Prairie View A&M at Baylor
Fan take
Prairie View A&M fans
How they got here
Last two games
Prairie View A&M · 1-1
Picked #104 in the preseason · now #117.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 52–14 vs Texas Southern #193 of 669
won by 38 as a 10.5-point favorite
L 30–49 @ Tarleton State #95 of 669
lost by 19 as a 19.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Baylor · 5-7
Picked #31 in the preseason · now #33 — about right.
Three straight losses.
L 24–31 vs HoustonTop 25 #56 of 668
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 17–41 @ ArizonaTop 25 #40 of 668
lost by 24 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 28–55 vs UtahTop 25 #10 of 668
lost by 27 as a 9.5-point underdog
W 30–3 vs UCF #66 of 668
won by 27 as a 3-point favorite
L 20–41 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #32 of 668
lost by 21 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 36–42 @ TCUTop 25 #35 of 668
lost by 6 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 35–34 vs Kansas StateTop 25 #39 of 668
won by 1 as a 5-point favorite
W 45–27 @ Oklahoma State #119 of 668
won by 18 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 24–27 vs Arizona StateTop 25 #23 of 668
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 42–7 vs Samford #192 of 668
won by 35 as a 52-point favorite
W 48–45 @ SMUTop 25 #19 of 668
won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 24–38 vs AuburnTop 25 #23 of 668
lost by 14 as a 1-point underdog
What’s at stake
Prairie View A&M
- Prairie View A&M needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Prairie View A&M is still shaking off a 41-point loss.
Baylor
- A win puts Baylor a step closer to a 3% shot at the CFP field.
- Baylor is coming off a 41-point win.
The series
Baylor leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Baylor won the last meeting
- 2026Baylor 44–3
Best players
Baylor
- Gavin Freeman (WR) · 258 receiving yards
- Travion Barnes (LB) · 13 tackles
- Dawson Pendergrass (RB) · 157 rushing yards
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on Baylor’s chances here.
Home −37.5 · O/U 55.5
Conditions
93°F · 7 mph wind · Fair
Baylor is worth +1.2 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom tenth of FBS, 7th percentile.
55% at home, 46% on the road against FBS opponents (24–20 home, 19–22 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.2 at home vs. away over 71 games — inside the ±6.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 121 miles to get here.
Prairie View A&M 3 – Baylor 44
Called it — picked Baylor to win.
Recent games
Baylor
- Wk 1Lat Auburn16-17
Prairie View A&M
- Wk 1Lat Tarleton State30-49
- Wk 1Wvs Texas Southern52-14
Trajectory
Baylor handled Prairie View A&M 44-3, matching the pregame favorite.