Utah

2-0AP #17

Big 12 · Morgan Scalley, year 2 (3-0) · Rice-Eccles Stadium · 51,444 · 51,488 avg in 2026

The nationAP #17 · Coaches #17up 3 from last week
The model#30 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #21 (+13.0) · FPI #19
The marketUtah by 28vs Utah State · our model 78% Utah · a number, not a pick

LastW 43–10 vs Arkansas · Sat Sep 12 · Devon Dampier 261 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

Nextvs Utah State · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 pm ET · Rice-Eccles Stadium · Utah by 28 · series 73-28-4, won the last 3 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Utah · 2026 schedule & results2-0
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 4#25#171-38.5IdahoW 66–14 1361-00-0
2Sep 13#26#143-13.5ArkansasW 43–10 1382-00-0
3Sep 19#30#55-28Utah State
4Sep 26#30#138@Iowa State
6Oct 10Kansas
7Oct 17@Colorado
8Oct 24Houston
9Oct 31@Cincinnati
10Nov 7BYU
11Nov 14@Arizona
12Nov 21@TCU
13Nov 28West Virginia
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 13ArkansasW 43–10442128:03+0.33950.8%135.5%
Sep 4IdahoW 66–14633034:20+0.51157.1%136.2%
Season average (2 games)5380.5+0.42554.0%135.9%
Verdict Begins·Live

Utah is the program that walks into every league it joins and wins it on toughness — and just watched the coach who built that culture over 21 years leave for Michigan, handing the keys to the man beside him the whole time.

AP Top 25#17 AP

Utah fans are tired of being the program the country keeps underrating — the conference-killer everyone treats as a fluke until it does it again. They'll tell you the Utes have out-toughed bluer blood…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Weeks 1–22-0, all at homeW 66–14 vs Idaho · Thu Sep 3
Ahead
Sat Oct 17Rumble in the Rockiesat Colorado · on the road
Sat Oct 24AP #22 Houstonvs Houston · at home
Sat Nov 7Holy Warvs AP #11 BYU · at home

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 11-2 · last season

Game feel60shootoutscombined pts / game2nd highest-scoring of 16 in the Big 12
Heart rate1-1rarely closein one-score games (2 of 13)15th most one-score games of 16 in the Big 12
Margin+22.4comfortableavg scoring margin2nd best margin of 16 in the Big 12
Tempo72uptempooffensive plays / game3rd fastest of 16 in the Big 12
Big plays1.28some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)9th most explosive of 16 in the Big 12
Home crowd51,701avg attendance7th biggest crowds of 16 in the Big 12

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among Big 12 teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Utah has won five straight.

Hot. 9-1 over the last 10, and won the last eight.

Streak W8Last 5 · 5-0Last 10 · 9-1
I’ve seen Jaden practice and I know what it’s looked like. It didn’t really look like that today. I’m sure North Carolina had something to do with that…we just didn’t give ourselves a chance
Dykes · Heartland College Sports6 days before Utah's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs Utah State · at home

Season line8.5 winsover -148
EliteRun-heavy, ground-controlElite

✓ fact on line · ~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

Win total1 booksO/U 8.5
CFP championship#23 in field+10000
Big 12 title#3 in market+600

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Utah · the story right now 13 storylines developing

What Utah's program standing is really about

the open questionis this a real, durable shift in the program's tier?

dynastythis cycle~readnew

Utah has reached elite-tier consistency — the 23-13 record over three seasons raises the question of whether Kyle Whittingham's 10th year can sustain a top-14% power rating with the market.

what happenedUtah has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 24% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 23% a year ago. ✓ fact
the contexta 23-13 record over the last three regular seasons

our readfront page

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Scalley inherits a 14% production returning roster after Whittingham's 46-21 run — the program that conquered the Pac-12 now faces whether a new era can hold the identity without the familiar names.

what happenedMorgan Scalley took over as Utah's head coach, replacing Kyle Whittingham. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 22-year head coach Kyle Whittingham (177-88)

our readdeveloping

closer2025 cycle✓ factnew

Wayshawn Parker gets LESS work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict -- not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest, and what late usage he does get skews toward mop-up duty in blowouts.

our readdeveloping

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

Utah leaped 32 spots in SP+ — the gap between its No. 8 preseason ranking and bottom-quintile returning production raises questions about Kyle Whittingham's roster reset.

what happenedUtah enters 2025 rated No. 8 in SP+ (+22.2), up 32 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season

our readbackground

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Kyle Whittingham enters his 10th season with a 11-2 record and a program importing Pac-12 culture into the Big 12, aiming to sustain elite-tier consistency.

what happenedUtah: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Morgan Scalley inherits a 11-2 winning record and a program poised to transplant its Pac-12 dominance into the Big 12, but a coordinator reshaping unit adds uncertainty to the transition.

what happenedUtah: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

closer2025 cycle~attributednew

Bryce Duke: a closer signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Larry Simmons is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

NaQuari Rogers: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Ryan Davis is used almost exclusively underneath -- a low share of his targets are downfield shots.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Ryan Davis: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

garbage time2025 cycle~attributednew

Wayshawn Parker: a garbage time merchant signal screened this season.

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Utah leaped 32 spots in SP+ — the gap between the ranking and its bottom-quintile returning production is the story Kyle Whittingham has to answer in the Pac-12 this year.

what happenedUtah enters 2026 rated No. 8 in 2025 SP+ (+22.2), up 32 spots from 2024. ✓ fact
the contextbottom-quintile returning production — heavy turnover entering the season

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

Died downUtah's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.
AnsweredUtah's fall from dynasty-caliber territory held — it stayed out.

Outcome band · Utah · 2026

Utah's most likely season is 10-3 — a bowl game. The floor is 7-6; the ceiling is 12-1.

Floor7-6A bowl game, 3 fewer wins.
Base10-3A bowl game.
Ceiling12-1A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Utah · Program power Confidence

The arrow is pointing up for Utah — the data backs it.

Utah has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 24% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 23% a year ago. It is a 23-13 record over the last three regular seasons. Three-year power ratings tell a structural story — the room is split on whether the schedule will confirm it.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers5 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering
The saga so far~4 months old
3 weeks agoNCAA rules Yaacov ineligible for 2026-27 — Reported
Jul 30Utah names QB1 for fall camp — Reported
Jun 1QB Brandon Rose transfer commits from Massachusetts — CFBD /player/portal
Jun 1QB Brandon Rose transfers from Massachusetts to Utah — Portal-moves table (verified)
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Utah has reached elite-tier consistency — the 23-13 record over three seasons raises the question of whether Kyle Whittingham's 10th year can sustain a top-14% power rating with the market.
Source of record: Utah has climbed into dynasty-caliber territory — into the top 24% of FBS by power rating over the last three seasons, up from the top 23% a year ago — a 23-13 record over the last three regular seasons.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissent
🎪The circus“'RHOSLC' Alum Jen Shah Back Outside at Utah Football Game After ” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“'RHOSLC' Alum Jen Shah Back Outside at Utah Football Game After Prison Stint”
TMZ · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers5 bullish/momentum items -- the case it's working.

The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.

“Morgan Scalley, Utes players react to Utah's 43-10 win over Arkansas”
KUTV · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“Utah football: Five numbers that tell the story of 43-10 win over Arkansas”
KSL Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“BYU, Utah both make big jumps in AP Top 25 poll after impressive wins.”
KUTV · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Three and Out: Revisiting our questions after Arkansas' blowout ” — the real counter.

The 'wait and see' counter -- power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.

“Three and Out: Revisiting our questions after Arkansas' blowout loss to Utah”
On3 · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
Following now · Utah · Coaching Confidence

The Morgan Scalley story at Utah won't sit still.

Morgan Scalley took over as Utah's head coach, replacing Kyle Whittingham. It is replaces 22-year head coach Kyle Whittingham (177-88). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The room is genuinely divided — believers and skeptics both have receipts.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers5 bull takes
💬 fans: 2% volume
Developing3 new this week
yesterdayMorgan Scalley, Utes players react to Utah's 43-10 win over Arkansas — KUTV
4 days ago'No one's going to want to win more': Will Morgan Scalley be the answer for Utah? — news
5 days agoHow first-time head coach Morgan Scalley looks to take Utah to new heights — ESPN
3 weeks agoNCAA rules Yaacov ineligible for 2026-27 — Reported
Jul 30Utah names QB1 for fall camp — Reported
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
Morgan Scalley Head coach
“Morgan Scalley, Utes players react to Utah's 43-10 win over Arkansas” — KUTV · 2026-09-14
Kyle Whittingham Out
Morgan Scalley Weekly
“Morgan Scalley Weekly Press Conference: Arkansas” — University of Utah Athletics · 2026-09-07
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Scalley inherits a 14% production returning roster after Whittingham's 46-21 run — the program that conquered the Pac-12 now faces whether a new era can hold the identity without the familiar names.
Source of record: Morgan Scalley took over as Utah's head coach, replacing Kyle Whittingham — replaces 22-year head coach Kyle Whittingham (177-88).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
Believers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quietThe Dominoes active
📣Believers5 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“Morgan Scalley, Utes players react to Utah's 43-10 win over Arkansas”
KUTV · 2026-09-14 · read ↗
“'No one's going to want to win more': Will Morgan Scalley be the answer for Utah?”
Espn CFB · 2026-09-11 · read ↗
“Morgan Scalley has a new job — and a new way of doing things: 3 takeaways from Utah football’s win over Idaho”
The Salt Lake Tribune · 2026-09-04 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Utah’s Scalley still leery of Arkansas despite Razorbacks’ recen” — the real counter.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

“Utah’s Scalley still leery of Arkansas despite Razorbacks’ recent struggles”
KNWA FOX24 · 2026-09-08 · read ↗
💬The boards2% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines.

This event was in 33 of 1723 board posts (2%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"I think he just means Scalley's gonna be a decent coach and the transition won't be catastrophic, so we can exhale."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Yeah, and that would've been 10-3 at half with Kyle and way more painful to watch. I'm enjoying the change of pace and the potential of the team under Scalley"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

🔗The dominoes12 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Why Utah nabbed undersized DT Jireh Moe from the transfer portal when other teams ‘shied away’”
Yahoo Sports · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“New recruits and recap of Hogs loss to No.20 Utah | Arkansas Football Recruiting Report with Otis Kirk”
FOX16.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗

Rival pulse

BYU
Mixed
+0
Holy War
Face-off →
Colorado
Mixed
-1
Rumble in the Rockies

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Utah is the program that conquered the Pac-12 in 2021-2022 and now imports that culture to the Big 12.

Offense: EliteRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlDefense: Elite
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025 · Wk 11Climbed to No. 17 in the AP Top 25Week 10 · Won 45-14 at home over Cincinnati7 · from No. 24
  • 2025 · Wk 10Entered the AP Top 25Week 9 · Won 53-7 at home over Coloradoat No. 24
  • 2025 · Wk 9Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 8 · Lost 21-24 at BYUwas No. 23
  • 2025 · Wk 8Entered the AP Top 25Week 7 · Won 42-10 at home over Arizona Stateat No. 23
  • 2025 · Wk 5Fell out of the AP Top 25Week 4 · Lost 10-34 at home to Texas Techwas No. 16
  • 2025 · Wk 4Climbed to No. 16 in the AP Top 25Week 3 · Won 31-6 at Wyoming4 · from No. 20
  • 2025 · Wk 3Climbed to No. 20 in the AP Top 25Week 2 · Won 63-9 at home over Cal Poly5 · from No. 25
  • 2025 · Wk 2Entered the AP Top 25Week 1 · Won 43-10 at UCLAat No. 25
  • 2025Kyle Whittingham departs177-88
  • 2025Hired Morgan Scalley
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Utah

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production68%High continuity
Talent Composite#58 nationally247 composite 695.7
Portal Additions17Primary repair: DL
Portal Losses22Primary pressure: CB
Draft Loss3NFL Draft departures (3) — 1 with a next man up identified below
Recruiting Reload#27Development class
CBin 3 - James Chenault3.60out 7 - Smith Snowden4.25Starter Risk
current room: 181 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Cover Corner2025 profiledoesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play
DLin 4 - Ethan Day3.70out 2 - Jonah Lea'Ea3.70Need Filled
current room: 294 lbs avg (2025 roster)
3-Tech Penetrator2025 profiledisrupts the pocket from the interior
Junior-college recruit
WRin 3 - Braden Pegan4.25out 2 - JJ Buchanan4.50Upgrade
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Possession Receiver2025 profilemoves the chains on third down
Transferred in
RBin 1 - Steve Chavez-Soto3.80out 3 - Raycine Guillory3.50Starter Risk
current room: 199 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Balanced Back2025 profileBoom-or-bustdoes a little of everything without one standout trait his yards come in chunks — feast or famine
QBin 1 - Brandon Rose3.49out 2 - Isaac Wilson3.60Downgrade
current room: 202 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Pocket Passer2025 profileoperates within the system without forcing anything
TEin 2 - Noah Bennee3.50out 1 - Drew Clemens3.60Upgrade
current room: 237 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Next man up
TE · departedDallen Bentley3★ · Rd 7, Pk 40
nowHunter Andrews3★ · FR
Next man up
Full roster (114 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Utah

6 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    NCAA rules Yaacov ineligible for 2026-27

    Scalley's basketball program just lost a signed piece before he ever suited up — NCAA eligibility clock didn't care that Utah's roster math was already tight heading into next cycle.

    Aug 25Reported
  2. News

    Utah names QB1 for fall camp

    QB1 clarity finally settled — now the real question is whether that offense can carry weight while Scalley patches a CB room bleeding from three draft exits.

    Jul 30Reported
  3. Portal

    QB Brandon Rose transfer commits from Massachusetts

    Four QBs out, Isaac Wilson gone, and now a FBS Independent arm walks in — Rose isn't competing for depth, he's walking into a genuine starter conversation Whittingham can't afford to lose.

    Jun 1CFBD /player/portal
  4. News

    Utah plays Arkansas for first time

    First-ever matchup against Arkansas isn't a cupcake scheduling accident — Utah's Big 12 era needs marquee non-conf résumé builders, and this is one.

    Sep 11Reported
  5. News

    University of Utah Health sponsors jersey patch

    University of Utah Health on the jersey patch while Scalley rebuilds through a #27 class and three draft exits — corporate skin in the game matters more when the roster pressure is this visible.

  6. Coaching

    Utah suing former tight ends coach Freddie Whittingham for breach of contract

    Utah suing a tight ends coach over a contract isn't just internal housekeeping — it's Scalley's staff telling the industry that departure deals here have teeth.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-5.5 net portal points
(raw ledger: -14.4 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
CB
-12.4
starter risk
EDGE
-7.9
starter risk
DL
+7.1
need filled
RB
-4.2
starter risk
IOL
+3.6
low confidence
QB
-3.6
LB
-3.5
low confidence
TE
+3.4
WR
+3.4
S
-0.2
OT
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★★★
Kelvin Obot
OT · Fruitland, ID
#22 national
★★★★☆
Salesi Moa
ATH · Ogden, UT
#43 national
★★★★☆
Mataalii Benjamin
OT · Lehi, UT
#436 national
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

20
UT · 5TX · 4AZ · 2ID · 2AK · 1AR · 1CA · 1GA · 1+3 more

UT leads the 2026 class with 5 commits. National footprint reaching 11 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

84 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. UT leads the pull.

MEVTNHWA1ID3MTNDMNWIMI1NYMAOR1NV5WYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCA16UT23CO1NEMO1KYWVVAMDDERIAZ4NM1KS1AR1TNNCSCDCOK1LAMS1ALGA1AK1HI5TX14FL2
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Utah player grew up 519 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

24th-farthest from home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%27–990 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi30%32 of 107 players
Farthest2,994 miPupu Sepulona · Kalihi, HI
Closest2 miPeyton Rice · Salt Lake City, UT

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Rice-Eccles Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 107 of 114 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns UT · 2026 roster

31% of the Utah roster grew up in UT.

34 of 108 players, drawn from 22 states in all. That is the 67th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

UT · 34TX · 15CA · 14AZ · 8FL · 5HI · 5ID · 4NV · 4+14 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

108 players across 22 states. Biggest pull outside UT: TX (15).

MEVTNHWA3ID4MTNDMNWIMI1NYMA1OR1NV4WYSDIAILINOHPANJCTCA14UT34CO1NEMO1KY1WVVAMDDERIAZ8NM2KSAR2TNNCSCDCOK1LAMS1AL1GA2AK1HI5TX15FL5
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 6 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

Recruiting & portal buzz

2027 3* S Diesel Dart commits to Utah
38 upvotes · Jun 2026
2027 3* LB Fui Vakapuna commits to Utah
22 upvotes · Jun 2026
2027 3* WR Jaxton Itaaehau commits to Utah
16 upvotes · Jun 2026

Top r/cfb community posts · last 12 months

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 2 drafted so far, 65% never transferred. A
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Among the stronger offseasons on record for this program

76th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
76th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
8.5
Vegas O/U wins
(82nd among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 1 book
Pollster gapPollsters don't agree -- here's how far apart.
Voter spread

64 of 68 AP voters have them ranked, AP ballot, week 3 (2026) — from #12, Chris Carter (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette), to #25, Pat Welter (WRAL-TV). 4 voters left them off the ballot entirely.

Individual AP Top 25 ballots, AP ballot, week 3, 2026 — 68 voters tracked.

TakeawaysWhat this defense does once it gets the ball.
Takeaway conversion

Getting hands on the ball but not cashing in: 12% of disruptions converted, vs. the ~18% league rate.

2 interceptions of 17 disrupted passes (15 deflected, 2 intercepted), 2026 only.

PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Winning the penalty battle: 8 penalties committed vs. 12 drawn on opponents, a 31-yard edge.

60 penalty yards committed vs. 91 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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