No. 17 Washington beats Washington State 24-10

Washington State0-110
No. 17 Washington1-024Final
Sun, Sep 6 · Husky Stadium, Seattle, Wash. · Crowd 71,056NBC

No. 17 Washington beat Washington State 24-10.

We had Washington favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

That is 100 % targeting lol. What is this broadcaster smoking?

Q4 6:28 · r/CFB game thread · Sun, Sep 6

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Washington a 71% chance, and the closing betting line (Washington was a 23.5-point favorite) put it at 97%.

Favored the whole way: Washington never fell below 91%.

Washington State never had better than an 8% chance.

TargetingQ4 6:28
FinalWashington 24-10 Washington StateWashington wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4WashingtonWon24-10ScoresTargetingWashingtonW. StateWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 16 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 18 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 14 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4WashingtonWon24-10ScoresTargetingWashing…W. StateWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 16 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 18 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 14 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4WashingtonLost10-24ScoresTargetingW. StateWashingtonWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 16 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 18 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 14 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4WashingtonLost10-24ScoresTargetingW. StateWashing…Washington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 16 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 18 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 14 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington State fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 9 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 12 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 8 comments a minuteWashington fans: 11 comments a minuteWashington fans: 10 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 7:58Washington misses a field goal as fans chant ball don't lieBALL DON'T LIE MFr/CFB game threadmissing that after all of that is *really* funnyr/CFB game thread
  2. Q3 6:59Washington State misses a 32-yard field goal as fans mock the gameGive the man five more yards, reduce the angle and still misses it. This game is dumb.r/CFB game threadOL? ASS QB? ASS HC? ASS KICKER? ASS Defense? Not badr/CFB game thread
  3. Q4 6:28Fans criticize broadcast analyst for denying targeting call on Pinnick runQuoted at the top of the page.this guy really saying no targeting? Wtf is he smokinr/CFB game thread
  4. Q4 2:33Washington State misses three tackles on Williams Jr runThey got their own caleb williams in the PNW?r/CFB game thread3 people missed!!r/CFB game thread
Washington’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Washington -23.5), at 93% for Washington (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Washington or Washington State flair (1,228 and 1,323); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Every drive

Washington scored on 4 of its 12 drives; Washington State on 2 of its 11.

Washington’s drives are teal, Washington State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Washington State: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 34Missed FGWashington: Punt, from 66 yards out to 77PuntWashington State: Punt, from 61 yards out to 62PuntWashington: Field goal, from 57 yards out to 36Field goalWashington State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 64PuntWashington: Punt, from 82 yards out to 53PuntQ2Washington State: Interception, from 88 yards out to 85InterceptionWashington: Touchdown, from 0 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington State: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 67DownsWashington: Missed field goal, from 24 yards out to 11Missed FGWashington State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 55PuntWashington: End of half, from 94 yards out to 1End of halfQ3Washington: Punt, from 80 yards out to 76PuntWashington State: Missed field goal, from 83 yards out to 13Missed FGWashington: Punt, from 80 yards out to 60PuntWashington State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 73PuntWashington: Turned over on downs, from 69 yards out to 38DownsWashington State: Touchdown, from 62 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Washington: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 29Field goalWashington: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington State: Interception, from 80 yards out to 66InterceptionWashington: End of game, from 36 yards out to 28End of game
“Are these announcers legitimately stupid lmao”
A fan of another team

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans had the most to say in the fourth quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was loud.

FirstSecondThirdFourthWashington fansWashington State fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Washington fans

penalties“UW has 95 yards in penalties and Ducks and Cougs are claiming refs are on our side?”

yards“always makes me laugh when players are so exasperated that they got called for hitting a QB 2 yards out of bounds”

Washington State fans

pinnick“UW can just sell out on the run because they know Pinnick has like a 2 second clock before he scrambles out of the pocket.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: ball, now, refs, call.

What it cost

Washington’s chance to make the playoff fell from 15% to 9%.

Make the playoff

Washington State · lost7% → ▼4%7%▼ 4%
Washington · won15% → ▼9%15%▼ 9%

Win the conference

Washington State · lost15% → ▲17%15%▲ 17%
Washington · won3% → ▼2%

Before the game (September 5, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Washington 24, Washington State 10

Washington State covered +23.5 by 9.5. The total, 34, stayed under 51.5.

Washington StateWashingtonTotal yardsWashington State 242Washington 402242402Passing yardsWashington State 142Washington 268142268Rushing yardsWashington State 100Washington 134100134First downsWashington State 18Washington 201820TurnoversWashington State 3Washington 030Time of possessionWashington State 30:44Washington 29:1630:4429:16
Team totalsWashington StateWashington
Total yards242402
Passing16 of 25, 142 yds24 of 35, 268 yds
Rushing31 for 100 yds29 for 134 yds
First downs1820
Third down0 of 94 of 12
Fourth down1 of 10 of 2
Turnovers30
Penalties6 for 50 yds12 for 130 yds
Time of possession30:4429:16

Washington State leaders

  • Passing Caden Pinnick 16 of 25, 142 yds, 2 INT
  • Rushing Caden Pinnick 14 for 61 yds, 1 TD; Kirby Vorhees 7 for 17 yds
  • Receiving Daniel Blood 5 for 57 yds; Darrius Clemons 3 for 40 yds

Washington leaders

  • Passing Demond Williams Jr. 24 of 35, 268 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Demond Williams Jr. 7 for 61 yds, 1 TD; Jayden Limar 12 for 47 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Chris Lawson 4 for 87 yds; Rashid Williams 3 for 74 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

70° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the west-northwest, mostly along the field, gusts to 18

September game-day temperatures at Husky Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Washington favoredWashington State favored100%Win chanceWashingtonRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Washington favoredWashington State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:54 left1:06 p.m.
Washington State 0, Washington 0 · Washington 93% to win
no rain · wind 8 mph from the northwest, gusts to 16 · 70°
Pinnick 25-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Seattle/boeing Fld airport, 8.3 miles away, and Renton Municipal airport, 12 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Washington State · 7-6

Rated 43rd in our preseason ratings.

W 34-21 @ Utah State #114 of 667

won by 13 as a 1.5-point underdog

Washington State won 34-21 vs Utah State. Chance to win started at 37%, low 37%, high better than 99%.

W 32-8 vs Oregon State #141 of 667

won by 24 as a 14.5-point favorite

Washington State won 32-8 vs Oregon State. Chance to win started at 87%, low 87%, high better than 99%.

L 20-24 @ James MadisonTop 25 #26 of 667

lost by 4 as a 15.5-point underdog

Washington State lost 20-24 at James Madison. Chance to win started at 11%, low under 1%, high 53%.

W 28-3 vs Louisiana Tech #122 of 667

won by 25 as a 10.5-point favorite

Washington State won 28-3 vs Louisiana Tech. Chance to win started at 83%, low 78%, high better than 99%.

L 7-10 @ Oregon State #105 of 667

lost by 3 as a 3.5-point favorite

Washington State lost 7-10 at Oregon State. Chance to win started at 50%, low 7%, high 80%.

W 28-7 vs Toledo #57 of 667

won by 21 as a 1.5-point underdog

Washington State won 28-7 vs Toledo. Chance to win started at 53%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

L 20-22 @ VirginiaTop 25 #50 of 667

lost by 2 as a 16.5-point underdog

Washington State lost 20-22 at Virginia. Chance to win started at 10%, low 10%, high 74%.

L 21-24 @ Ole MissTop 25 #9 of 667

lost by 3 as a 32.5-point underdog

Washington State lost 21-24 at Ole Miss. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 16%.

W 20-3 @ Colorado State #112 of 667

won by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog

Washington State won 20-3 at Colorado State. Chance to win started at 22%, low 18%, high better than 99%.

L 24-59 vs WashingtonTop 25 #26 of 667

lost by 35 as a 20.5-point underdog

Washington State lost 24-59 vs Washington. Chance to win started at 14%, low under 1%, high 14%.

L 10-59 @ North TexasTop 25 #81 of 667

lost by 49 as a 6.5-point underdog

Washington State lost 10-59 at North Texas. Chance to win started at 24%, low under 1%, high 24%.

W 36-13 vs San Diego State #114 of 667

won by 23 as a 2.5-point favorite

Washington State won 36-13 vs San Diego State. Chance to win started at 64%, low 39%, high better than 99%.

W 13-10 vs Idaho #153 of 667

won by 3 as a 16.5-point favorite

Washington State won 13-10 vs Idaho. Chance to win started at 91%, low 73%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Washington · 9-4

Rated 26th in our preseason ratings.

W 38-10 vs Boise StateTop 25 #54 of 667

won by 28 as a 10-point favorite

Washington won 38-10 vs Boise State. Chance to win started at 80%, low 72%, high better than 99%.

L 14-26 vs OregonTop 25 #3 of 667

lost by 12 as a 6.5-point underdog

Washington lost 14-26 vs Oregon. Chance to win started at 41%, low 2%, high 41%.

W 48-14 @ UCLA #85 of 667

won by 34 as a 10.5-point favorite

Washington won 48-14 at UCLA. Chance to win started at 67%, low 62%, high better than 99%.

W 49-13 vs Purdue #110 of 667

won by 36 as a 14.5-point favorite

Washington won 49-13 vs Purdue. Chance to win started at 87%, low 80%, high better than 99%.

L 10-13 @ Wisconsin #68 of 667

lost by 3 as a 10.5-point favorite

Washington lost 10-13 at Wisconsin. Chance to win started at 72%, low 9%, high 90%.

W 42-25 vs IllinoisTop 25 #48 of 667

won by 17 as a 3.5-point favorite

Washington won 42-25 vs Illinois. Chance to win started at 70%, low 51%, high better than 99%.

L 7-24 @ MichiganTop 25 #19 of 667

lost by 17 as a 4.5-point underdog

Washington lost 7-24 at Michigan. Chance to win started at 32%, low under 1%, high 43%.

W 38-19 vs Rutgers #62 of 667

won by 19 as a 9.5-point favorite

Washington won 38-19 vs Rutgers. Chance to win started at 80%, low 35%, high better than 99%.

W 24-20 @ Maryland #55 of 667

won by 4 as a 5.5-point favorite

Washington won 24-20 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 58%, low 3%, high 90%.

L 6-24 vs Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 667

lost by 18 as a 9.5-point underdog

Washington lost 6-24 vs Ohio State. Chance to win started at 34%, low under 1%, high 52%.

W 59-24 @ Washington State #138 of 667

won by 35 as a 20.5-point favorite

Washington won 59-24 at Washington State. Chance to win started at 86%, low 86%, high better than 99%.

W 70-10 vs UC Davis #115 of 667

won by 60 as a 29.5-point favorite

Washington won 70-10 vs UC Davis. Chance to win started at 98%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

W 38-21 vs Colorado State #96 of 667

won by 17 as a 22.5-point favorite

Washington won 38-21 vs Colorado State. Chance to win started at 94%, low 84%, high better than 99%.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Washington State’s rushing EPA against Washington, 70 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Washington State’s EPA/play against Washington’s defense

    65 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Washington State offense, 6th percentile · Washington defense, 71st

  2. Washington State’s rushing EPA against Washington’s defense

    70 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Washington State offense, 13th percentile · Washington defense, 83rd

  3. Washington’s explosive plays against Washington State’s defense

    36 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Washington offense, 62nd percentile · Washington State defense, 26th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Washington StateWashington
EPA/play, offense
Washington State · 6Washington · 51
EPA/play, defense
Washington State · 61Washington · 71
Success rate, offense
Washington State · 3Washington · 50
Success rate, defense
Washington State · 59Washington · 58
Explosive-play rate, offense
Washington State · 41Washington · 62
Explosive-play rate, defense
Washington State · 26Washington · 49
Rush EPA, offense
Washington Stat…Washington · 16
Rush EPA, defense
Washington State · 38Washington · 83
Pass EPA, offense
Washington State · 8Washington · 79
Pass EPA, defense
Washington State · 66Washington · 42

The series

Washington leads the series 69-32-4

105 meetings since 1917 · Washington won the last meeting

Washington wonWashington State won1917: Washington State by 141919: Washington by 61921: Washington State by 141922: Washington by 31923: Washington by 171924: Washington by 141925: Washington by 231926: Washington State by 31927: Washington by 141928: Washington by 61929: Washington State by 71930: Washington State by 31931: Washington by 121932: tie1933: Washington State by 111934: tie1935: Washington by 211936: Washington by 401937: tie1938: Washington by 261939: Washington State by 61940: Washington by 241941: Washington by 101942: tie1945: Washington by 61945: Washington State by 71946: Washington by 141947: Washington by 201948: Washington State by 101949: Washington by 131950: Washington by 311951: Washington State by 21952: Washington by 61953: Washington State by 51954: Washington State by 191955: Washington by 201956: Washington by 141957: Washington State by 201958: Washington State by 41959: Washington by 201960: Washington by 11961: Washington by 41962: Washington by 51963: Washington by 161964: Washington by 141965: Washington by 181966: Washington by 121967: Washington State by 21968: Washington State by 241969: Washington by 91970: Washington by 181971: Washington by 81972: Washington State by 171973: Washington State by 261974: Washington by 71975: Washington by 11976: Washington by 191977: Washington by 201978: Washington by 301979: Washington by 101980: Washington by 71981: Washington by 131982: Washington State by 41983: Washington State by 111984: Washington by 91985: Washington State by 11986: Washington by 211987: Washington by 151988: Washington State by 11989: Washington by 111990: Washington by 451991: Washington by 351992: Washington State by 191993: Washington by 231994: Washington State by 171995: Washington by 31996: Washington by 71997: Washington State by 61998: Washington by 71999: Washington by 102000: Washington by 482001: Washington by 122002: Washington by 32003: Washington by 82004: Washington State by 32005: Washington State by 42006: Washington by 32007: Washington State by 72008: Washington State by 32009: Washington by 302010: Washington by 72011: Washington by 172012: Washington State by 32013: Washington by 102014: Washington by 182015: Washington by 352016: Washington by 282017: Washington by 272018: Washington by 132019: Washington by 182021: Washington State by 272022: Washington by 182023: Washington by 32024: Washington State by 52025: Washington by 3519172025
  • 2025Washington 59-24Washington won 59-24 at Washington State. Chance to win started at 86%, low 86%, high better than 99%.
  • 2024 · neutral siteWashington State 24-19Washington lost 19-24 vs Washington State. Chance to win started at 57%, low 10%, high 77%.
  • 2023Washington 24-21Washington won 24-21 vs Washington State. Chance to win started at 83%, low 43%, high better than 99%.
  • 2022Washington 51-33Washington won 51-33 at Washington State. Chance to win started at 60%, low 35%, high 99%.
  • 2021Washington State 40-13Washington lost 13-40 vs Washington State. Chance to win started at 46%, low under 1%, high 48%.

Each line is Washington’s chance to win through that meeting. Washington is 2-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Washington fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (73rd among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

  • Model · 71%
  • Line · 97%
  • Washington fans · 73rd
  • Washington State fans · 16th

Washington favored by 23.5 · Total 51.5

How games like this usually go

Washington by 23.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Washington.

opened −21.5now −23.5

Spread: −21.5 → −23.5

The books’ cut: 3.7%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Washington is worth +3.9 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 46th percentile.

76% at home, 54% on the road against FBS opponents (37-12 home, 20-17 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.3 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 250 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Our History pages cover 9 of their meetings since 2015.

Where next