Pac-12 · Sean Lewis, year 3 (13-14) · Snapdragon Stadium · 35,000 · 26,913 avg in 2026
LastL 10–28 at UCLA · Sat Sep 12 · Mike Lindsay 1 TFL, 1 INT, 3 tackles
Nextvs James Madison · Sat Sep 19 · 10 pm ET · Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego State by 2.5 · first meeting on record · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
| Wk | Date | Us | Opp | Line | Opponent | Result | Record | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 6 | #36 | #252 | -38.5✗ | Portland State | W 53–20 145 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | #40 | #59 | +13.5✗ | @UCLA | L 10–28 122 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 3 | Sep 20 | #45 | #83 | -2.5 | James Madison | |||
| 4 | Sep 26 | #46 | #48 | @Toledo | ||||
| 5 | Oct 4 | Texas State | ||||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | @Oregon State | ||||||
| 7 | Oct 18 | Fresno State | ||||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | @Colorado State | ||||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | Washington State | ||||||
| 11 | Nov 15 | Utah State | ||||||
| 12 | Nov 22 | @Boise State |
| Date | Opp | Result | Yds | TO | TOP | EPA/play | Success% | Explosive% | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | @UCLA | L 10–28 | 189 | 1 | 25:05 | -0.092 | 29.8% | 73.6% | |
| Sep 6 | Portland State | W 53–20 | 394 | 3 | 26:35 | +0.228 | 46.9% | 116.2% | |
| Season average (2 games) | 292 | 2.0 | +0.068 | 38.3% | 94.9% | ||||
San Diego State is the program that gave football Air Coryell and Marshall Faulk, built a stadium of its own at Snapdragon, and — after a 3-9 bottom and a 9-4 rebuild — finally walks through the door into the Pac-12 in 2026.
Aztec fans are tired of being the program everyone respects and nobody ranks — the California school with two Hall-of-Fame names in its past that kept getting filed under 'G5.' They'll tell you the Pa…
The season in chapters
What fans said
Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown
What it is like to watch them2025 · 9-4 · last season
✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among Mountain West teams the same season
Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025
Cooling. 6-4 over the last 10, and lost the last one.
We saw something that said we were the most underrated running back room in the nation and we took that to heart
Next Sep 20
vs James Madison · at home
~ our read on style
Market outlook
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14
the open questionis the portal class enough to move the needle?
Sean Lewis' top-15 portal class targets defensive line and edge depth after losing two starters — a reset for a 9-4 program still building its identity in the Pac-12.
our readbackground
Donovan Brown isn't a money-down weapon -- his 3rd-down conversion rate lags the position, and his per-target value drops further in that spot.
our readdeveloping
Sean Lewis, in his second season, inherits a 9-4 winning record but faces the challenge of elevating a program ranked #86 nationally by talent to new heights.
our readdeveloping
Byron Cardwell gets meaningfully MORE work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict.
our readbackground
Byron Cardwell sees a real spike in usage once the game is out of reach.
our readbackground
Donovan Brown is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
our readbackground
Lucky Sutton converts 3rd/4th-and-short at an elite rate.
our readbackground
Nathan Acevedo is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
our readbackground
San Diego State leaped 76 spots in SP+ — the 9-4 record under Sean Lewis is the foundation for this leap, but top-quintile returning production means the ceiling is higher than the talent rank.
our readbackground
Sean Lewis enters his third season at San Diego State with a 9-4 record, but the program's lower-tier status and coordinator reshuffles raise questions about sustaining momentum in a competitive Pac-12.
our readfront page
Outcome band · San Diego State · 2026
Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.
San Diego State signed a top-56 transfer-portal class — 26 additions headlined by Stone Saunders (QB) from Kentucky and Mike Lindsay (CB) from Idaho State. Portal pickups are proven college players — the split isn't about development, it's about whether they fit the scheme and win their position battles. Coverage is split on whether volume or positional fit is the bigger story.
The 'portal class fills the gaps' believers -- upgrades at real positions of need.
The 'portal is a gamble' counter -- departure losses and the 'plug-and-play doesn't work' read.
This event was in 84 of 1276 board posts (7%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (137 posts): 26% positive · 59% neutral · 15% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
San Diego State win total rose from 7 to 7.5 (+0.5 wins) between Jun 24 and Jun 25, 2026 (tier C). It is win total up 0.5 from 7.0 to 7.5. The market moved; the fan base is split on what it means. Oddsmakers react to information, not sentiment — but that doesn't mean they're right. The room is divided — bulls and bears both have game-specific cases.
The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.
The 'market knows something fans don't' read -- when odds move, it's on information.
The 'markets overcorrect' counter -- lines move on noise too; the receipts may not hold.
This event was in 95 of 1276 board posts (7%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
Board health this week (137 posts): 26% positive · 59% neutral · 15% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.
Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data
More in this tab
San Diego State is the Mountain West program whose 2010s-2020s Brady Hoke + Rocky Long + Brady Hoke (return) era + 3-3-5 defensive scheme + Snapdragon Stadium 2022 reset define what California-G5-football looks like.
Depth chart reveals changes
Coordinator change plus a reshuffled depth chart at EDGE — Lewis is telling you where the pressure package is getting rebuilt, and it's not waiting on the #83 class to develop.
Win total: 7 → 7.5 (▲0.5)
A top-69 portal class and a Pac-12 arrival bump the floor — but the EDGE depth gap and a single draft loss still cap the ceiling at 7.5, not 8.
Top 3 commits
Recruiting Footprint · 2026
CA leads the 2026 class with 18 commits. National footprint reaching 4 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
85 signees across 10 states, 2023-2026. CA leads the pull.
Miles from home · 2026 roster
The median San Diego State player grew up 259 miles from campus.
Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.
Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Snapdragon Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 145 of 151 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.
No high-engagement r/cfb discussions tracked for this program in the last year.
Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now
80th percentile among FBS programs
10 penalties committed, 20 drawn on opponents — netting a 76-yard field-position edge.
92 penalty yards committed vs. 168 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Outcome band · San Diego State · 2026
Recruiting Footprint · 2026