Colorado at Baylor — no line posted yet, but the model favors Baylor (92%).
What’s at stake
Baylor
- A win puts Baylor a step closer to a 1% shot at the CFP field.
- Baylor is the program that produced an offensive revolution under Art Briles and rebuilt its identity around faith and the Dave Aranda era.
Colorado
- Colorado is the program with a 1990 national title and the most-watched college football story of the 2020s thanks to Coach Prime.
The series
Colorado leads the series 10-7
17 meetings since 1959 · Colorado won the last meeting
- 2024Colorado 38–31
- 2010Baylor 31–25
- 2007Colorado 43–23
- 2006Baylor 34–31
- 2003Baylor 42–30
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Colorado
The chip · vs the national mediaEvery Buffs fan knows the deal: the same cameras that made Boulder the center of the sport are the ones counting down to the day they can call it a circus that fell apart. The fanbase loves the attention and resents the verdict riding in behind it.
What this game touches
The 2025 fall to earth. The year after a 9-4 season carried by Travis Hunter (No. 2 overall) and Shedeur Sanders, Colorado went 3-9 (1-8 Big 12) — a 53-7 wipeout at Utah, blowouts to both Arizona schools — and the questions about whether the show could ever become a program got loud.
Baylor
The chip · vs the national mediaBears fans say the country still files Baylor under one chapter of its past and refuses to look at what the program rebuilt — they say Waco won a Big 12 title the honest way and never got credit for the climb.
What this game touches
The 2025 regression under Aranda. Four years after the Big 12 title, Baylor slid to 5-7 in 2025 despite Sawyer Robertson leading the nation in passing yards — a defense that ranked near the bottom of FBS dragged the Bears below .500, reviving the question of whether the Aranda revival had stalled.
Best players
Baylor
- Seth Weller (WR) · 5 receiving yards
- Sawyer Robertson (QB) · 2025: 3,681 passing yards
- Devyn Bobby (S) · 2025: 77 tackles
Colorado
- Jeremiah Brown (LB) · 2025: 69 tackles
- Preston Hodge (CB) · 2025: 52 tackles
- Keaten Wade (DE) · 2025: 47 tackles
The line, and the room
Baylor fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (18th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
Conditions
Baylor is 61% at home, 46% on the road since 2018 (31-20 home, 19-22 away).