Home Conferences FBS 2026 season

The weekly grind · 2026

Pac-12

Two Conferences in One

Boise State holds the Pac-12 lead heading into this week's games.

Pac-12 looks stronger on team quality than on season resume, which makes it a dangerous future-facing league.

#5Overall
#5In FBS
+20.8Conference strength
+25.2Upper strength
8Teams
1Top-25 teams
Power snapshot Projected 2026 standing

Two Conferences in One

Oregon went 13-2 in 2025 and holds the Pac-12's highest SP+ rating (#6 nationally) entering 2026. Meanwhile, Colorado went 3-9 with a recruiting class ranked #37 — the conference's largest coaching gap (-76). UCLA finished 3-9 with a #46 class (-73 gap). The Pac-12 has a genuine national title contender at the top and a credibility crisis at the bottom, with almost nothing in between.

1 top-25 team.

The depth argument for this conference rests on how many credible opponents are clustered behind the leader. The gap between the top and bottom is narrow — a sign of genuine parity.

Where things stand right now.

Boise State holds the Pac-12 lead heading into this week's games.

Tools Matchup simulator Compare teams Playoff forecast Style map Head to head Power map

Oregon Is the Pac-12’s Case for National Relevance

Oregon went 13-2 in 2025 with a recruiting class ranked #5 nationally — the only Pac-12 program that can claim elite talent AND elite results. Their SP+ rating of #6 puts them in the conversation with Georgia, Ohio State, and the conference’s strongest programs nationally. If the Pac-12 is going to earn CFP credibility, Oregon is the argument. Whether the conference’s bottom tier holds them back in the committee room is the one thing they can’t control.

Why it matters →

Utah Went 11-2 With the 40th Recruiting Class

Utah’s coaching premium is +31: a #40 recruiting class produced an 11-2 season and an SP+ ranking of #9 nationally. Kyle Whittingham’s program has operated this way for a decade — winning more games than their talent should allow, competing in January, and never landing a top-20 recruiting class. If Utah beats Oregon in 2026, they become the Pac-12’s most interesting program.

Why it matters →

Colorado Recruited at #37. They Went 3-9.

Colorado’s coaching gap is -76: a #37 recruiting class produced a 3-9 season and an SP+ ranking of #113. That’s the Pac-12’s worst ratio of talent to results — and among the worst in FBS. UCLA runs a similar problem (-73 gap, 3-9). Stanford went 4-8 with a #56 class (-48). The Pac-12’s bottom tier is recruiting Power Four talent and losing like a Group of Five program, which is its own kind of crisis.

Why it matters →

Active arcs

All arcs →
Fan pulse Last 30 days · 2,785 mentions
17% positive 48% neutral 35% negative
Boise State
1,247
↓ negative
Oregon State
391
→ neutral
Texas State
289
↓ negative
Washington State
238
↓ negative
San Diego State
175
↓ negative
Utah State
173
→ neutral
Fan confidence by FBS percentile

Where each Pac-12 program stands nationally in fan sentiment (100th = most positive in FBS, 0 = least). Conference median: 31st percentile. The label is the band (Bullish, Leaning, Mixed, Souring); the number after it is the change in percentile points since the prior week.

Utah State
Leaning+19
Texas State
Leaning+22
Fresno State
Leaning+20
Boise State
Souring-9
Oregon State
Souring-7
San Diego State
Souring-18

Most volatile: San Diego State

Fan confidence has swung 87 percentile points in the last 8 weeks — currently at the 1st percentile nationally.

The coaching premium
Recruiting class rank vs. SP+ performance — where coaches add or subtract value
Above line = coaching premium
Below line = underperforming
Gap = recruiting rank minus SP+ rank

Positive gap means the coaching staff won more than the recruiting class predicted. Data: Pac-12 teams, 8 programs.

Coaching grades
Coaching premium ↑
Oregon
+63
Texas
+43
Boise St.
+39
Utah
+39
Wash. St.
+39
Underperforming ↓
Colorado
-35
SDSU
-3

Standings

2026 season, in progress — sorted by power rating. The tag beside a team is its long-run program standing.

Projected standings · Pac-12 · 2026

Win projection

Odds of winning at least N conference games from current power ratings — full slate played out, not locked to results. Avg = expected wins; W-L = most-likely record.

# Team W-L Pwr Avg ≥7≥6≥5≥4≥3≥2≥1
Favorites
1Boise State5-2+7.34.8731638797✓✓
2Texas State4-3+3.74.221542729299✓
Challengers
3Oregon State4-3+2.54.021236668898✓
4Fresno State4-3+1.03.6172554819599
The field
5Utah State3-4−0.43.441946759399
6San Diego State3-4−3.72.921031618798
Rebuilding
7Washington State3-4−4.22.71825558397
8Colorado State2-5−6.12.41417447595

How they play

Six advanced-stat dimensions per team, ranked against all 134 FBS programs, 2026 season. Every column reads higher-is-better. Click a column to sort.

ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate
Team ScoringConvertsBig playsDefensePacePass rate Identity
Boise State+0.3147.1%+1.27−0.0671.541.3%Balanced
Texas State+0.2748.7%+1.30−0.1274.640.7%High-tempo
Oregon State+0.3049.2%+1.34−0.0772.259.9%Efficient offense
Fresno State+0.1139.2%+1.32−0.0360.445.1%Balanced
Utah State+0.0236.5%+1.36−0.0463.247.6%Can't sustain drives
San Diego State+0.0036.8%+1.21−0.1461.742.5%Can't sustain drives
Washington State−0.0535.5%+1.19−0.1065.652.5%Can't sustain drives
Colorado State+0.2245.5%+1.40−0.3166.453.3%Defense is the problem

Identity is the single dimension where a team is most above or below the FBS average (pace, defense, big plays, or converting drives) — "Balanced" means nothing stands out either way. CFBD 2026 advanced stats, excludes garbage time.

Top players

Pac-12's highest CFB Zeitgeist Scores, 2026 season so far.

#PlayerTeamNational
1Jesse LegreeWROregon State#3 of 465
2Carson TujagueIDLUtah State#2 of 300
3Dylan RileyRBBoise State#4 of 330
4Carl NesmithLBUtah State#10 of 567
5Takari HickleLBOregon State#14 of 567
6Torrance Burgess Jr.RBTexas State#7 of 330
7Jirah LeaupepeteleIDLWashington State#15 of 300
8Tyree MorrisIDLUtah State#18 of 300
9Mike LindsayCBSan Diego State#23 of 344
10Brevin HamblinSUtah State#22 of 537

Where Pac-12 stands nationally

Conference strength, as a round-robin adjusted power rating.

1 SEC SEC
+24.4
2 B10 Big Ten
+23.3
3 IND FBS Independents
+21.7
4 B12 Big 12
+21.5
5 P12 Pac-12
+20.8
6 ACC ACC
+20.5
7 AAC American Athletic
+18.3
8 SB Sun Belt
+17.3
9 MW Mountain West
+16.5
10 CUSA Conference USA
+16.4

The Pac-12 (today’s league) in History

Realignment, in order, in History; The 2023 Pac-12 is in the Atlas