Colorado 27-24 Kansas State (Oct 31, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Kansas State · Colorado

Kansas State4-424

Colorado3-527Final

Sat, Oct 31 · Folsom Field, Boulder, Colo. · Crowd 46,325

Colorado beat Kansas State 27-24 in overtime.

We had Kansas State favored. Colorado won.

Next: Kansas State vs Oklahoma State, Sat Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET · Kansas State underdog by 4

Next: Colorado at Arizona State, Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Colorado underdog by 3

Eh I mean it’s probably the only conference win we’ll get

A Colorado fan

How it swung

The turning point: Wilson 11-yd TD pass to Williams, Colorado goes ahead 27-24 (OT). Colorado went from 43% to 100% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Colorado a 27% chance, and the closing betting line (Colorado was a 3-point favorite) put it at 60%.

Down to 23% in overtime, Colorado came back to win.

Up to 77% in overtime, then Kansas State lost it.

FinalColorado 27-24 Kansas StateColorado wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The four plays that swung it

1Q3 2:14Barnett 33-yd TD pass to Cure, ties it 14-14Colorado 80% → 60% (−20)
2Q4 0:02Barnett 8-yd TD pass to Oakley, ties it 21-21Colorado 84% → 56% (−28)
3OTRodriguez 25-yd field goal, Kansas State goes ahead 24-21Colorado 35% → 57% (+22)
4OTWilson 11-yd TD pass to Williams, Colorado goes ahead 27-24Colorado 43% → 100% (+57)

The four plays that swung it

1Q3 2:14Barnett 33-yd TD pass to Cure, ties it 14-14Kansas State 20% → 40% (+20)
2Q4 0:02Barnett 8-yd TD pass to Oakley, ties it 21-21Kansas State 16% → 44% (+28)
3OTRodriguez 25-yd field goal, Kansas State goes ahead 24-21Kansas State 65% → 43% (−22)
4OTWilson 11-yd TD pass to Williams, Colorado goes ahead 27-24Kansas State 57% → 0% (−57)

Mason. Jesus Christ

Q4 13:10 · A Kansas State fan · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 4:32Kansas State punts after Duff sacks, fans mock offensive strugglesLol we might as well punt it right back to them to have more opportunities for a turnoverr/CFB game thread
Q2 13:40Kansas State fans react to Rodriguez's missed 49-yard field goal attemptMan I'm glad I didn't get emotionally invested in this lolr/CFB game threadAnyone at the game wanna give QB a try? It literally can't change anything.r/CFB game thread
Q2 2:25Barnett connects with Manning for a touchdown after a penalty saved himThat penalty saved Barnett's life, and it pays off!r/CFB game thread
Q4 13:10Young rushes for a touchdown, making it 21-14 Colorado
Q4 7:33Kansas State fans react to a botched snap on a missed field goal attemptthat one isn't on the kickerr/CFB game threadBeen some real interesting officiating the last few minutesr/CFB game thread
Q4 0:38Officials review Barnett pass to Oakley, fans furious at clock managementWin or lose, Barnett is still tougher than Avery 🤷🏻‍♂️ Don’t think I’ve ever seen him drop his shoulder like thatr/CFB game thread

Colorado’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Colorado -3), at 65% for Colorado (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Colorado or Kansas State flair (54 and 233); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Colorado’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Colorado scored on 4 of its 13 drives; Kansas State on 4 of its 13.

Colorado’s drives are teal, Kansas State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Kansas State’s side

Kansas State’s best moment: Barnett 8-yd TD pass to Oakley, ties it 21-21 (Q4 0:02). It lifted Kansas State’s win chance by 28 points.

How Kansas State fans took it: “Rushing the field here is a bruh moment” r/CFB game thread

When fans got loud

Firestorm

The jump was firestorm; the crowd was steady.

Box score

Colorado 27, Kansas State 24

The game landed on the closing spread. The total, 51, went over 47.5.

Team totals	Kansas State	Colorado
Total yards	347	407
Passing	19 of 30, 226 yds	14 of 21, 185 yds
Rushing	39 for 121 yds	43 for 222 yds
First downs	19	19
Third down	7 of 16	7 of 14
Fourth down	0 of 0	0 of 0
Turnovers	0	1
Penalties	5 for 35 yds	8 for 53 yds
Time of possession	31:56	28:04

Kansas State leaders

Passing Blake Barnett 18 of 28, 224 yds, 3 TD
Rushing Rodney Fields Jr. 12 for 65 yds; Blake Barnett 16 for 40 yds
Receiving Joshua Manning 6 for 73 yds, 1 TD; Linkon Cure 3 for 65 yds, 1 TD

Colorado leaders

Passing Isaac Wilson 14 of 21, 185 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Richard Young 24 for 120 yds, 2 TD; Jaquail Smith 8 for 63 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Joseph Williams 5 for 89 yds; DeAndre Moore Jr. 3 for 60 yds

No rain through the game

55° at kickoff · no rain recorded

October game-day temperatures at Folsom Field

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Overtime3:34 p.m.

Kansas State 24, Colorado 27 · Colorado 100% to win

no rain · 61°

Wilson 11-yd TD pass to Williams, Colorado goes ahead 27-24

Measured at Boulder airport, 3.0 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Kansas State · 4-3

Rated 32nd in our preseason ratings, 51st now, down 19 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 17-28 @ Arizona State No. 71 of 668 teams

lost by 11 as a 1.5-point favorite

W 35-24 vs Kansas No. 58 of 668 teams

won by 11 as a 3-point favorite

L 16-35 vs HoustonTop 25 No. 11 of 668 teams

lost by 19 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 26-31 @ Cincinnati No. 95 of 668 teams

lost by 5 as a 6-point favorite

W 31-20 vs Tulane No. 74 of 668 teams

won by 11 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 34-7 vs Washington State No. 42 of 668 teams

won by 27 as a 17.5-point favorite

W 71-3 vs Nicholls No. 158 of 668 teams

won by 68 as a 41.5-point favorite

Last three games

Colorado · 2-5

Rated 163rd in our preseason ratings, 115th now, up 48 spots.

Three straight losses.

L 24-57 @ Oklahoma StateTop 25 No. 75 of 668 teams

lost by 33 as a 12.5-point underdog

L 24-27 vs UtahTop 25 No. 21 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 15.5-point underdog

L 7-29 vs Texas TechTop 25 No. 10 of 668 teams

lost by 22 as a 13.5-point underdog

L 13-23 @ Baylor No. 37 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as an 8.5-point underdog

L 7-41 @ NorthwesternTop 25 No. 15 of 668 teams

lost by 34 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 52-21 vs Weber State No. 227 of 668 teams

won by 31 as a 38.5-point favorite

W 14-13 @ Georgia Tech No. 78 of 668 teams

won by 1 as a 6.5-point underdog

Week by week

Colorado

Wk 3Lat Northwestern7-41
Wk 4Lat Baylor13-23
Wk 5Lvs Texas Tech7-29
Wk 7Lvs Utah24-27
Wk 8Lat Oklahoma State24-57

Kansas State

Wk 3Wvs Tulane31-20
Wk 4Lat Cincinnati26-31
Wk 6Lvs Houston16-35
Wk 7Wvs Kansas35-24
Wk 8Lat Arizona State17-28

Power rating by week

Kansas State is rated 6.4 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Colorado’s success rate against Kansas State, 62 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Colorado’s explosive plays against Kansas State’s defense
Colorado offense, 57th percentile · Kansas State defense, 4th
Colorado’s success rate against Kansas State’s defense
Colorado offense, 25th percentile · Kansas State defense, 87th
Kansas State’s passing EPA against Colorado’s defense
Kansas State offense, 54th percentile · Colorado defense, 26th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Kansas StateColorado

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Colorado leads the series 45-22-1

68 meetings since 1912 · Kansas State has won the last 2

2025Kansas State 24-14
2024Kansas State 31-28
2010Colorado 44-36
2009Kansas State 20-6
2008Colorado 14-13

Each line is Colorado’s chance to win through that meeting. Colorado is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Colorado fans are in a better mood than Kansas State fans (42nd percentile vs 22nd among FBS fanbases), even with Kansas State favored.

Colorado favored by 3 · Total 47.5

How games like this usually go

Colorado by 3, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 305 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 6.5 points toward Colorado.

The total fell 1 point.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Colorado is worth +6.4 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 86th percentile.

47% at home, 26% on the road against FBS opponents (22-25 home, 11-32 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.5 at home vs. away over 93 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

5,361 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 465 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Colorado16th0-4
Kansas State15th1-3

Full Big 12 standings

Colorado beats Kansas State 27-24 in overtime