SWAC Prairie View A&M

The rest of the season

Three real tests left: Arkansas-Pine Bluff 30%, Alabama A&M 30%, Alabama State 38%

Win out 3% · expect 1.0 of 3 more wins

Prairie View A&M's chance to win each game left, from our model: Alabama A&M 30%, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 30%, Alabama State 38%

Bar height is our model’s chance in each game left. Dashed line: 50%.

LeadersPassing Tevin Carter 1,505 · Rushing Tevin Carter 455 · Receiving Rodny Ojo 439 All player stats

The model#45 among FCS teams

Updated Wed Nov 4 · through week 8

Schedule and results

Prairie View A&M · 2026 schedule and results4-5Hard slateAverage opponent win rate 57% · 0 opponents played so far are in the AP top 25 now.
WkDateOpponentResultRecordConfTop performers
1Aug 29@Tarleton StateL 30-49Prairie View A&M lost 30-49 at Tarleton State. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 12%.0-10-0Pass Carter 309 · Rush Carter 130 · Rec McDaniel 75
1Sep 6Texas SouthernW 52-14Prairie View A&M won 52-14 vs Texas Southern. Chance to win started at 91%, low 89%, high better than 99%.1-11-0Pass Carter 217 · Rush Bingmon 60 · Rec Ojo 68
2Sep 12@BaylorL 3-44 136Prairie View A&M lost 3-44 at Baylor. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.1-21-0Pass Carter 74 · Rush Turner-Knox 12 · Rec Harris 38
3Sep 19Stephen F. AustinL 10-31Prairie View A&M lost 10-31 vs Stephen F. Austin. Chance to win started at 16%, low under 1%, high 16%.1-31-0Pass Carter 117 · Rush Harris 61 · Rec McDaniel 80
4Sep 26Grambling (N)W 21-142-32-0Pass Carter 160 · Rush Bingmon 42 · Rec Ojo 64
5Oct 3@Mississippi Valley StateL 27-28Prairie View A&M lost 27-28 at Mississippi Valley State. Chance to win started at 97%, low under 1%, high better than 99%.2-42-1Pass Carter 62 · Rush Carter 94 · Rec Ojo 26
6Oct 10SouthernL 14-28Prairie View A&M lost 14-28 vs Southern. Chance to win started at 90%, low under 1%, high 96%.2-52-2Pass Carter 179 · Rush Kuykendall 86 · Rec McDaniel 101
7Oct 17Alcorn StateW 41-38Prairie View A&M won 41-38 vs Alcorn State. Chance to win started at 75%, low 37%, high 95%.3-53-2Pass Carter 150 · Rush Kuykendall 89 · Rec Ojo 48
8Oct 24@East Texas A&MW 30-19Prairie View A&M won 30-19 at East Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 34%, low 16%, high better than 99%.4-53-2Pass Carter 237 · Rush Bingmon 77 · Rec Ojo 67
9Bye week
10Nov 7Alabama A&M3 pm ET30% to win
11Nov 14@Arkansas-Pine Bluff3 pm ET30% to win
12Nov 21@Alabama State3 pm ET38% to win
How to read this table

Win chances are our model for Prairie View A&M, through 9 games. This week's game comes from the playoff simulation, later games from the rating model. They are estimates and move every week.

The small line beside each score is the team's win chance through the game, drawn on one scale for every game. The small number is total plays.

Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, big plays)▼
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Big plays (IsoPPP)Note
Oct 24@East Texas A&MW 30-19———+0.31244.1%1.60Season-high EPA/play
Oct 17Alcorn StateW 41-38———+0.06045.8%1.09One-score win
Oct 10SouthernL 14-28———−0.33439.7%0.99Season-low EPA/play
Oct 3@Mississippi Valley StateL 27-28———−0.13431.8%1.27One-score loss
Sep 26GramblingW 21-14———+0.15544.4%1.13One-score win
Sep 19Stephen F. AustinL 10-31———−0.18628.0%1.30
Sep 12@BaylorL 3-44110125:38−0.33310.7%1.90Most explosive
Sep 6Texas SouthernW 52-14———+0.21246.3%1.38Best success rate
Aug 29@Tarleton StateL 30-49———+0.29842.3%1.31Defense's roughest night
Season average (9 games)1101.0+0.00637.0%1.33

Ahead

The forecast

The games that decide the season

The games that decide the season

Sat Nov 7Next: Alabama A&Mvs Alabama A&M · at home

Recent form · last 10 games

Prairie View A&M has won three of its last five.

4-6 over the last 10, and won the last two.

Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 4-6

Range of outcomes · Prairie View A&M · 2026

Prairie View A&M’s most common regular-season record in our model is 5-7. Most outcomes (97%) land from 4-8 to 6-6.

Regular-season wins: chance of each total, from the game chances above

4 wins 30%; 5 wins 45%; 6 wins 22%; 7 wins 3%
What a title game and a playoff run could add
Floor4-8Sub-.500 season. Playoff bid out of reach.
Base5-7Mid-table finish. Conference title a stretch.
Ceiling7-5Conference title race. Playoff bid in play.

Bars are the chance of each regular-season win total, from our model's chance in each game left, through 9 games. Paler bars are the outer 10% at each end. The closed row comes from the season-path projection, which also plays out conference title games and the FCS playoff.

More in this tab

Worth watchingGames average 55 combined points, even games

What it is like to watch them2026 · 4-5

Game feel55even gamescombined pts / game9th highest-scoring of 12 in the SWAC
Heart rate2-1some dramain one-score games (3 of 9)9th most one-score games of 12 in the SWAC
Margin−4.1competitiveavg scoring margin7th best margin of 12 in the SWAC
Big plays1.33some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)9th most explosive of 12 in the SWAC
Home crowd9,583avg attendance8th biggest crowds of 12 in the SWAC

Measured from 9 games · ranks are among SWAC teams the same season

Team storyThe story of this team right now, in one line.
The weekly grind

Prairie View A&M is 4-5 and hosts Alabama A&M next.

2026 Record4-5
Read the full program story ↓
Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Prairie View A&M is 4-5 and hosts Alabama A&M next.

CFB Zeitgeist “Go Panthers.”
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site