Kansas State 34-7 Washington State (Sep 12, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Washington State · Kansas State

Washington State0-27

Kansas State2-034Final

Sat, Sep 12 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Kan. · Crowd 51,759

Kansas State beat Washington State 34-7.

We had Kansas State favored. It won.

Next: Washington State beat Duquesne 48-7, Sat Sep 19

Next: Kansas State beat Tulane 31-20, Sat Sep 19

Top comment in the game thread

First catching touchdown of the year for WSU btw

Q2 0:18 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Kansas State a 72% chance, and the closing betting line (Kansas State was a 17.5-point favorite) put it at 92%.

Favored the whole way: Kansas State never fell below 87%.

Washington State never had better than a 13% chance.

Blocked field goalQ1 1:35Pick-six

Washington State · Q2 0:0075-yard TD run

Kansas State · Q3 13:54

FinalKansas State 34-7 Washington StateKansas State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 1:35Washington State fans lament Stevens' blocked field goal and poor season startOur college to nfl kicker pipeline has been hit with multiple houthi missiles.r/CFB game threadUnironically think our women’s soccer team has players that would kick betterr/CFB game thread
Q2 14:01Washington State fans celebrate Thomas intercepting Johnson's passPICKED OFF GO GO GOOOOOO YESAHHHHHHHHHHHHHr/CFB game threadMy kingdom for a 3rd and long stop......just backbreaking, man.r/CFB game thread
Q2 9:27Washington State fans criticize the decision to run Pinnick up the middle on fourth downDon't know if Pinnick is going to survive the seasonr/CFB game threadWe’re taking inspiration from Josh McDaniels I see, run it up the middle 4 timesr/CFB game thread
Q2 3:18Kansas State fans celebrate Pinnick's incomplete pass and subsequent sackA defense that adjusts mid game I’m gonna sploooger/CFB game thread
Q2 0:18Jaylen Thomas intercepts Avery Johnson for a touchdown as time expires in the first halfWho has more completions for WSU. Kaden Pinneck or Avery Johnsonr/CFB game threadQuoted at the top of the page.
Q4 7:54Kansas State fans want a safety call on Pinnick's runActually pissed we didn't get that safetyr/CFB game thread

Kansas State’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Kansas State -17.5), at 91% for Kansas State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Kansas State or Washington State flair (273 and 400); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Kansas State’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Kansas State scored on 6 of its 12 drives; Washington State on 0 of its 11.

Kansas State’s drives are teal, Washington State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Horrific throw but why is that even the playcall with 7 seconds left? Might as well run the ball at that point”

A Kansas State fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

What it cost

Washington State’s chance to make the playoff fell from 4% to 3%.

Make the playoff

Washington State · lost4% → ▼3%

Kansas State · won6% → 6%

Win the conference

Washington State · lost18% → ▼17%

Kansas State · won5% → ▲6%

Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Kansas State 34, Washington State 7

Kansas State covered −17.5 by 9.5. The total, 41, stayed under 48.5.

Team totals	Washington State	Kansas State
Total yards	166	487
Passing	9 of 20, 65 yds	22 of 34, 192 yds
Rushing	30 for 101 yds	40 for 295 yds
First downs	10	24
Third down	2 of 12	10 of 16
Fourth down	0 of 1	0 of 1
Turnovers	1	2
Penalties	3 for 25 yds	2 for 25 yds
Time of possession	25:40	34:20

Washington State leaders

Passing Caden Pinnick 9 of 20, 65 yds
Rushing Kirby Vorhees 11 for 45 yds; Maxwell Woods 5 for 29 yds
Receiving Darrius Clemons 3 for 27 yds; Daniel Blood 2 for 14 yds

Kansas State leaders

Passing Avery Johnson 22 of 34, 192 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT
Rushing Rodney Fields Jr. 13 for 105 yds, 1 TD; Avery Johnson 8 for 78 yds
Receiving Joshua Manning 10 for 97 yds, 1 TD; Joe Jackson 4 for 48 yds, 1 TD

No rain, gusts to 26 mph

74° at kickoff · 0.01 in of rain by radar over the stadium · wind 12 mph from the northeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 26

A 26 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 87% of games since 2018.

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

The usual here around this date is 75°, with about 7 in 10 games between 65° and 86°.

September game-day temperatures at Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:43 left11:03 a.m.

Washington State 0, Kansas State 0 · Kansas State 91% to win

no rain · wind 13 mph from the northeast, mostly at an angle to the field · 74°

Johnson 7-yd pass to Manning

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Manhattan airport, 6.4 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Washington State · 7-6

Rated 43rd in our preseason ratings, 41st now.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 13-point win over Utah State as a 1.5-point underdog.

W 34-21 @ Utah State #114 of 667

won by 13 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 32-8 vs Oregon State #141 of 667

won by 24 as a 14.5-point favorite

L 20-24 @ James MadisonTop 25 #26 of 667

lost by 4 as a 15.5-point underdog

W 28-3 vs Louisiana Tech #122 of 667

won by 25 as a 10.5-point favorite

L 7-10 @ Oregon State #105 of 667

lost by 3 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 28-7 vs Toledo #57 of 667

won by 21 as a 1.5-point underdog

L 20-22 @ VirginiaTop 25 #50 of 667

lost by 2 as a 16.5-point underdog

L 21-24 @ Ole MissTop 25 #9 of 667

lost by 3 as a 32.5-point underdog

W 20-3 @ Colorado State #112 of 667

won by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog

L 24-59 vs WashingtonTop 25 #26 of 667

lost by 35 as a 20.5-point underdog

L 10-59 @ North TexasTop 25 #81 of 667

lost by 49 as a 6.5-point underdog

W 36-13 vs San Diego State #114 of 667

won by 23 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 13-10 vs Idaho #153 of 667

won by 3 as a 16.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Kansas State · 6-6

Rated 32nd in our preseason ratings, 33rd now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 24-14 vs Colorado #113 of 667

won by 10 as a 16.5-point favorite

L 47-51 @ UtahTop 25 #14 of 667

lost by 4 as an 18.5-point underdog

W 14-6 @ Oklahoma State #161 of 667

won by 8 as a 19.5-point favorite

L 20-43 vs Texas TechTop 25 #12 of 667

lost by 23 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 42-17 @ Kansas #52 of 667

won by 25 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 41-28 vs TCUTop 25 #33 of 667

won by 13 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 34-35 @ Baylor #33 of 667

lost by 1 as a 4.5-point underdog

W 34-20 vs UCF #49 of 667

won by 14 as a 5.5-point favorite

L 17-23 @ ArizonaTop 25 #76 of 667

lost by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite

L 21-24 vs Army #111 of 667

lost by 3 as a 16.5-point favorite

W 38-35 vs North Dakota #141 of 667

won by 3 as a 27.5-point favorite

L 21-24 vs Iowa StateTop 25 #48 of 667

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

Week by week

Kansas State

Wk 1Wvs Nicholls71-3

Washington State

Wk 1Lat Washington10-24

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Washington State’s success rate against Kansas State, 85 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Washington State’s success rate against Kansas State’s defense
Washington State offense, 3rd percentile · Kansas State defense, 88th
Washington State’s passing EPA against Kansas State’s defense
Washington State offense, 8th percentile · Kansas State defense, 72nd
Washington State’s explosive plays against Kansas State’s defense
Washington State offense, 41st percentile · Kansas State defense, 5th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Washington StateKansas State

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Kansas State fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (65th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Kansas State favored by 17.5 · Total 48.5

How games like this usually go

Kansas State by 17.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Kansas State.

The total fell 3 points.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm, with rain. Feels like 76° at kickoff.

Washington State at Kansas State · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan

76°feels like at kickoff
0.01 inrain at kickoff
82weather score, Mixed
Bestof the day's 5 kickoff times

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the best of the day's five kickoff times. At Bill Snyder Family Stadium that day, a 3:15 pm kickoff would have scored 63, against 82 at 11 am.

11 am: 82, Mixed (this game)
2:30 pm: 64, Rough
3:15 pm: 63, Rough
6 pm: 70, Rough
6:45 pm: 68, Rough

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Kansas State is worth +5.3 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 72nd percentile.

65% at home, 44% on the road against FBS opponents (32-17 home, 18-23 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.2 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,158 miles to get here.

Kansas State beats Washington State 34-7