cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Bert Emanuel Jr. /San Diego State

Bert Emanuel Jr.

QB · San Diego State · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

74 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 273 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · San Diego State

Returning around him

  • 80% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 San Diego State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (26 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

San Diego State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #86 · 2026 recruiting class #78

QB · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Bert Emanuel Jr.

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-3 | 235 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

29

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1702

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
54.02022
2862023
74.02025

+37%

Up 37% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-3 | 235 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamSan Diego State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1702Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1942Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Bert Emanuel Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Bert Emanuel Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
74Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
6.7Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
87.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 74): needs 1,463/game over remaining 2.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 74): needs 1,963/game over remaining 2.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 12.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 15/game over remaining 2.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 17.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Bert Emanuel Jr.'s case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For San Diego State, he has 74 passing yards and 0 touchdown passes, but he also adds 273 rushing yards and 2 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #1702 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 74 0 TD | 0 INT | #288/382 (25th pct)
Completion rate 56.3% 9/16 completions | #269/383 (30th pct)
Yards/attempt 4.6 Explosiveness through the air | #326/382 (15th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Dual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
9 30th
ATT
16 34th
CMP%
56.3% 30th
Y/A
4.6 15th

Passing Production

YDS
74 25th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
32 58th
YDS
273 84th
YPC
8.5 94th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 42-0vs Stony Brook3/429007.369.9Season-high 37 yds
Wk 2L 13-36@ Washington State
Wk 4W 34-0vs California
Wk 5W 6-3@ Northern Illinois1/25002.56.8
Wk 6W 45-24vs Colorado State1/13003.090.2
Wk 7W 44-10@ Nevada0/10000.00.1
Wk 9W 23-0@ Fresno State
Wk 10W 24-7vs Wyoming
Wk 11L 6-38@ Hawai'i0/10000.06.5
Wk 13W 25-3vs San José State
BowlL 47-49vs North Texas4/737005.399.5
Total9/1674003.045.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Central Michigan4-8HC: Jim McElwain · Run-leaning
2023Central Michigan5-7HC: Jim McElwain · Run-leaning
2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State91656.2%744.60095.1----
2023Central Michigan193751.4%2867.733126.8----
2022Central Michigan4850.0%546.800106.7----
Career3 loaded seasons326152.5%4146.833115.9----
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State322738.52--
2023Central Michigan502204.42--
2022Central Michigan674967.47--
Career3 loaded seasons1499896.611--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 273 2 rush TD | #68/408 (84th pct)
Usage 3.9% 3.4% pass share | 4.3% rush share | #360/428 (16th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 74 #288/382 25th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 9 #271/383 30th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 56.3% #269/383 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 4.6 #326/382 15th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 273 #68/408 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 3.9% #360/428 16th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 16 #271/407 34th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 72 #10/391 98th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 32 #171/408 58th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 8.5 #26/407 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.7% #329/428 23rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.6% #323/428 25th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.6% #359/428 16th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 4.3% #289/428 33rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 3.4% #371/428 14th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 2.5% #377/428 12th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 2.3% #384/428 11th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g11.50.05.20.0
Road5g1.00.00.80.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins8g4.60.03.20.0
Losses3g12.30.02.60.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g10.60.03.60.0
Weeks 8+4g0.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

29Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass tds (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Rush yards#60 / 183 · 68th pct
273rush
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Completion %#156 / 183 · 14th pct
56.3%pass
Yards / att#180 / 183 · 2nd pct
4.6pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
74pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Bert Emanuel Jr.San Diego StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 59% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 56% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 53% sim
Interceptions
99
Jr.
44
Vattiato
56
Johnson
56
Lindsey
Fumbles lost
91
Jr.
66
Vattiato
66
Johnson
91
Lindsey
Rush yards
68
Jr.
27
Vattiato
80
Johnson
1
Lindsey
Rush TDs
39
Jr.
39
Vattiato
81
Johnson
59
Lindsey
Completion %
14
Jr.
41
Vattiato
33
Johnson
56
Lindsey
Yards / att
2
Jr.
13
Vattiato
46
Johnson
16
Lindsey
Pass yards
0
Jr.
57
Vattiato
61
Johnson
61
Lindsey
Pass TDs
0
Jr.
64
Vattiato
72
Johnson
72
Lindsey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sean Lewis

Pass share

35.3%

290 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

224 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2023
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2025
Sean Lewis
San Diego State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height6'3"
Weight235 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Central Michigan QB3 #1702 #1942 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Central Michigan QB3 #1058 #1426 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Central Michigan QB3 #1391 #1814 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San Diego State Mountain West QB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX
2024 Central Michigan Mid-American QB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX
2023 Central Michigan Mid-American QB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX
2022 Central Michigan Mid-American QB 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 235 lb | Houston, TX