch's third season opens with a 9-4 record and a 0.5-win jump, but the program's uneasy fanbase questions if #24 talent can sustain contender altitude in the Big Ten.

what happenedWashington win total rose from 7.5 to 8 (+0.5 wins) between Sep 9 and Sep 10, 2026 (tier C). ✓ fact
the contextwin total up 0.5 from 7.5 to 8.0

our readdeveloping

How past storylines here turned out

Died downWashington's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
Died downWashington's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
AnsweredWashington's climb into dynasty-caliber territory held for another season.
AnsweredWashington's head-coaching hire held for another season.

Outcome band · Washington · 2026

Washington's most likely season is 10-3 — a bowl game. The floor is 7-6; the ceiling is 12-1.

Floor7-6A bowl game, 3 fewer wins.
Base10-3A bowl game.
Ceiling12-1A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Washington · Recruiting Confidence

Washington signed the top-23 class. Talent in the door isn't the same as talent on the field.

Washington signed a top-23 recruiting class. It is first top-25 recruiting class since 2020. A class in the top 25 means the program competed nationally. Attrition and development are the next story. The bulls are loud — the coverage treats this class as a program-level statement.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers20 bull takes
💬 fans: 2% volume
Developing4 new this week
2 days agoRecruiting Roundup: Husky Commits Continue To Shine — news
4 days agoWashington Commit Blake Roskopf Throws 5 TD Passes in Desert Edge’s 46-7 Win — Sports Illustrated
4 days agoNevada transfer Tayshawn Comer commits to Washington — news
5 days agoWin total: 7.5 → 8 (▲0.5)
2 weeks agoWashington names three QB starters — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Passing Yards Recruit
“Washington Football Commit Tops 400 Passing Yards In 2026 Opener” — Yahoo Sports · 2026-08-30
Several Husky Recruit
“Recruiting Roundup: Several Husky Commits Kick Off Their 2026 Season” — news · 2026-08-30
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Zaydrius Rainey-Sale (LB, #100 nationally) headlines Washington's first top-25 class since 2020 — a direct response to Oregon's top-5 haul while Jedd Fisch rebuilds with just 42% production returning.
Source of record: Washington signed a top-23 recruiting class — first top-25 recruiting class since 2020.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards quiet
📣Believers20 bullish/recruiting items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: the class is real, the program is a destination again.

“Washington Commit Blake Roskopf Throws 5 TD Passes in Desert Edge’s 46-7 Win”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
“Huskies Expect To Use RB Committee, Order Undetermined”
Sports Illustrated · 2026-09-10 · read ↗
“Washington Huskies Leave Impression on Recruiting Targets at Apple Cup”
sports.yahoo.com · 2026-09-09 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'rankings don't tell the whole story' counter -- development gaps, position holes still open.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards2% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 82 of 3761 board posts (2%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Fisch is a dogshit coach and playcaller. I don't care that he recruits well. This is unacceptable"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"The problem is that if Fisch goes, half the young players and recruits go with him."
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Oregon
Bearish
-45
Cascade Clash
Face-off →
Washington State
Mixed
-5
Apple Cup

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Washington is the Pacific Northwest's argument that contender altitude is a choice, not a geography.

Offense: EliteDefense: Elite
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026 · Wk 3Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 2 · Won 16-14 at home over Utah Statewas No. 19
  • 2025 · Wk 12Fell out of the AP Top 25The committee dropped them out too, from No. 23.Week 11 · Lost 10-13 at Wisconsinwas No. 24
  • 2025 · Wk 11Entered the AP Top 25at No. 24
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Washington

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production54%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#24 nationally247 composite 777.6
Portal Additions14Primary repair: K
Portal Losses23Primary pressure: IOL
Draft Loss7Heavy NFL Draft loss (7) — 2 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#13Top-25 recruiting class
DLin 3 - Kai McClendon3.60out 5 - Armon Parker3.60Starter Risk
current room: 296 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Nose Anchor2024 profilecontrols the point of attack and doesn't move
WRin 2 - Christian Moss3.70out 4 - Kevin Green Jr.4.28Starter Risk
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receiver2025 profileMoney-downmoves the chains on third down lives on the sticks and moves the chains
Transferred in
IOLin 0out 3 - Paki Finau3.70Starter Risk
current room: 308 lbs avg (2025 roster)
RBin 2 - Jayden Limar3.70out 1 - Adam Mohammed4.25Even
current room: 214 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Satellite Back2025 profilewins in space out of the backfield
Homegrown
Kin 2 - Hunter McKee3.30out 1 - Ethan Moczulski3.30Even
LBin 0out 2 - Deven Bryant3.70Starter Risk
current room: 227 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Next man up
RB · departedJonah Coleman3★ · Rd 4, Pk 8
nowQuaid Carr3★ · FR
Next man up
WR · departedDenzel Boston3★ · Rd 2, Pk 7
nowJustice Williams4★ · FR
Next man up
Full roster (101 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Washington

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Washington names three QB starters

    Three QBs, zero settled depth chart — Fisch's veterans are selling confidence publicly, but naming a trio of starters is a staff admission that competition hasn't closed yet.

  2. News

    Washington RB likely out for season

    Seven draft exits already stressed the depth chart — losing a starting-caliber back before camp opens punches a second hole in a backfield that had no margin for this.

    Jul 31Reported
  3. News

    Washington releases depth chart for Apple Cup

    Hatchett's the only name ruled out, but with seven players gone to the draft and IOL still the soft spot, every depth chart release this fall is a stress test for Fisch's rebuild.

    Aug 31Official
  4. News

    Fans storm field after upset

    Storming the field in the Big Ten era — Fisch has this fanbase believing again, and after seven draft exits gutting the roster, that emotional investment is the program's most underrated recruiting tool right now.

    Sep 12Reported
  5. Coaching

    Washington hires Alex Kline as GM

    Fisch builds the front office around a roster that lost seven to the draft — Kline's GM role is infrastructure for a program that finally has the class rank (#13) to demand it.

    Sep 10Reported
  6. News

    Player cleared to return

    Seven draft exits and IOL pressure already on the board — a cleared player returning to that roster isn't a feel-good story, it's Fisch plugging a hole he couldn't afford to leave open heading into Big Ten play.

    Aug 22Reported
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-11.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: -34.6 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
IOL
-10.6
starter risk
WR
-8.0
starter risk
LB
-7.2
starter risk
DL
-7.1
starter risk
S
-7.0
starter risk
EDGE
+3.6
low confidence
LS
-3.0
low confidence
RB
+3.0
QB
-1.2
K
+1.0
P
+1.0
OT
+0.8
CB
+0.2
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★★
Kodi Greene
OT · Santa Ana, CA
#26 national
★★★★☆
Brian Bonner Jr.
RB · Valencia, CA
#94 national
Blue-chip pedigree, profiling early as a prototypical running back — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Balanced Back archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★★☆
Rahsjon Duncan
CB · Oakland, CA
#121 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

27
CA · 8WA · 7NV · 2OR · 2CO · 1FL · 1HI · 1IL · 1+4 more

CA leads the 2026 class with 8 commits. National footprint reaching 12 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

102 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA23ID1MTND1MN1WIMINYMAOR8NV2WYSDIA1IL2INOHPANJ1CT1CA42UTCO2NEMOKYWVVAMD1DERIAZ2NMKSARTNNCSCDCOK1LA2MSAL1GAAKHI2TX6FL2
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Washington player grew up 952 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

4th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%152–1,041 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi23%23 of 99 players
Farthest2,703 miBen Ferber · Delray Beach, FL
Closest3 miRahshawn Clark · Seattle, WA

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Husky Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 99 of 101 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns WA · 2026 roster

24% of the Washington roster grew up in WA.

24 of 100 players, drawn from 21 states in all. That is the 88th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

CA · 38WA · 24OR · 7TX · 5AZ · 4HI · 3IL · 3CO · 2+13 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

100 players across 21 states. Biggest pull outside WA: CA (38).

MEVTNHWA24ID1MTND1MN1WIMINYMAOR7NV2WYSDIAIL3INOH1PANJ1CTCA38UTCO2NEMO1KYWVVAMDDERIAZ4NMKSARTNNC1SCDCOK1LA1MS1ALGA1AKHI3TX5FL1
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting & portal buzz

2027 4* S Jaden Walk-Green commits to Washington
95 upvotes · Jun 2026
2027 4* OT Gecova Doyal commits to Washington
52 upvotes · Jul 2026
2027 3* OT Tye Kennedy commits to Washington
30 upvotes · Jul 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 33% never transferred. D
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence lower than any point since 2020

9th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
9th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(62nd among FBS)
Market 53pp more optimistic than fan mood
Win total consensus · 1 book
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

34 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #14, Stephen Means (Cleveland.com), to #25, Michael Katz (Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal). 34 voters left them off the ballot entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Converting 36% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.

5 interceptions of 14 disrupted passes (9 deflected, 5 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Losing the penalty battle: 18 penalties committed vs. 11 drawn on opponents, a 89-yard deficit.

174 penalty yards committed vs. 85 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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