cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Isaac Wilson /Utah

Isaac Wilson

QB · Utah · So · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

0 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 3 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Utah → Colorado for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Colorado

2025Utah
2026Colorado

QB · UTAH · BIG 12

Isaac Wilson

  • 2
  • #11
  • 6-0 | 212 lb
  • Draper, UT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

16

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#228

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2024–2025
1,5102024
0.02025

-100%

Sharp dropoff (-100%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#280 national
CFB
College
Utah
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class2
Jersey11
Measurements6-0 | 212 lb
HometownDraper, UT
Primary teamUtah

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 280 recruit
Composite rating 0.9091 HighSchool
Signed with Utah 2024
Origin Corner Canyon Draper, UT, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9091 No. 280 recruit | HighSchool | Utah

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Colorado 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Utah -> Colorado 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2025 Utah -> -- 3-star | 0.8600 | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#228Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#234Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Utah

Composite

0.9091

#280 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Isaac Wilson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "Utah State on here for Zach Wilson's brother https://bvmsports.com/2024/12/09/is"Rivals
  • Rivals · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Isaac Wilson

Obsession score 3
Rival mentions 4
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 2 mentions
Grudging respect 0% Neutral 100% Mockery 0%

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Isaac Wilson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Utah, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #228 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 46.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 280 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 0 0 TD | 0 INT
Completion rate 0.0% 0/1 completions
Yards/attempt 0.0 Explosiveness through the air
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Pocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

ATT
1 7th

Passing Production

TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
3 20th
YDS
3 22nd
YPC
1.0 26th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 9W 53-7vs Colorado0/10000.00.8Season-high 0 yds
Total0/10000.00.8
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Utah5-7HC: Kyle Whittingham · Balanced
2025Utah11-2HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Utah--10.0%--0.0000.0----
2024Utah12722556.4%1,5106.71011117.7----
Career2 loaded seasons12722656.2%1,5106.71011117.2----
SeasonTeam
2025Utah331.00--
2024Utah59470.80--
Career2 loaded seasons62500.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 3 0 rush TD | #318/408 (22nd pct)
Usage 46.4% 78.2% pass share | 14.2% rush share | #109/428 (75th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.30 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #82/200 (60th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 3 #318/408 22nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.30 #82/200 60th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 228 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 46.4% #109/428 75th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 1 #378/407 7th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 4 #367/391 6th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 3 #327/408 20th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.0 #302/407 26th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 78.2% #121/428 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 61.5% #101/428 77th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 55.4% #129/428 70th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 43.0% #86/428 80th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 41.6% #136/428 68th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 38.8% #114/428 74th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 14.2% #111/428 74th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.03 #140/140 1st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 40 weighted playsvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home1g0.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g0.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 8+1g0.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

16Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: completion % (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Rush yards#144 / 183 · 22nd pct
3rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass
Yards / att#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0.0pass
Completion %#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0.0%pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Isaac WilsonUtahNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 57% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 53% simRyan BrownePurdue· 51% sim
Interceptions
99
Wilson
44
Vattiato
5
Fife
14
Browne
Rush yards
22
Wilson
27
Vattiato
20
Fife
61
Browne
Rush TDs
9
Wilson
39
Vattiato
26
Fife
59
Browne
Pass yards
0
Wilson
57
Vattiato
58
Fife
56
Browne
Pass TDs
0
Wilson
64
Vattiato
45
Fife
33
Browne
Yards / att
0
Wilson
13
Vattiato
19
Fife
23
Browne
Completion %
0
Wilson
41
Vattiato
13
Fife
29
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kyle Whittingham

Pass share

39.8%

371 pass / 562 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.2%

289 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2025
Kyle Whittingham
Utah

Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDraper, UT
Height6'0"
Weight212 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Utah QB2 #228 #234 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Utah Big 12 QB 2 No. 11 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Draper, UT
2024 Utah Big 12 QB 2 No. 11 | 6-0 | 212 lb | Draper, UT