Baylor at Auburn — Auburn is favored by 7.5.
What’s at stake
Auburn
- Auburn sits at 5% to make the CFP field — 6% with a win here, 2% with a loss.
- Auburn hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2024.
Baylor
- Baylor sits at 1% to make the CFP field — 2% with a win here, 1% with a loss.
- Baylor is the program that produced an offensive revolution under Art Briles and rebuilt its identity around faith and the Dave Aranda era.
The series
The series is tied 2-2-1
5 meetings since 1954 · Auburn won the last meeting
- 2025Auburn 38–24
- 1976Baylor 15–14
- 1975Tie 10–10
- 1965Baylor 14–8
- 1954 · neutral siteAuburn 33–13
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Baylor
The chip · vs the national mediaBears fans say the country still files Baylor under one chapter of its past and refuses to look at what the program rebuilt — they say Waco won a Big 12 title the honest way and never got credit for the climb.
What this game touches
The 2025 regression under Aranda. Four years after the Big 12 title, Baylor slid to 5-7 in 2025 despite Sawyer Robertson leading the nation in passing yards — a defense that ranked near the bottom of FBS dragged the Bears below .500, reviving the question of whether the Aranda revival had stalled.
Auburn
The chip · vs big brotherAuburn fans know exactly what the ledger says across the state and refuse to wear the role it implies; the chip is that the same recruiting ground and the same league bid go to two programs, and one of them is told to be grateful for the scraps. War Eagle is said with an edge for a reason.
What this game touches
The Freeze firing and the reset under it. Hugh Freeze was let go in November 2025 at 15-19 — fired mid-season after a 4-5 start and an SEC record that never matched the recruiting — the third straight regime to leave Auburn searching, and proof the resources still aren't translating into Saturdays.
Best players
Auburn
- Xavier Atkins (LB) · 2025: 84 tackles
- Jeremiah Cobb (RB) · 2025: 969 rushing yards
- Kaleb Harris (S) · 2025: 50 tackles
Baylor
- Seth Weller (WR) · 5 receiving yards
- Sawyer Robertson (QB) · 2025: 3,681 passing yards
- Devyn Bobby (S) · 2025: 77 tackles
The line, and the room
Baylor fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (23rd percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
- Model · 31%
- Market · 73%
- Auburn fans · 15th
- Baylor fans · 23rd
Home −7.5 · O/U 59.5